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Analysis

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The Next Battlefield: AI, Cybersecurity, and the Evolution of Military Threats

As AI capabilities increasingly converge with cyber warfare, military superiority will depend not on troop numbers or weapons platforms but on algorithmic advantages and digital resilience.

10 min read

Visitors observe the Iranian Ministry of Defense’s display featuring the Shahed 136 drone during Iraq’s Defense, Security, and Cybersecurity Exhibition in Baghdad, Iraq April 19. (REUTERS/Ahmed Saad)

The Gulf in the New Energy Order

As Gulf states expand their influence across supply chains, fuel types, and geopolitical alliances, the choices made today will define the region’s role in the new energy order and the emerging world that surrounds it.

Kate Dourian

9 min read

Solar panels and a power station operate at Mohammed bin Rashid Solar Park in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Dec. 11, 2023. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)

Trump’s MAGA Bid Helps the Gulf Become More Global

President Trump’s Gulf visit has highlighted how the United States can craft a creative policy centered on peace, regional stability, and cooperation.

7 min read

President Donald J. Trump meets Emirati President Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan at Qasr Al Watan, in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, May 15. (REUTERS/Amr Alfiky)

Post-Assad Syria: A Testing Ground for Gulf Ambitions and U.S. Strategy

The fall of the Assad regime has not only reopened Syria to regional reintegration but also exposed the fragmented ambitions of Gulf powers seeking to shape its future.

John Calabrese
John Calabrese

16 min read

Emirati President Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan and Syrian interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa meet at Al Shati Palace in Abu Dhabi, UAE, April 13. (Abdulla Al Bedwawi/UAE Presidential Court/Handout via REUTERS)(Abdulla Al Bedwawi/UAE Presidential Court/Handout via REUTERS)

Iran: Unprepared, Defenseless, and Under Attack

The June 13 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian responses to widespread Israeli attacks on IRGC leaders, Iranian scientists, and multiple nuclear facilities.

Ali Alfoneh

17 min read

Iran: Unprepared, Defenseless, and Under Attack

Spy War: Iran vs. Israel

The June 10 edition of the Iran Media Review considers Iranian media reports about stolen Israeli nuclear documents and Israeli sabotage of Iranian nuclear infrastructure.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

Spy War: Iran vs. Israel

Supreme Displeasure

The June 6 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights comments by Ayatollah Khamenei expressing anger with U.S. negotiation messaging.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Supreme Displeasure

Iranian Media Breaks Taboos

The June 3 edition of the Iran Media Review examines how Iranian media is breaking long held political taboos.

Ali Alfoneh

8 min read

Iranian Media Breaks Taboos

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices

The Saudi current account moved into a small deficit in 2024 despite oil prices of $80 per barrel. A return to a surplus is unlikely unless oil revenue moves sharply higher.

Tim Callen

4 min read

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices

What Do Lower Oil Prices Mean for the Saudi Budget?

The sharp drop in oil prices over the past week will result in a larger budget deficit and more government borrowing.

Tim Callen

4 min read

What Do Lower Oil Prices Mean for the Saudi Budget?

Positive Momentum Continues in the Saudi Labor Market

Robust growth in the non-oil economy and ongoing reforms are driving increased employment and labor force participation rates and lower unemployment among Saudi nationals.

Tim Callen

2 min read

Positive Momentum Continues in the Saudi Labor Market

Lower Aramco Dividends to Hit Government Budget and PIF in 2025

Aramco has announced it will pay a significantly lower dividend in 2025, which is bad news for the Public Investment Fund and the government, with the fiscal deficit in 2025 likely to be larger than budgeted.

Tim Callen

2 min read

Lower Aramco Dividends to Hit Government Budget and PIF in 2025

Rahina: A Jeweler’s Ode to Dhofari Heritage

Through Rahina, Fatma al-Najjar is exploring her Dhofari heritage and tapping into ancestral memories, one piece of jewelry at a time.

10 min read

Independent Researchers Are Advancing UAE History on Social Media

Independent researchers and informal collaboratives have been connecting through social media to fill in gaps in popular knowledge of the United Arab Emirates’ pre-state era.

Abdulla Almarzooqi
Abdulla Almarzooqi

20 min read

Manama Story: Preserving the Soul of the City

The Manama Story project seeks to preserve the history of the Bahraini city, one archive at a time.

Shifaa Alsairafi

8 min read

Fablemill: Bringing Stories From the Region to Life

Through Fablemill, Eman Alsabah and her team are creating content that celebrates the region’s diverse stories and speaks to a global audience.

Shifaa Alsairafi

10 min read

Eman Alsabah (founder and CEO of Fablemill), Mariam Maki (head of projects at Fablemill), and Ghufran Alhubail (producer at Fablemill). (Credit: bentrepreneur)

A New Gulf Partnership

In May, President Donald J. Trump embarked on a trip to the Gulf that signals a new era in U.S.-Gulf relations. AGSI's A New Gulf Partnership series explores the ways U.S. strategic relations with these countries are evolving and offers policy recommendations for the U.S. administration to maximize political and economic influence.

President Donald J. Trump is welcomed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 13. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

Energy and Climate Initiative

AGSIW’s Energy and Climate Initiative explores Gulf energy and climate policies, technological advances, and pressing political, social, and environmental issues ahead of COP28.

'Cop28 UAE' logo is displayed on the screen during the opening ceremony of Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week under the theme of 'United on Climate Action Toward COP28,' in Abu Dhabi, UAE, January 16. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

U.S. Presidential Election

AGSIW’s U.S. Presidential Election series explores Gulf perspectives on the 2024 election and considers how the election results may shape the future of U.S. engagement in the Gulf region.

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris take part in a presidential debate hosted by ABC in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., September 10, 2024 in a combination of file photographs. REUTERS/Brian Snyder - RC22Y9AP0PX3

Trees of the Gulf

This series looks at the vital role certain trees play in the region's collective memory, survival, and plans for the future.

A worker collects dates from a palm tree during Unaizah Season for Dates, capital of Al-Qassim region, Saudi Arabia August 15, 2020. (REUTERS /Ahmed Yosri)

All Analysis

CLEAR ALL

The Next Battlefield: AI, Cybersecurity, and the Evolution of Military Threats

As AI capabilities increasingly converge with cyber warfare, military superiority will depend not on troop numbers or weapons platforms but on algorithmic advantages and digital resilience.

10 min read

Visitors observe the Iranian Ministry of Defense’s display featuring the Shahed 136 drone during Iraq’s Defense, Security, and Cybersecurity Exhibition in Baghdad, Iraq April 19. (REUTERS/Ahmed Saad)

The Gulf in the New Energy Order

As Gulf states expand their influence across supply chains, fuel types, and geopolitical alliances, the choices made today will define the region’s role in the new energy order and the emerging world that surrounds it.

Kate Dourian

9 min read

Solar panels and a power station operate at Mohammed bin Rashid Solar Park in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Dec. 11, 2023. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)

Trump’s MAGA Bid Helps the Gulf Become More Global

President Trump’s Gulf visit has highlighted how the United States can craft a creative policy centered on peace, regional stability, and cooperation.

7 min read

President Donald J. Trump meets Emirati President Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan at Qasr Al Watan, in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, May 15. (REUTERS/Amr Alfiky)

Post-Assad Syria: A Testing Ground for Gulf Ambitions and U.S. Strategy

The fall of the Assad regime has not only reopened Syria to regional reintegration but also exposed the fragmented ambitions of Gulf powers seeking to shape its future.

John Calabrese
John Calabrese

16 min read

Emirati President Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan and Syrian interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa meet at Al Shati Palace in Abu Dhabi, UAE, April 13. (Abdulla Al Bedwawi/UAE Presidential Court/Handout via REUTERS)(Abdulla Al Bedwawi/UAE Presidential Court/Handout via REUTERS)

U.S. Moves Toward New Trump Doctrine for the Gulf

President Trump’s May trip to the Gulf showed the need to supplant the outdated Carter Doctrine with a new Trump Doctrine that focuses on reciprocal economic partnerships, security burden sharing, and the transformation of Gulf societies while still ensuring energy flows.

President Donald J. Trump speaks at the Gulf Cooperation Council in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

A Path to a Stronger United States in the Gulf

AGSI offers pragmatic, targeted policy recommendations for the Trump administration to maximize U.S. political and economic influence with the crucial emerging regional powers in the Gulf.

20 min read

President Donald J. Trump, fifth left, attends a group photo session with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, fourth right, UAE Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, second right, Bahraini Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, left, Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, third left, Kuwaiti Emir Meshal al-Ahmed al-Jaber al-Sabah, second left, GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi, right, during the GCC Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)