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Bahrain

Gulf States Play Defense

Caught between Iranian strikes and U.S.-Israeli pressure to join the fight, Gulf Arab states strive to maintain their autonomy over decision making, playing defense and preserving the space to maneuver when the war ends.

Passengers wait at Muscat International Airport as the sultanate of Oman facilitates the return of passengers to their home countries amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran in Muscat, Oman, March 5. (Oman News Agency/Handout via REUTERS)

Markets Respond to the Iran Conflict

The early reactions of regional stock markets reflect serious concerns but not full-blown panic despite an unprecedented escalation of the Iran conflict.

Large fire and plume of smoke is visible after, according to the authorities, debris of an Iranian intercepted drone hit an oil facility in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 3. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)

Iran War: Gulf Unity, Economic Shocks, and Regime Scenarios

After a massive U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iran, AGSI explores scenarios for the future of Iran and implications for broader Gulf security.

A plume of smoke rises after a strike in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Outlook 2026

AGSI experts assess the trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy in 2026.

Outlook 2026

The Gulf’s Return to Lebanon?

A new government and the movement to disarm a weakened Hezbollah are increasing Gulf states’ trust in Lebanon, but Gulf-Lebanese rapprochement is not yet right around the corner.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman accompanies Lebanese President Joseph Aoun upon his arrival to the Royal Palace in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, March 3. (Lebanese Presidency press office via AP)

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Friends in Need: Morocco’s Gen Z Protests and the GCC Response

Morocco’s protests prompted gestures of support from GCC states, representing a fresh reminder of a long history of supporting each other in times of need.

Protesters demonstrate in Casablanca, Morocco, October 2. (REUTERS/Stringer)

What Can the Gulf Do After the Attack on Qatar?

Gulf states need to prioritize enhanced regional defense cooperation with an expanded group of potential partners, consider using the financial leverage of sovereign wealth funds’ action, and ramp up diplomatic pressure to deter such attacks in the future.

View of the Amiri Diwan building in Doha, Qatar, September 15, 2025. (REUTERS/Ibraheem Abu Mustafa)