"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Subscribe

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings

Analysis

View All

Low-Cost Barrels Lure Oil Majors Back to the Middle East

From the Gulf to the eastern Mediterranean and North Africa, governments are recalibrating fiscal terms, monetization strategies, and partnership models to attract international players.

Kate Dourian

13 min read

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed al-Sudani attends a signing ceremony for a preliminary agreement between Iraq's Oil Ministry and Exxon Mobil to develop the Majnoon oil field, in Baghdad, Iraq, October 8, 2025. (Iraqi Prime Minister’s Media Office/Handout via REUTERS)

Demographics Mean That Job Creation Is Top of the Saudi Economic Policy Agenda

With young Saudis continuing to enter their working age years in large numbers, robust employment gains need to continue, but slower non-oil growth may present a challenge.

Tim Callen

11 min read

A woman prepares beverages in the historic old city of Al-Balad during the holy month of Ramadan, in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, February 24. (REUTERS/Ibraheem Abu Mustafa)

Beyond the Cube: Rethinking Urban Ambition in Riyadh

If the first phase of Vision 2030 was designed to capture imagination and reposition the kingdom globally, the next phase may focus on livability and affordability.

Hearing Them Softly: Emirati Discourse Management Works the Rift

To respond to harsh Saudi criticisms, the Emiratis have sought to reframe, deflect, and calibrate, avoiding escalation while also benefitting from powerful advocates, including Senator Lindsey Graham.

United Arab Emirates President Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan meets with Senator, Lindsey Graham in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, February 18 (WAM NEWS AGENCY/Handout via REUTERS)

Iran Signals Deterrence Paired With Diplomacy

The February 24 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian messaging in the lead up to a new round of negotiations with the United States.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Iran Signals Deterrence Paired With Diplomacy

Resigned to War Yet Still Working Toward a Deal

The February 20 edition of the Iran Media Review considers Iranian media analysis on the prospects for conflict and a potential deal to prevent it.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Resigned to War Yet Still Working Toward a Deal

Money Talks: U.S.-Iran Negotiations in Geneva

The February 17 edition of the Iran Media Review explores an Iranian deputy foreign minister’s discussion of potential economic incentives Iran is offering to the United States.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

Money Talks: U.S.-Iran Negotiations in Geneva

Revolution Day in Iran: Celebrating Survival

The February 13 edition of the Iran Media Review explores Iranian narratives surrounding the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Revolution Day in Iran: Celebrating Survival

The Saudi Fiscal Deficit in 2025 Was Larger Than Expected

The 2025 budget deficit was larger than expected. The 2026 deficit is also likely to exceed the budget target, but higher oil prices may help contain any overrun.

Tim Callen

2 min read

The Saudi Fiscal Deficit in 2025 Was Larger Than Expected

Putting the 2026 Saudi Budget Under the Microscope

The Saudi government projects that the budget deficit will narrow during 2026-28, but this will depend on a rebound in oil prices and tight control of spending.

Tim Callen

3 min read

Putting the 2026 Saudi Budget Under the Microscope

The Saudi Trade and Investment Commitment to the United States in Perspective

The $1 trillion Saudi trade and investment commitment to the United States will be extremely difficult to achieve given the size of the Saudi economy and its current financial situation.

Tim Callen

3 min read

The Saudi Trade and Investment Commitment to the United States in Perspective

The IMF Comments on the Saudi Economy and Policy Framework

The International Monetary Fund continues to endorse the direction of economic reform in Saudi Arabia but notes that risks from oil price uncertainty and strong credit growth will need to be carefully managed to keep the economy on a strong growth trajectory.

Tim Callen

4 min read

The IMF Comments on the Saudi Economy and Policy Framework

Ammar Alsabban: Superman With a Saudi Accent

With passions as diverse as puppetry, podcasting, and superheroes, Ammar Alsabban is redefining the creative limits of Saudi identity.

Sean Foley

14 min read

Ammar Alsabban. (Courtesy of Ammar Alsabban)

Rahina: A Jeweler’s Ode to Dhofari Heritage

Through Rahina, Fatma al-Najjar is exploring her Dhofari heritage and tapping into ancestral memories, one piece of jewelry at a time.

10 min read

Rahina necklaces made by Fatma al-Najjar. (Photo courtesy of Fatma al-Najjar)

Independent Researchers Are Advancing UAE History on Social Media

Independent researchers and informal collaboratives have been connecting through social media to fill in gaps in popular knowledge of the United Arab Emirates’ pre-state era.

Abdulla Almarzooqi

20 min read

A view of downtown Abu Dhabi. (Credit: Abdulla Almarzooqi)

Manama Story: Preserving the Soul of the City

The Manama Story project seeks to preserve the history of the Bahraini city, one archive at a time.

Shifaa Alsairafi

8 min read

A view of the "Soul of Manama" exhibit. (Credit: Fadhel al-Sharaf)

A New Gulf Partnership

In May, President Donald J. Trump embarked on a trip to the Gulf that signals a new era in U.S.-Gulf relations. AGSI's A New Gulf Partnership series explores the ways U.S. strategic relations with these countries are evolving and offers policy recommendations for the U.S. administration to maximize political and economic influence.

President Donald J. Trump is welcomed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 13. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

Energy and Climate Initiative

AGSIW’s Energy and Climate Initiative explores Gulf energy and climate policies, technological advances, and pressing political, social, and environmental issues ahead of COP28.

'Cop28 UAE' logo is displayed on the screen during the opening ceremony of Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week under the theme of 'United on Climate Action Toward COP28,' in Abu Dhabi, UAE, January 16. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

U.S. Presidential Election

AGSIW’s U.S. Presidential Election series explores Gulf perspectives on the 2024 election and considers how the election results may shape the future of U.S. engagement in the Gulf region.

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris take part in a presidential debate hosted by ABC in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., September 10, 2024 in a combination of file photographs. REUTERS/Brian Snyder - RC22Y9AP0PX3

Trees of the Gulf

This series looks at the vital role certain trees play in the region's collective memory, survival, and plans for the future.

A worker collects dates from a palm tree during Unaizah Season for Dates, capital of Al-Qassim region, Saudi Arabia August 15, 2020. (REUTERS /Ahmed Yosri)

All Analysis

CLEAR ALL

Low-Cost Barrels Lure Oil Majors Back to the Middle East

From the Gulf to the eastern Mediterranean and North Africa, governments are recalibrating fiscal terms, monetization strategies, and partnership models to attract international players.

Kate Dourian

13 min read

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed al-Sudani attends a signing ceremony for a preliminary agreement between Iraq's Oil Ministry and Exxon Mobil to develop the Majnoon oil field, in Baghdad, Iraq, October 8, 2025. (Iraqi Prime Minister’s Media Office/Handout via REUTERS)

Demographics Mean That Job Creation Is Top of the Saudi Economic Policy Agenda

With young Saudis continuing to enter their working age years in large numbers, robust employment gains need to continue, but slower non-oil growth may present a challenge.

Tim Callen

11 min read

A woman prepares beverages in the historic old city of Al-Balad during the holy month of Ramadan, in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, February 24. (REUTERS/Ibraheem Abu Mustafa)

Beyond the Cube: Rethinking Urban Ambition in Riyadh

If the first phase of Vision 2030 was designed to capture imagination and reposition the kingdom globally, the next phase may focus on livability and affordability.

Hearing Them Softly: Emirati Discourse Management Works the Rift

To respond to harsh Saudi criticisms, the Emiratis have sought to reframe, deflect, and calibrate, avoiding escalation while also benefitting from powerful advocates, including Senator Lindsey Graham.

United Arab Emirates President Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan meets with Senator, Lindsey Graham in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, February 18 (WAM NEWS AGENCY/Handout via REUTERS)

Oman Sets Its Economic Compass for the Year Ahead

A flurry of economic announcements and initiatives by the Omani government indicate a strong desire to sustain both reform progress and economic momentum amid potential headwinds.

An Omani couple stand on the Mutrah Corniche in Muscat, Oman, February 6. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)

The UAE’s Pitch for Cricket

Cricket has become a key part of the United Arab Emirates’ multipolar approach to sports investment, where franchise ownership, player markets, and transnational capital converge to support economic diversification and power projection.

Oman's Syed Aamir Kaleem, left, celebrates his 50 runs with batting partner Hammad Mirza during the T20 World Cup cricket match between Ireland and Oman in Colombo, Sri Lanka, February 14. (AP Photo/Eranga Jayawardena)