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Bahrain

Can Gulf Green Finance Survive an Oil Price Shock?

The Iran conflict has arrived at the worst possible moment for Gulf sustainable finance, a sector already navigating fiscal strain, a global ESG backlash, and the unresolved tension between hydrocarbon revenue and transition capital.

Smoke billows from Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery after a reported Iranian drone strike in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, March 2. (REUTERS/Stringer)

When War and Peace Are Just Means, the End Signifies Nothing

For the Gulf Arab countries, the future is more important than the present, but it is unclear if Iran, the United States, and Israel have the same vision.

Smoke rises from Kuwait international airport after a drone strike on fuel storage in Kuwait City, Kuwait, March 25. (AP Photo)

The United States Plus: Gulf States Contemplate Regional Security After Iran War

The imperative for Gulf states to unify their position has grown since the onset of Iranian attacks on their countries. Yet under conditions of uncertainty about the U.S. position and the war's outcome, Gulf states are demonstrating differing regional alignments and preferences for managing the crisis.

A large fire and plume of smoke is visible after the debris of an intercepted Iranian drone hit the Fujairah oil facility, in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 3. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)

Water and Food Security in a Militarized Gulf

The true economic and societal impact of the conflict may not be driven by headline events alone but by the gradual erosion of the systems that underpin daily life.

A general view of the Saline Water Conversion Corporation in Jubail, Saudi Arabia. (Saline Water Conversion Corporation/Handout via REUTERS)

The Economic Impact of the Iran Conflict on the Gulf

The Gulf is being significantly affected by the conflict with Iran, but the size of the economic hit varies among countries.

A United Arab Emirates navy ship sails next to a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Khor Fakkan, the UAE, March 11. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)

Gulf States Play Defense

Caught between Iranian strikes and U.S.-Israeli pressure to join the fight, Gulf Arab states strive to maintain their autonomy over decision making, playing defense and preserving the space to maneuver when the war ends.

Passengers wait at Muscat International Airport as the sultanate of Oman facilitates the return of passengers to their home countries amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran in Muscat, Oman, March 5. (Oman News Agency/Handout via REUTERS)

Markets Respond to the Iran Conflict

The early reactions of regional stock markets reflect serious concerns but not full-blown panic despite an unprecedented escalation of the Iran conflict.

Large fire and plume of smoke is visible after, according to the authorities, debris of an Iranian intercepted drone hit an oil facility in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 3. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)

Iran War: Gulf Unity, Economic Shocks, and Regime Scenarios

After a massive U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iran, AGSI explores scenarios for the future of Iran and implications for broader Gulf security.

A plume of smoke rises after a strike in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)