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Robert Mogielnicki

Senior Resident Scholar, AGSI

Robert Mogielnicki is a senior resident scholar at the Arab Gulf States Institute. He is also an Adjunct Assistant Professor at Georgetown University and a Term Member at the Council on Foreign Relations. Mogielnicki is a leading expert on the Gulf states and their role in the global economy. A specialist in the political economy of the region, he is particularly interested in how these geostrategic states engage in processes of economic transformation through trade and investment policies, labor market interventions, economic diversification, and technological innovation. Mogielnicki created and leads the China-Gulf Initiative and the technology-focused Next Gen Gulf research series. He regularly briefs corporate leaders, senior policymakers, new ambassadors, and members of the media.

Mogielnicki teaches a graduate-level seminar on China-Middle East and North Africa relations as an adjunct assistant professor at Georgetown University’s Walsh School of Foreign Service, and he also served as a Professorial Lecturer at George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs.  Mogielnicki is a research mentor for undergraduate students through the Georgetown University Research Opportunities Program (GUROP) and the Laidlaw Undergraduate Leadership and Research Scholarship Programme.

He is a Member of the Board of Advisors of Henley & Partners, a global citizenship and residence advisory firm. The Middle East Policy Council listed Mogielnicki in their inaugural 40 Under 40 awards for influential Middle East experts. He has lectured and delivered talks at the World Bank, NATO, the U.S. State Department’s Foreign Service Institute, Chatham House, the International Monetary Fund, the London School of Economics and Political Science, the Council of the European Union, the European University Institute, the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office, and other prominent institutions.

Mogielnicki has worked across the U.S., Europe, and Middle East helping research-driven organizations better understand the MENA region and the economic implications of foreign policy choices. He possesses deep experience advising senior corporate and government decision makers on international political economy issues, and he excels at producing research for impact. Mogielnicki has worked with Eurasia Group, Oxford Economics, Freedom House, global law firms, and in many other consulting and advisory capacities. He previously served as a human resource development consultant for an Oxford-based research consultancy that operated across the Gulf region. Prior to his consulting career, he worked in journalism, covering political and economic developments in post-revolutionary Egypt and Tunisia.

Mogielnicki’s latest book project is an edited volume on sovereign wealth funds in the Middle East and Asia (Palgrave Macmillan, May 2025). He is also the author of A Political Economy of Free Zones in Gulf Arab States (Palgrave Macmillan 2021). Mogielnicki has authored book chapters on Middle Eastern labor market policies in Nationalization of Gulf Labour Markets (Palgrave, May 2023) and the political economy of natural gas markets in The Palgrave Handbook of Natural Gas and Global Energy Transitions (May 2022). He also published a chapter on China’s technology-related commercial engagement in the Middle East region for the Routledge Handbook on China – Middle East Relations (December 2021) as well as a technology-oriented chapter in the Artificial Intelligence in the Gulf: Challenges and Opportunities (Palgrave Macmillan, August 2021).

In addition to other academic and think tank publications, his work has appeared in the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Foreign Policy, Axios, The Banker, The Cairo Review of Global Affairs, and World Politics Review. Mogielnicki regularly provides commentary for an extensive and diverse list of international media outlets, such as: The Economist, CNN, The New York Times, Bloomberg, Forbes, Nikkei Asian Review, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Reuters, BBC World News TV, ABC News, AFP, VOX, VOA, Washington Post, Los Angeles Times, S&P Global, Nature, HuffPost, Deutsche Welle, The Telegraph, and Business Insider.

Mogielnicki holds a DPhil degree from the University of Oxford’s Magdalen College and a MPhil degree in Modern Middle Eastern Studies from the University of Oxford’s St Antony’s College. He received his BA from Georgetown University with a double major in Arabic and Government, graduating magna cum laude and Phi Beta Kappa. Mogielnicki speaks Modern Standard Arabic and the Egyptian dialect, and he possesses a working knowledge of the Tunisian dialect. He is a former recipient of the Sultan Qaboos Arabic Language Scholarship (2007-11) and served as a Critical Language Scholar in Tunisia in 2011.

Analysis

CLEAR ALL

Gulf Economies and the Tariff Storm

Trump’s tariff agenda may complicate Gulf governments’ capabilities to advance key policy initiatives and strategic economic partnerships, including Gulf investments in the United States.

Robert Mogielnicki

12 min read

Oil Prices and Gulf Economic Policymaking

The oil price environment remains manageable but looks increasingly uncomfortable for some Gulf states.

Robert Mogielnicki

17 min read

Saudi Arabia on Global Stage for 2034 World Cup

Hosting the World Cup will be a huge opportunity for Saudi Arabia, supporting Vision 2030 reforms. While preparations for the tournament will be costly, they will boost economic growth and could spur further social change.

Tim Callen

12 min read

Trump’s Commercial Influence in the Gulf

Whether or not former President Donald J. Trump wins the presidency for a second time, his commercial brand will remain a visible feature of the Gulf region.

Part of a sign is seen at the entrance of Trump International Golf Club in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, November 8, 2020. (REUTERS/Christopher Pike)

The Bread-and-Butter Issues of Jobs and Taxes in the Gulf

As Gulf governments accelerate domestic development agendas, local job creation and tax revenue are measurable indicators of successful economic policymaking.

Robert Mogielnicki

12 min read

Bahrain FinTech Bay staff is seen in the reception area of its office in Bahrain Bay, Manama, Bahrain, February 28, 2018. (REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed)

A Flurry of Activity in Bahrain-China Relations

Recent developments in Bahrain-China ties reflect less alignment and more coincidence of interests.

Robert Mogielnicki

11 min read

Chinese President Xi Jinping, right, and Bahraini King Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa shake hands following a signing ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, Friday, May 31. (Tingshu Wang/Pool Photo via AP)

Events

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May 8, 2025

From Petrodollar Partners to Geo-Economic Rivals? Washington and the Arab Gulf States

On May 8, AGSIW hosted a discussion on how U.S. geoeconomic policy is reshaping ties with Gulf states.

President Donald J. Trump shakes hands with Saudi Arabia's then deputy crown prince and defense minister, Mohammed bin Salman, during a bilateral meeting, in Riyadh, May 20, 2017. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)
President Donald J. Trump shakes hands with Saudi Arabia's then deputy crown prince and defense minister, Mohammed bin Salman, during a bilateral meeting, in Riyadh, May 20, 2017. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)

Jan 23, 2025

Outlook 2025: What Will the New Year Bring for the Gulf Region and U.S.-Gulf Relations?

On January 23, AGSIW hosted a discussion on what regional trends they’ll be following most closely as the year unfolds.

Foreign ministers and delegates pose for a family photo after their meeting on Syria, following the recent ousting of President Bashar al-Assad, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, January 12. (Saudi Press Agency/Handout via REUTERS)
Foreign ministers and delegates pose for a family photo after their meeting on Syria, following the recent ousting of President Bashar al-Assad, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, January 12. (Saudi Press Agency/Handout via REUTERS)

Jan 16, 2025

Follow the Money: Unpacking GCC Sovereign Wealth Fund Investment Activity

On January 16, AGSIW will host a discussion on the evolution of Gulf sovereign wealth fund investment.

A general view of Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, January 3, 2019. (REUTERS/ Hamad I Mohammed)
A general view of Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, January 3, 2019. (REUTERS/ Hamad I Mohammed)

Oct 22, 2024

Roundtable With Oman’s Ministry of Finance

On October 22, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Oman's economic reforms.

Omani women stand in the hotel lobby in the newly developed property, Al Mouj Muscat, in Muscat, Oman, February 11, 2019. (REUTERS/ Hamad I Mohammed)
Omani women stand in the hotel lobby in the newly developed property, Al Mouj Muscat, in Muscat, Oman, February 11, 2019. (REUTERS/ Hamad I Mohammed)

Jan 25, 2024

The Future of Hydrogen Development in the Gulf

On January 25, AGSIW hosted a discussion on hydrogen in the Gulf.

Hydrogen powered mobile unite is seen during Saudi Aramco's media trip to demonstrate Hydrogen automotive technology at Techno Valley Science Park in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, June 27, 2021. (REUTERS/Hajer Abdulmohsin)
Hydrogen powered mobile unite is seen during Saudi Aramco's media trip to demonstrate Hydrogen automotive technology at Techno Valley Science Park in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, June 27, 2021. (REUTERS/Hajer Abdulmohsin)

Jan 23, 2024

Where Are China-Gulf Relations Headed in 2024?

On January 23, AGSIW hosted a discussion on China-Gulf relations.

A general view of delegates attending a meeting during the 2023 BRICS Summit at the Sandton Convention Centre in Johannesburg, August 24, 2023. (Marco Longari/Pool via AP)
A general view of delegates attending a meeting during the 2023 BRICS Summit at the Sandton Convention Centre in Johannesburg, August 24, 2023. (Marco Longari/Pool via AP)

Engagement

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The Wall Street Journal: Robert Mogielnicki commented on business deals and public policy in the Gulf ahead of Trump’s visit.

The Wall Street Journal: Robert Mogielnicki commented on business deals and public policy in the Gulf ahead of Trump’s visit.

The Wall Street Journal

Bloomberg: Robert Mogielnicki commented on U.S.-Saudi relations and energy market dynamics.

Bloomberg: Robert Mogielnicki commented on U.S.-Saudi relations and energy market dynamics.

Bloomberg

AFP: Robert Mogielnicki commented on the Trump Organization’s interests in the Gulf.

AFP: Robert Mogielnicki commented on the Trump Organization’s interests in the Gulf.

Reuters: Robert Mogielnicki commented on Saudi considerations around BRICS.

Reuters: Robert Mogielnicki commented on Saudi considerations around BRICS.

Reuters

L’Orient Today: Robert Mogielnicki commented on Saudi energy policy.

L’Orient Today: Robert Mogielnicki commented on Saudi energy policy.

L’Orient Today

World Bank Group and International Monetary Fund: Robert Mogielnicki participated in the World Bank and IMF Spring Meetings as a CSO Parliamentarian.

World Bank Group and International Monetary Fund: Robert Mogielnicki participated in the World Bank and IMF Spring Meetings as a CSO Parliamentarian.

World Bank

External Publications

A Political Economy of Sovereign Wealth Funds in the Middle East and Asia

This book on sovereign wealth funds in the Middle East and Asia brings together leading scholars and practitioners focusing on investment trends in two prominent and influential regions of the globe. (Palgrave Macmillan, May 2025)

A Political Economy of Free Zones in Gulf Arab States

This is the first book-length empirical study of free zones in Gulf Cooperation Council countries. (Palgrave Macmillan 2021)

The Technological Dimensions of China-MENA Economic Relations

This chapter, which examines the commercial technology linkages between China and the Middle East, is part of the Routledge Handbook on China – MENA Relations (January 2022).

Free Zones in Dubai: Accelerators for Artificial Intelligence in the Gulf?

This book chapter is based on research for a Gulf Research Meeting workshop in Cambridge, UK and appears in Artificial Intelligence in the Gulf: Challenges and Opportunities, Palgrave Macmillan (August 2021).