"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Subscribe

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings

Analysis

View All

Venezuela, Trump, and Implications for OPEC’s Middle Eastern Core

A founding member of OPEC is now effectively under external control, raising questions about sovereignty, influence, and the resilience of producer-led market management.

Kate Dourian

11 min read

Vehicles drive past the El Palito oil refinery in Puerto Cabello, Venezuela, Dec. 21, 2025. (AP Photo/Matias Delacroix, File)

Protests in Iran: Regime Deal With Trump or Degrade Toward Collapse?

Though the Iranian regime is facing increasing pressure from protesters and armed insurgent groups, it is not yet doomed – but without a deal with the United States, the regime is likely headed for a slow collapse.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Protesters march on a bridge in Tehran, Iran, Dec. 29, 2025. (Fars News Agency via AP, File)

Yemen’s Continuing Crack-Up

The STC’s failed attempt at independence likely means that Yemen won’t split along North and South lines.

A Southern Transitional Council solider stands at a check point in Aden, Yemen, Dec. 31, 2025. (AP Photo)

Abu Dhabi’s Big Bid on Culture

Alongside its bid to become a regional and global economic powerhouse, the UAE capital is also rising as a new global capital for culture.

Zayed National Museum. (Credit: Zayed National Museum)

Decoupled From the Internet, IRGC Media Talks of Unity

The January 13 edition of the Iran Media Review considers IRGC-affiliated media’s unverifiable account of societal cohesion amid ongoing protests.

Ali Alfoneh

1 min read

Decoupled From the Internet, IRGC Media Talks of Unity

The IRGC Warns Iraq’s Kurdistan Region

The January 9 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes IRGC-affiliated media threats against Kurdish parties headquartered in the Kurdistan region of Iraq.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

The IRGC Warns Iraq’s Kurdistan Region

Khamenei Comments on the Protests in Iran

The January 6 edition of the Iran Media Review examines Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s response to a new wave of protests.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

Khamenei Comments on the Protests in Iran

Iran: Searching For a Way Out of the Impasse

The December 19 edition of the Iran Media Review examines an article by the son of a late Iranian president suggesting a way out of Iran’s current foreign and domestic crises.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran: Searching For a Way Out of the Impasse

Putting the 2026 Saudi Budget Under the Microscope

The Saudi government projects that the budget deficit will narrow during 2026-28, but this will depend on a rebound in oil prices and tight control of spending.

Tim Callen

3 min read

Putting the 2026 Saudi Budget Under the Microscope

The Saudi Trade and Investment Commitment to the United States in Perspective

The $1 trillion Saudi trade and investment commitment to the United States will be extremely difficult to achieve given the size of the Saudi economy and its current financial situation.

Tim Callen

3 min read

The Saudi Trade and Investment Commitment to the United States in Perspective

The IMF Comments on the Saudi Economy and Policy Framework

The International Monetary Fund continues to endorse the direction of economic reform in Saudi Arabia but notes that risks from oil price uncertainty and strong credit growth will need to be carefully managed to keep the economy on a strong growth trajectory.

Tim Callen

4 min read

The IMF Comments on the Saudi Economy and Policy Framework

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices

The Saudi current account moved into a small deficit in 2024 despite oil prices of $80 per barrel. A return to a surplus is unlikely unless oil revenue moves sharply higher.

Tim Callen

4 min read

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices

Ammar Alsabban: Superman With a Saudi Accent

With passions as diverse as puppetry, podcasting, and superheroes, Ammar Alsabban is redefining the creative limits of Saudi identity.

Sean Foley

14 min read

Ammar Alsabban. (Courtesy of Ammar Alsabban)

Rahina: A Jeweler’s Ode to Dhofari Heritage

Through Rahina, Fatma al-Najjar is exploring her Dhofari heritage and tapping into ancestral memories, one piece of jewelry at a time.

10 min read

Rahina necklaces made by Fatma al-Najjar. (Photo courtesy of Fatma al-Najjar)

Independent Researchers Are Advancing UAE History on Social Media

Independent researchers and informal collaboratives have been connecting through social media to fill in gaps in popular knowledge of the United Arab Emirates’ pre-state era.

Abdulla Almarzooqi

20 min read

A view of downtown Abu Dhabi. (Credit: Abdulla Almarzooqi)

Manama Story: Preserving the Soul of the City

The Manama Story project seeks to preserve the history of the Bahraini city, one archive at a time.

Shifaa Alsairafi

8 min read

A view of the "Soul of Manama" exhibit. (Credit: Fadhel al-Sharaf)

A New Gulf Partnership

In May, President Donald J. Trump embarked on a trip to the Gulf that signals a new era in U.S.-Gulf relations. AGSI's A New Gulf Partnership series explores the ways U.S. strategic relations with these countries are evolving and offers policy recommendations for the U.S. administration to maximize political and economic influence.

President Donald J. Trump is welcomed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 13. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

Energy and Climate Initiative

AGSIW’s Energy and Climate Initiative explores Gulf energy and climate policies, technological advances, and pressing political, social, and environmental issues ahead of COP28.

'Cop28 UAE' logo is displayed on the screen during the opening ceremony of Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week under the theme of 'United on Climate Action Toward COP28,' in Abu Dhabi, UAE, January 16. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

U.S. Presidential Election

AGSIW’s U.S. Presidential Election series explores Gulf perspectives on the 2024 election and considers how the election results may shape the future of U.S. engagement in the Gulf region.

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris take part in a presidential debate hosted by ABC in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., September 10, 2024 in a combination of file photographs. REUTERS/Brian Snyder - RC22Y9AP0PX3

Trees of the Gulf

This series looks at the vital role certain trees play in the region's collective memory, survival, and plans for the future.

A worker collects dates from a palm tree during Unaizah Season for Dates, capital of Al-Qassim region, Saudi Arabia August 15, 2020. (REUTERS /Ahmed Yosri)

All Analysis

CLEAR ALL

Venezuela, Trump, and Implications for OPEC’s Middle Eastern Core

A founding member of OPEC is now effectively under external control, raising questions about sovereignty, influence, and the resilience of producer-led market management.

Kate Dourian

11 min read

Vehicles drive past the El Palito oil refinery in Puerto Cabello, Venezuela, Dec. 21, 2025. (AP Photo/Matias Delacroix, File)

Protests in Iran: Regime Deal With Trump or Degrade Toward Collapse?

Though the Iranian regime is facing increasing pressure from protesters and armed insurgent groups, it is not yet doomed – but without a deal with the United States, the regime is likely headed for a slow collapse.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Protesters march on a bridge in Tehran, Iran, Dec. 29, 2025. (Fars News Agency via AP, File)

Yemen’s Continuing Crack-Up

The STC’s failed attempt at independence likely means that Yemen won’t split along North and South lines.

A Southern Transitional Council solider stands at a check point in Aden, Yemen, Dec. 31, 2025. (AP Photo)

Abu Dhabi’s Big Bid on Culture

Alongside its bid to become a regional and global economic powerhouse, the UAE capital is also rising as a new global capital for culture.

Zayed National Museum. (Credit: Zayed National Museum)

The Gulf’s Return to Lebanon?

A new government and the movement to disarm a weakened Hezbollah are increasing Gulf states’ trust in Lebanon, but Gulf-Lebanese rapprochement is not yet right around the corner.

Paul Shaya

13 min read

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman accompanies Lebanese President Joseph Aoun upon his arrival to the Royal Palace in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, March 3. (Lebanese Presidency press office via AP)

Recasting Syria After Assad: Saudi Arabia’s Bid to Shape a Gulf-Led Regional Order

Saudi Arabia’s early, front-loaded engagement in Syria is part of a preemptive strategy to shape conditions before rival actors can fill the vacuum.

John Calabrese

14 min read

Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, October 29. (Saudi Press Agency/Handout via REUTERS)