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Analysis

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Ukraine’s Counterdrone Assistance to the Gulf States

Ukrainian help dealing with Iranian drone attacks could lead Gulf Arab states to rethink their neutrality in the Ukraine-Russia war.

Jean-Loup Samaan

9 min read

An anti-air interceptor drone designed to destroy Russian attack drones from the Ukrainian company General Cherry is seen during a demonstration in the Kyiv region, March 11. (AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky)

Why the Gulf Arab States Matter So Much – But Decide So Little

The Gulf Arab states have discovered that wealth without hard power, and alliance without political influence, leave them exposed to other countries' wars.

Weilin Deng

9 min read

Fire and plumes of smoke rise after a drone struck a fuel tank near Dubai International Airport, in United Arab Emirates, March 16. (AP Photo)

The Squeeze on Erbil

The war in Iran both underscores the urgency and will delay action on a U.S.-brokered Peshmerga-Baghdad redeployment in the disputed territories.

Yerevan Saeed
Yerevan Saeed

12 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion at the airport in Erbil, Iraq, March 11. (AP Photo/Leo Correa)

Air and Missile Defense in the Gulf

The war is demonstrating that missile defense can blunt Iran’s strategy – but only if the United States and its regional partners ensure that their defenses can keep pace with the scale and speed of future conflicts.

Frank A. Rose

15 min read

A missile is intercepted as Iranian missiles are launched, as seen from Doha, Qatar, February 28. (REUTERS/Saleh Salem)

Iran: Resilience, Defiance, and Willingness to Talk

The March 24 edition of the Iran Media Review considers Iranian messaging projecting a mix of defiance and a possible willingness to negotiate with the United States.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Iran: Resilience, Defiance, and Willingness to Talk

Quds Day in Iran

The March 13 edition of the Iran Media Review examines Iranian media reports of regime defiance at Quds Day rallies as the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran continues.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

Quds Day in Iran

New Leader, Old Policy

The March 10 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian messaging after the election of a new supreme leader.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

New Leader, Old Policy

Tehran Warns Iraq’s Kurdistan Regional Government

The March 6 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights an Iranian military official’s warning to the Kurdistan Regional Government to stay out of the escalating U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran.

Ali Alfoneh

1 min read

Tehran Warns Iraq’s Kurdistan Regional Government

The Saudi Fiscal Deficit in 2025 Was Larger Than Expected

The 2025 budget deficit was larger than expected. The 2026 deficit is also likely to exceed the budget target, but higher oil prices may help contain any overrun.

Tim Callen

2 min read

The Saudi Fiscal Deficit in 2025 Was Larger Than Expected

Putting the 2026 Saudi Budget Under the Microscope

The Saudi government projects that the budget deficit will narrow during 2026-28, but this will depend on a rebound in oil prices and tight control of spending.

Tim Callen

3 min read

Putting the 2026 Saudi Budget Under the Microscope

The Saudi Trade and Investment Commitment to the United States in Perspective

The $1 trillion Saudi trade and investment commitment to the United States will be extremely difficult to achieve given the size of the Saudi economy and its current financial situation.

Tim Callen

3 min read

The Saudi Trade and Investment Commitment to the United States in Perspective

The IMF Comments on the Saudi Economy and Policy Framework

The International Monetary Fund continues to endorse the direction of economic reform in Saudi Arabia but notes that risks from oil price uncertainty and strong credit growth will need to be carefully managed to keep the economy on a strong growth trajectory.

Tim Callen

4 min read

The IMF Comments on the Saudi Economy and Policy Framework

Ammar Alsabban: Superman With a Saudi Accent

With passions as diverse as puppetry, podcasting, and superheroes, Ammar Alsabban is redefining the creative limits of Saudi identity.

Sean Foley

14 min read

Ammar Alsabban. (Courtesy of Ammar Alsabban)

Rahina: A Jeweler’s Ode to Dhofari Heritage

Through Rahina, Fatma al-Najjar is exploring her Dhofari heritage and tapping into ancestral memories, one piece of jewelry at a time.

10 min read

Rahina necklaces made by Fatma al-Najjar. (Photo courtesy of Fatma al-Najjar)

Independent Researchers Are Advancing UAE History on Social Media

Independent researchers and informal collaboratives have been connecting through social media to fill in gaps in popular knowledge of the United Arab Emirates’ pre-state era.

Abdulla Almarzooqi

20 min read

A view of downtown Abu Dhabi. (Credit: Abdulla Almarzooqi)

Manama Story: Preserving the Soul of the City

The Manama Story project seeks to preserve the history of the Bahraini city, one archive at a time.

Shifaa Alsairafi

8 min read

A view of the "Soul of Manama" exhibit. (Credit: Fadhel al-Sharaf)

A New Gulf Partnership

In May, President Donald J. Trump embarked on a trip to the Gulf that signals a new era in U.S.-Gulf relations. AGSI's A New Gulf Partnership series explores the ways U.S. strategic relations with these countries are evolving and offers policy recommendations for the U.S. administration to maximize political and economic influence.

President Donald J. Trump is welcomed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 13. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

Energy and Climate Initiative

AGSIW’s Energy and Climate Initiative explores Gulf energy and climate policies, technological advances, and pressing political, social, and environmental issues ahead of COP28.

'Cop28 UAE' logo is displayed on the screen during the opening ceremony of Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week under the theme of 'United on Climate Action Toward COP28,' in Abu Dhabi, UAE, January 16. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

U.S. Presidential Election

AGSIW’s U.S. Presidential Election series explores Gulf perspectives on the 2024 election and considers how the election results may shape the future of U.S. engagement in the Gulf region.

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris take part in a presidential debate hosted by ABC in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., September 10, 2024 in a combination of file photographs. REUTERS/Brian Snyder - RC22Y9AP0PX3

Trees of the Gulf

This series looks at the vital role certain trees play in the region's collective memory, survival, and plans for the future.

A worker collects dates from a palm tree during Unaizah Season for Dates, capital of Al-Qassim region, Saudi Arabia August 15, 2020. (REUTERS /Ahmed Yosri)

All Analysis

CLEAR ALL

Ukraine’s Counterdrone Assistance to the Gulf States

Ukrainian help dealing with Iranian drone attacks could lead Gulf Arab states to rethink their neutrality in the Ukraine-Russia war.

Jean-Loup Samaan

9 min read

An anti-air interceptor drone designed to destroy Russian attack drones from the Ukrainian company General Cherry is seen during a demonstration in the Kyiv region, March 11. (AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky)

Why the Gulf Arab States Matter So Much – But Decide So Little

The Gulf Arab states have discovered that wealth without hard power, and alliance without political influence, leave them exposed to other countries' wars.

Weilin Deng

9 min read

Fire and plumes of smoke rise after a drone struck a fuel tank near Dubai International Airport, in United Arab Emirates, March 16. (AP Photo)

The Squeeze on Erbil

The war in Iran both underscores the urgency and will delay action on a U.S.-brokered Peshmerga-Baghdad redeployment in the disputed territories.

Yerevan Saeed
Yerevan Saeed

12 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion at the airport in Erbil, Iraq, March 11. (AP Photo/Leo Correa)

Air and Missile Defense in the Gulf

The war is demonstrating that missile defense can blunt Iran’s strategy – but only if the United States and its regional partners ensure that their defenses can keep pace with the scale and speed of future conflicts.

Frank A. Rose

15 min read

A missile is intercepted as Iranian missiles are launched, as seen from Doha, Qatar, February 28. (REUTERS/Saleh Salem)

Iran War Tests Oman’s Foreign Policy

Iranian attacks on Omani ports and oil tankers are straining Oman’s long-standing “friend to all” regional foreign policy, but Muscat still has a part to play in achieving peace.

Giorgio Cafiero

9 min read

An LPG gas tanker at anchor as traffic is down in the Strait of Hormuz, in Shinas, Oman, March 11. (REUTERS/Benoit Tessier)

Attacks Will Not Mutate the UAE’s DNA

The United Arab Emirates has repeatedly shown that it doesn’t just “bounce back” after a crisis; it “bounces forward.”

5 min read

A man steers a boat during sunset, as the city skyline with Burj Khalifa is seen in the background at Dubai Creek Harbour in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, March 11. (AP Photo/Fatima Shbair)