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Analysis

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U.S. Bases in the Gulf Have Lost Their Sanctuary: What Comes Next?

The Iran war has changed the basing question. Washington will have to determine how much infrastructure it can sustain, which missions deserve priority, and how much responsibility regional partners can realistically assume.

John Calabrese

13 min read

A member from the 379th Air Expeditionary Wing prepares to marshal a C-17 Globemaster lll as another C-17 taxis onto the flightline at Al Udeid Air Base, Qatar, August 23, 2021. (Airman 1st Class Kylie Barrow/U.S. Air Force via AP)

Oman Seeks Domestic Dividends in High-Potential Sectoral Development 

An updated economic program and new regulatory framework reveal Oman’s focus on generating in-country value associated with promising economic development areas.

General view of the port of Salalah in Dhofar governorate, Oman, August 6, 2024. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

Israeli Politics Can’t Address International, Especially Saudi, Concerns

Policies that prevent Saudi Arabia from pursuing diplomatic normalization and are fueling alienation in large parts of the West seem to reflect a Jewish consensus in Israel.

Hussein Ibish

16 min read

A tank mounted on a military truck passes an election campaign poster featuring Gadi Eisenkot, leader of the centrist Yashar party, in Kiryat Shmona, near the border with Lebanon in northern Israel, October 20. (AP Photo/Ariel Schalit)

Across the Red Sea: Gulf Rivalries and the Horn of Africa Security Landscape

Can Saudi-Emirati cooperation against the Houthis in Yemen narrow the divide on the Horn of Africa?

11 min read

Workers stand in front of shipping containers at the port of Berbera, run by DP World, in Berbera, Somaliland, April 1, 2018. (AP Photo/Malak Harb)

Tehran Gloats and Worries

The November 6 edition of the Iran Media Review explores Iranian reactions to the U.S. midterm election results.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Tehran Gloats and Worries

Mediator, Not Guarantor: Tehran Sizes Up Beijing’s Role

The November 3 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights an IRGC-affiliated newspaper’s analysis of the limits of the usefulness to Iran of Chinese mediation.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

Mediator, Not Guarantor: Tehran Sizes Up Beijing’s Role

Khamenei Calls for End to “Neither War Nor Peace”

The October 30 edition of the Iran Media Review considers proposals for a new Iranian strategy in the confrontation with the United States and Israel.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

Khamenei Calls for End to “Neither War Nor Peace”

Qalibaf Defies, Sazandegi Regrets

The October 27 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights defiance from Iran’s parliamentary speaker and nostalgia from an Iranian newspaper.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

Qalibaf Defies, Sazandegi Regrets

Saudi Growth Rebounds in Third Quarter, But Uncertainty Remains High

The Saudi economy rebounded in the third quarter due to a recovery in oil production, but the short-term outlook remains uncertain amid continuing regional tensions.

Tim Callen

3 min read

Saudi Growth Rebounds in Third Quarter, But Uncertainty Remains High

Putting Recent Saudi Budget Data Under the Microscope

Recently published data suggests that the 2026 Saudi government budget deficit will be larger than previously forecast.

Tim Callen

4 min read

Putting Recent Saudi Budget Data Under the Microscope

Saudi Current Account Back in Deficit in the Second Quarter

The Saudi current account moved back into deficit in the second quarter of 2026, but the external sector position of the kingdom remains very strong.

Tim Callen

3 min read

Saudi Current Account Back in Deficit in the Second Quarter

Saudi Fiscal Deficit To Be Larger Than Budgeted in 2026

The Saudi Ministry of Finance now expects a larger-than-budgeted fiscal deficit in 2026 as expenditure increases to support the economy.

Tim Callen

4 min read

Saudi Fiscal Deficit To Be Larger Than Budgeted in 2026

A New Generation Is Putting Bahraini Cuisine on the Map

Chefs Suman Ali Sayed and Dona Murad are introducing Bahraini cuisine to eateries abroad, attracting international diners increasingly interested in distinct food cultures and histories.

Shaistha Khan
Shaistha Khan

6 min read

Talli Circle: Traditional Weaving Connects Emirati Women

Talli Circle, a new platform highlighting a traditional Emirati form of weaving, is reconnecting young Emirati women with their culture, heritage, and mothers and grandmothers.

talli Circle community event at Jumeirah Beach Park. (Courtesy of Talli Circle)

Al-Falaj Connects Researchers to the Scattered Archives of Arabia

Saudi author and anthropologist Ghada AlMuhanna Abalkhail launched al-Falaj, an open access digital directory, to help users explore the Arabian Peninsula's visual and documentary heritage.

Sharifah Alhinai

11 min read

This photograph was taken inside Jabal Al Qarah, situated between the villages of Al Tuwaythir and Al Qarah in Al Ahsa governorate on May 31, 1924. (Swiss geologist Arnold Heim via ETH Zurich)

Hind Al Mulla Is Taking Home Bakery Global

After building highly successful restaurants in the UAE and Saudi Arabia, Emirati pastry chef Hind Al Mulla plans to take the Home Bakery group global while providing a platform for other Emirati entrepreneurs.

Abdulla Almarzooqi

14 min read

Home Bakery’s flagship branch in Al Wasl, Dubai. (Courtesy of Hind Almulla)

A New Gulf Partnership

In May, President Donald J. Trump embarked on a trip to the Gulf that signals a new era in U.S.-Gulf relations. AGSI's A New Gulf Partnership series explores the ways U.S. strategic relations with these countries are evolving and offers policy recommendations for the U.S. administration to maximize political and economic influence.

President Donald J. Trump is welcomed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 13. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

Energy and Climate Initiative

AGSIW’s Energy and Climate Initiative explores Gulf energy and climate policies, technological advances, and pressing political, social, and environmental issues ahead of COP28.

'Cop28 UAE' logo is displayed on the screen during the opening ceremony of Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week under the theme of 'United on Climate Action Toward COP28,' in Abu Dhabi, UAE, January 16. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

U.S. Presidential Election

AGSIW’s U.S. Presidential Election series explores Gulf perspectives on the 2024 election and considers how the election results may shape the future of U.S. engagement in the Gulf region.

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris take part in a presidential debate hosted by ABC in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., September 10, 2024 in a combination of file photographs. REUTERS/Brian Snyder - RC22Y9AP0PX3

Trees of the Gulf

This series looks at the vital role certain trees play in the region's collective memory, survival, and plans for the future.

A worker collects dates from a palm tree during Unaizah Season for Dates, capital of Al-Qassim region, Saudi Arabia August 15, 2020. (REUTERS /Ahmed Yosri)

All Analysis

CLEAR ALL

U.S. Bases in the Gulf Have Lost Their Sanctuary: What Comes Next?

The Iran war has changed the basing question. Washington will have to determine how much infrastructure it can sustain, which missions deserve priority, and how much responsibility regional partners can realistically assume.

John Calabrese

13 min read

A member from the 379th Air Expeditionary Wing prepares to marshal a C-17 Globemaster lll as another C-17 taxis onto the flightline at Al Udeid Air Base, Qatar, August 23, 2021. (Airman 1st Class Kylie Barrow/U.S. Air Force via AP)

Oman Seeks Domestic Dividends in High-Potential Sectoral Development 

An updated economic program and new regulatory framework reveal Oman’s focus on generating in-country value associated with promising economic development areas.

General view of the port of Salalah in Dhofar governorate, Oman, August 6, 2024. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

Israeli Politics Can’t Address International, Especially Saudi, Concerns

Policies that prevent Saudi Arabia from pursuing diplomatic normalization and are fueling alienation in large parts of the West seem to reflect a Jewish consensus in Israel.

Hussein Ibish

16 min read

A tank mounted on a military truck passes an election campaign poster featuring Gadi Eisenkot, leader of the centrist Yashar party, in Kiryat Shmona, near the border with Lebanon in northern Israel, October 20. (AP Photo/Ariel Schalit)

Across the Red Sea: Gulf Rivalries and the Horn of Africa Security Landscape

Can Saudi-Emirati cooperation against the Houthis in Yemen narrow the divide on the Horn of Africa?

11 min read

Workers stand in front of shipping containers at the port of Berbera, run by DP World, in Berbera, Somaliland, April 1, 2018. (AP Photo/Malak Harb)

How the Houthis Fight, Negotiate, and Win

The Houthis don’t win because they are smarter or better fighters than their adversaries. They win because they are focused and unified, while their opponents tend to be divided and distracted.

Houthi supporters rally to show support for the movement as fighting intensifies across several Yemeni fronts, in Sanaa, Yemen, October 9. (REUTERS/Mohammed al-Mahdi)

A Gulf-European Pathway to Middle Power AI

Gulf partnerships offer a practical way for European countries to expand capacity and diversify compute providers.

Jesse Marks
Jesse Marks

12 min read

Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan, center, is welcomed by French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot, left, and French businesswoman Clara Chappaz at the Grand Palais during the Artificial Intelligence Action Summit in Paris, February 11, 2025. (AP Photo/Thomas Padilla)