Analysis
View AllThe Next Battlefield: AI, Cybersecurity, and the Evolution of Military Threats
As AI capabilities increasingly converge with cyber warfare, military superiority will depend not on troop numbers or weapons platforms but on algorithmic advantages and digital resilience.
10 min read

The Gulf in the New Energy Order
As Gulf states expand their influence across supply chains, fuel types, and geopolitical alliances, the choices made today will define the region’s role in the new energy order and the emerging world that surrounds it.

Trump’s MAGA Bid Helps the Gulf Become More Global
President Trump’s Gulf visit has highlighted how the United States can craft a creative policy centered on peace, regional stability, and cooperation.
7 min read

Post-Assad Syria: A Testing Ground for Gulf Ambitions and U.S. Strategy
The fall of the Assad regime has not only reopened Syria to regional reintegration but also exposed the fragmented ambitions of Gulf powers seeking to shape its future.

Jun 13, 2025
Iran: Unprepared, Defenseless, and Under Attack
The June 13 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian responses to widespread Israeli attacks on IRGC leaders, Iranian scientists, and multiple nuclear facilities.

Jun 10, 2025
Spy War: Iran vs. Israel
The June 10 edition of the Iran Media Review considers Iranian media reports about stolen Israeli nuclear documents and Israeli sabotage of Iranian nuclear infrastructure.

Jun 6, 2025
Supreme Displeasure
The June 6 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights comments by Ayatollah Khamenei expressing anger with U.S. negotiation messaging.

Jun 3, 2025
Iranian Media Breaks Taboos
The June 3 edition of the Iran Media Review examines how Iranian media is breaking long held political taboos.

Apr 23, 2025
Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices
The Saudi current account moved into a small deficit in 2024 despite oil prices of $80 per barrel. A return to a surplus is unlikely unless oil revenue moves sharply higher.

Apr 9, 2025
What Do Lower Oil Prices Mean for the Saudi Budget?
The sharp drop in oil prices over the past week will result in a larger budget deficit and more government borrowing.

Mar 28, 2025
Positive Momentum Continues in the Saudi Labor Market
Robust growth in the non-oil economy and ongoing reforms are driving increased employment and labor force participation rates and lower unemployment among Saudi nationals.

Mar 5, 2025
Lower Aramco Dividends to Hit Government Budget and PIF in 2025
Aramco has announced it will pay a significantly lower dividend in 2025, which is bad news for the Public Investment Fund and the government, with the fiscal deficit in 2025 likely to be larger than budgeted.

Rahina: A Jeweler’s Ode to Dhofari Heritage
Through Rahina, Fatma al-Najjar is exploring her Dhofari heritage and tapping into ancestral memories, one piece of jewelry at a time.
10 min read

Independent Researchers Are Advancing UAE History on Social Media
Independent researchers and informal collaboratives have been connecting through social media to fill in gaps in popular knowledge of the United Arab Emirates’ pre-state era.

Manama Story: Preserving the Soul of the City
The Manama Story project seeks to preserve the history of the Bahraini city, one archive at a time.

Fablemill: Bringing Stories From the Region to Life
Through Fablemill, Eman Alsabah and her team are creating content that celebrates the region’s diverse stories and speaks to a global audience.

A New Gulf Partnership
In May, President Donald J. Trump embarked on a trip to the Gulf that signals a new era in U.S.-Gulf relations. AGSI's A New Gulf Partnership series explores the ways U.S. strategic relations with these countries are evolving and offers policy recommendations for the U.S. administration to maximize political and economic influence.

Nov 13, 2024
Energy and Climate Initiative
AGSIW’s Energy and Climate Initiative explores Gulf energy and climate policies, technological advances, and pressing political, social, and environmental issues ahead of COP28.

Nov 5, 2024
U.S. Presidential Election
AGSIW’s U.S. Presidential Election series explores Gulf perspectives on the 2024 election and considers how the election results may shape the future of U.S. engagement in the Gulf region.

Sep 6, 2024
Trees of the Gulf
This series looks at the vital role certain trees play in the region's collective memory, survival, and plans for the future.

All Analysis
The Next Battlefield: AI, Cybersecurity, and the Evolution of Military Threats
As AI capabilities increasingly converge with cyber warfare, military superiority will depend not on troop numbers or weapons platforms but on algorithmic advantages and digital resilience.
10 min read

The Gulf in the New Energy Order
As Gulf states expand their influence across supply chains, fuel types, and geopolitical alliances, the choices made today will define the region’s role in the new energy order and the emerging world that surrounds it.

Trump’s MAGA Bid Helps the Gulf Become More Global
President Trump’s Gulf visit has highlighted how the United States can craft a creative policy centered on peace, regional stability, and cooperation.
7 min read

Post-Assad Syria: A Testing Ground for Gulf Ambitions and U.S. Strategy
The fall of the Assad regime has not only reopened Syria to regional reintegration but also exposed the fragmented ambitions of Gulf powers seeking to shape its future.

U.S. Moves Toward New Trump Doctrine for the Gulf
President Trump’s May trip to the Gulf showed the need to supplant the outdated Carter Doctrine with a new Trump Doctrine that focuses on reciprocal economic partnerships, security burden sharing, and the transformation of Gulf societies while still ensuring energy flows.

A Path to a Stronger United States in the Gulf
AGSI offers pragmatic, targeted policy recommendations for the Trump administration to maximize U.S. political and economic influence with the crucial emerging regional powers in the Gulf.
20 min read
