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Analysis

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Can Iraq-Turkey Deal Help Iraqi Water Security?

The success of a new water-sharing deal between Iraq and Turkey hinges on Iraq’s government formation and the timely implementation of reforms.

Winnie Zheng
Winnie Zheng

9 min read

Significantly low water levels are seen on the Tigris river in Baghdad, Iraq, May 28, 2022. (AP Photo/Hadi Mizban)

Can Gulf Green Finance Survive an Oil Price Shock?

The Iran conflict has arrived at the worst possible moment for Gulf sustainable finance, a sector already navigating fiscal strain, a global ESG backlash, and the unresolved tension between hydrocarbon revenue and transition capital.

Smoke billows from Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery after a reported Iranian drone strike in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, March 2. (REUTERS/Stringer)

Iran War Hits Business Conditions in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf

March readings of the purchasing managers’ index showed a substantial deterioration in business conditions in Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Gulf.

Tim Callen

6 min read

Smoke rises above Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, March 5. (REUTERS/Stringer)

When War and Peace Are Just Means, the End Signifies Nothing

For the Gulf Arab countries, the future is more important than the present, but it is unclear if Iran, the United States, and Israel have the same vision.

8 min read

Smoke rises from Kuwait international airport after a drone strike on fuel storage in Kuwait City, Kuwait, March 25. (AP Photo)

Tehran Signals a Coordinated Strategy Ahead of Islamabad Talks

The April 8 edition of the Iran Media Review considers Iranian officials’ remarks ahead of cease-fire negotiations with the United States.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Tehran Signals a Coordinated Strategy Ahead of Islamabad Talks

Eye for an Eye, Bridge for a Bridge

The April 3 edition of the Iran Media Review examines Iranian responses to President Trump’s April 1 speech and U.S. strikes against an Iranian bridge.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

Eye for an Eye, Bridge for a Bridge

Iran: From Defense to Offense

The March 31 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian reports that Iran is about to enter an “offensive phase” as well as warnings against a U.S. ground invasion.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Iran: From Defense to Offense

Iran to Gulf States: Keep Your Distance – or Risk Being Drawn In

The March 27 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights Iranian officials’ threats to Gulf states not to get more involved in the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Iran to Gulf States: Keep Your Distance – or Risk Being Drawn In

Saudi Equities Outperform Global Markets

Saudi equity prices have risen since the start of the Iran conflict, outperforming many regional and global markets. Whether this continues will depend on how and when the conflict ends.

Tim Callen

3 min read

Saudi Equities Outperform Global Markets

The Saudi Fiscal Deficit in 2025 Was Larger Than Expected

The 2025 budget deficit was larger than expected. The 2026 deficit is also likely to exceed the budget target, but higher oil prices may help contain any overrun.

Tim Callen

2 min read

The Saudi Fiscal Deficit in 2025 Was Larger Than Expected

Putting the 2026 Saudi Budget Under the Microscope

The Saudi government projects that the budget deficit will narrow during 2026-28, but this will depend on a rebound in oil prices and tight control of spending.

Tim Callen

3 min read

Putting the 2026 Saudi Budget Under the Microscope

The Saudi Trade and Investment Commitment to the United States in Perspective

The $1 trillion Saudi trade and investment commitment to the United States will be extremely difficult to achieve given the size of the Saudi economy and its current financial situation.

Tim Callen

3 min read

The Saudi Trade and Investment Commitment to the United States in Perspective

Ammar Alsabban: Superman With a Saudi Accent

With passions as diverse as puppetry, podcasting, and superheroes, Ammar Alsabban is redefining the creative limits of Saudi identity.

Sean Foley

14 min read

Ammar Alsabban. (Courtesy of Ammar Alsabban)

Rahina: A Jeweler’s Ode to Dhofari Heritage

Through Rahina, Fatma al-Najjar is exploring her Dhofari heritage and tapping into ancestral memories, one piece of jewelry at a time.

10 min read

Rahina necklaces made by Fatma al-Najjar. (Photo courtesy of Fatma al-Najjar)

Independent Researchers Are Advancing UAE History on Social Media

Independent researchers and informal collaboratives have been connecting through social media to fill in gaps in popular knowledge of the United Arab Emirates’ pre-state era.

Abdulla Almarzooqi

20 min read

A view of downtown Abu Dhabi. (Credit: Abdulla Almarzooqi)

Manama Story: Preserving the Soul of the City

The Manama Story project seeks to preserve the history of the Bahraini city, one archive at a time.

Shifaa Alsairafi

8 min read

A view of the "Soul of Manama" exhibit. (Credit: Fadhel al-Sharaf)

A New Gulf Partnership

In May, President Donald J. Trump embarked on a trip to the Gulf that signals a new era in U.S.-Gulf relations. AGSI's A New Gulf Partnership series explores the ways U.S. strategic relations with these countries are evolving and offers policy recommendations for the U.S. administration to maximize political and economic influence.

President Donald J. Trump is welcomed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 13. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

Energy and Climate Initiative

AGSIW’s Energy and Climate Initiative explores Gulf energy and climate policies, technological advances, and pressing political, social, and environmental issues ahead of COP28.

'Cop28 UAE' logo is displayed on the screen during the opening ceremony of Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week under the theme of 'United on Climate Action Toward COP28,' in Abu Dhabi, UAE, January 16. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

U.S. Presidential Election

AGSIW’s U.S. Presidential Election series explores Gulf perspectives on the 2024 election and considers how the election results may shape the future of U.S. engagement in the Gulf region.

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris take part in a presidential debate hosted by ABC in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., September 10, 2024 in a combination of file photographs. REUTERS/Brian Snyder - RC22Y9AP0PX3

Trees of the Gulf

This series looks at the vital role certain trees play in the region's collective memory, survival, and plans for the future.

A worker collects dates from a palm tree during Unaizah Season for Dates, capital of Al-Qassim region, Saudi Arabia August 15, 2020. (REUTERS /Ahmed Yosri)

All Analysis

CLEAR ALL

Can Iraq-Turkey Deal Help Iraqi Water Security?

The success of a new water-sharing deal between Iraq and Turkey hinges on Iraq’s government formation and the timely implementation of reforms.

Winnie Zheng
Winnie Zheng

9 min read

Significantly low water levels are seen on the Tigris river in Baghdad, Iraq, May 28, 2022. (AP Photo/Hadi Mizban)

Can Gulf Green Finance Survive an Oil Price Shock?

The Iran conflict has arrived at the worst possible moment for Gulf sustainable finance, a sector already navigating fiscal strain, a global ESG backlash, and the unresolved tension between hydrocarbon revenue and transition capital.

Smoke billows from Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery after a reported Iranian drone strike in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, March 2. (REUTERS/Stringer)

Iran War Hits Business Conditions in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf

March readings of the purchasing managers’ index showed a substantial deterioration in business conditions in Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Gulf.

Tim Callen

6 min read

Smoke rises above Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, March 5. (REUTERS/Stringer)

When War and Peace Are Just Means, the End Signifies Nothing

For the Gulf Arab countries, the future is more important than the present, but it is unclear if Iran, the United States, and Israel have the same vision.

8 min read

Smoke rises from Kuwait international airport after a drone strike on fuel storage in Kuwait City, Kuwait, March 25. (AP Photo)

The United States Plus: Gulf States Contemplate Regional Security After Iran War

The imperative for Gulf states to unify their position has grown since the onset of Iranian attacks on their countries. Yet under conditions of uncertainty about the U.S. position and the war's outcome, Gulf states are demonstrating differing regional alignments and preferences for managing the crisis.

A large fire and plume of smoke is visible after the debris of an intercepted Iranian drone hit the Fujairah oil facility, in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 3. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)

Water and Food Security in a Militarized Gulf

The true economic and societal impact of the conflict may not be driven by headline events alone but by the gradual erosion of the systems that underpin daily life.

Kristian Alexander

13 min read

A general view of the Saline Water Conversion Corporation in Jubail, Saudi Arabia. (Saline Water Conversion Corporation/Handout via REUTERS)