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Economy

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Post-Assad Syria: A Testing Ground for Gulf Ambitions and U.S. Strategy

The fall of the Assad regime has not only reopened Syria to regional reintegration but also exposed the fragmented ambitions of Gulf powers seeking to shape its future.

Emirati President Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan and Syrian interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa meet at Al Shati Palace in Abu Dhabi, UAE, April 13. (Abdulla Al Bedwawi/UAE Presidential Court/Handout via REUTERS)(Abdulla Al Bedwawi/UAE Presidential Court/Handout via REUTERS)

A Path to a Stronger United States in the Gulf

AGSI offers pragmatic, targeted policy recommendations for the Trump administration to maximize U.S. political and economic influence with the crucial emerging regional powers in the Gulf.

President Donald J. Trump, fifth left, attends a group photo session with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, fourth right, UAE Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, second right, Bahraini Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, left, Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, third left, Kuwaiti Emir Meshal al-Ahmed al-Jaber al-Sabah, second left, GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi, right, during the GCC Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Ambition, Investment, Collaboration: Trump’s Visit Redefines U.S.-UAE Tech

Trump’s visit to the UAE, centered on artificial intelligence, investment, and defense, will not only highlight the scale of Emirati aspirations but also reveal the complex interplay of state, business, and family networks now shaping the U.S.-UAE relationship.

President Donald J. Trump waves as he boards Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, MD, April 29. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Saudi Economic Diversification and the Current Account Deficit

Saudi Arabia has continued to make progress in diversifying its economy, although lower oil revenue, higher imports, and stronger remittance outflows pushed the current account into a small deficit in 2024.

Tourists and locals in the historic old city, Al-Balad, in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, April 21. (REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed)

From Petrodollar Partners to Geo-Economic Rivals? Washington and the Arab Gulf States

On May 8, AGSIW hosted a discussion on how U.S. geoeconomic policy is reshaping ties with Gulf states.

President Donald J. Trump shakes hands with Saudi Arabia's then deputy crown prince and defense minister, Mohammed bin Salman, during a bilateral meeting, in Riyadh, May 20, 2017. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)

Trade Tensions and Tariffs: IEA, EIA, and OPEC Slash Global Oil Demand Forecasts

Global demand forecasts by leading agencies have diverged sharply, reflecting a deepening sense of uncertainty about the future path of the global economy.

Redlines and Realpolitik: Saudi Arabia’s Diplomatic Test Ahead of Trump’s Visit

Trump’s trip to Saudi Arabia has the potential not only to reinforce the deep-rooted U.S.-Saudi alliance but also to expose the fault lines that could undermine future cooperation.