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Analysis

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Qatar’s Economic Trajectory Left Unchanged by Recent Attacks

Israeli and Iranian attacks on targets in Qatar are worrying developments for the small Gulf state, but they are unlikely to disrupt an expected acceleration of economic growth over the short and medium terms.

Robert Mogielnicki

11 min read

Tourists and locals stroll through Souq Waqif in Doha, Qatar, May 15. (AP Photo/Fatima Shbair)

Iran’s Naval Exercises and Dual Messaging

Iran’s first naval exercise since the June conflict with Israel was meant to project strength and ability to threaten the regional interests of Gulf states while avoiding military confrontation with the United States and Israel.

A missile is fired from a vessel during an Iranian navy drill in the Gulf of Oman and the Indian Ocean, August 21. (Masoud Nazari Mehrabi/Iranian Army via AP)

Saudi-Pakistani Defense Pact Highlights Shifts in Alignments

Saudi Arabia’s strategic defense agreement with Pakistan is part of a wider formation of alignments within the broader Muslim world meant to counter Israel’s expanding power and ambitions in the region, as the threat perception has shifted from Iran to Israel.

Umer Karim

8 min read

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif meet in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, September 17. (Saudi Press Agency/Handout via REUTERS)

The Pragmatist Who Came In From the Cold: Ali Larijani, Iran’s New Supreme National Security Council Secretary

An Iraqi-born native of Najaf but an unmistakably Iranian nationalist, Ali Larijani is expected to leverage his record of bureaucratic competence and global fluency to coordinate Iran’s security bureaucracy.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

Iranian Secretary of Supreme National Security Council Ali Larijani, greets journalists upon his arrival to meet with the Lebanese parliament speaker Nabih Berri, in Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 13. (AP Photo/Bilal Hussein)

Technocrats Prescribe Political and Economic Reforms as Survival Strategy

The October 10 edition of the Iran Media Review examines proposals from Iranian technocrats for political and economic reforms.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

Technocrats Prescribe Political and Economic Reforms as Survival Strategy

“Cosmetic Surgery”: Iran Removes Four Zeros From Bank Notes

The October 7 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights criticism of a move by the Iranian Parliament to remove zeros from the national currency.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

“Cosmetic Surgery”: Iran Removes Four Zeros From Bank Notes

Iran: Resigned to Sanctions

The October 3 edition of the Iran Media Review considers Iranian regime efforts to downplay the return of United Nations “snapback” sanctions.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

Iran: Resigned to Sanctions

Iranian Media Reacts to Snapback

The September 30 edition of the Iran Media Review examines Iranian media responses to the European reimposition of pre-2015 United Nations sanctions.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Iranian Media Reacts to Snapback

The IMF Comments on the Saudi Economy and Policy Framework

The International Monetary Fund continues to endorse the direction of economic reform in Saudi Arabia but notes that risks from oil price uncertainty and strong credit growth will need to be carefully managed to keep the economy on a strong growth trajectory.

Tim Callen

4 min read

The IMF Comments on the Saudi Economy and Policy Framework

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices

The Saudi current account moved into a small deficit in 2024 despite oil prices of $80 per barrel. A return to a surplus is unlikely unless oil revenue moves sharply higher.

Tim Callen

4 min read

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices

What Do Lower Oil Prices Mean for the Saudi Budget?

The sharp drop in oil prices over the past week will result in a larger budget deficit and more government borrowing.

Tim Callen

4 min read

What Do Lower Oil Prices Mean for the Saudi Budget?

Positive Momentum Continues in the Saudi Labor Market

Robust growth in the non-oil economy and ongoing reforms are driving increased employment and labor force participation rates and lower unemployment among Saudi nationals.

Tim Callen

2 min read

Positive Momentum Continues in the Saudi Labor Market

Ammar Alsabban: Superman With a Saudi Accent

With passions as diverse as puppetry, podcasting, and superheroes, Ammar Alsabban is redefining the creative limits of Saudi identity.

Sean Foley

14 min read

Ammar Alsabban. (Courtesy of Ammar Alsabban)

Rahina: A Jeweler’s Ode to Dhofari Heritage

Through Rahina, Fatma al-Najjar is exploring her Dhofari heritage and tapping into ancestral memories, one piece of jewelry at a time.

10 min read

Rahina necklaces made by Fatma al-Najjar. (Photo courtesy of Fatma al-Najjar)

Independent Researchers Are Advancing UAE History on Social Media

Independent researchers and informal collaboratives have been connecting through social media to fill in gaps in popular knowledge of the United Arab Emirates’ pre-state era.

Abdulla Almarzooqi

20 min read

A view of downtown Abu Dhabi. (Credit: Abdulla Almarzooqi)

Manama Story: Preserving the Soul of the City

The Manama Story project seeks to preserve the history of the Bahraini city, one archive at a time.

Shifaa Alsairafi

8 min read

A view of the "Soul of Manama" exhibit. (Credit: Fadhel al-Sharaf)

A New Gulf Partnership

In May, President Donald J. Trump embarked on a trip to the Gulf that signals a new era in U.S.-Gulf relations. AGSI's A New Gulf Partnership series explores the ways U.S. strategic relations with these countries are evolving and offers policy recommendations for the U.S. administration to maximize political and economic influence.

President Donald J. Trump is welcomed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 13. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

Energy and Climate Initiative

AGSIW’s Energy and Climate Initiative explores Gulf energy and climate policies, technological advances, and pressing political, social, and environmental issues ahead of COP28.

'Cop28 UAE' logo is displayed on the screen during the opening ceremony of Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week under the theme of 'United on Climate Action Toward COP28,' in Abu Dhabi, UAE, January 16. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

U.S. Presidential Election

AGSIW’s U.S. Presidential Election series explores Gulf perspectives on the 2024 election and considers how the election results may shape the future of U.S. engagement in the Gulf region.

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris take part in a presidential debate hosted by ABC in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., September 10, 2024 in a combination of file photographs. REUTERS/Brian Snyder - RC22Y9AP0PX3

Trees of the Gulf

This series looks at the vital role certain trees play in the region's collective memory, survival, and plans for the future.

A worker collects dates from a palm tree during Unaizah Season for Dates, capital of Al-Qassim region, Saudi Arabia August 15, 2020. (REUTERS /Ahmed Yosri)

All Analysis

CLEAR ALL

Qatar’s Economic Trajectory Left Unchanged by Recent Attacks

Israeli and Iranian attacks on targets in Qatar are worrying developments for the small Gulf state, but they are unlikely to disrupt an expected acceleration of economic growth over the short and medium terms.

Robert Mogielnicki

11 min read

Tourists and locals stroll through Souq Waqif in Doha, Qatar, May 15. (AP Photo/Fatima Shbair)

Iran’s Naval Exercises and Dual Messaging

Iran’s first naval exercise since the June conflict with Israel was meant to project strength and ability to threaten the regional interests of Gulf states while avoiding military confrontation with the United States and Israel.

A missile is fired from a vessel during an Iranian navy drill in the Gulf of Oman and the Indian Ocean, August 21. (Masoud Nazari Mehrabi/Iranian Army via AP)

Saudi-Pakistani Defense Pact Highlights Shifts in Alignments

Saudi Arabia’s strategic defense agreement with Pakistan is part of a wider formation of alignments within the broader Muslim world meant to counter Israel’s expanding power and ambitions in the region, as the threat perception has shifted from Iran to Israel.

Umer Karim

8 min read

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif meet in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, September 17. (Saudi Press Agency/Handout via REUTERS)

The Pragmatist Who Came In From the Cold: Ali Larijani, Iran’s New Supreme National Security Council Secretary

An Iraqi-born native of Najaf but an unmistakably Iranian nationalist, Ali Larijani is expected to leverage his record of bureaucratic competence and global fluency to coordinate Iran’s security bureaucracy.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

Iranian Secretary of Supreme National Security Council Ali Larijani, greets journalists upon his arrival to meet with the Lebanese parliament speaker Nabih Berri, in Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 13. (AP Photo/Bilal Hussein)

An Apology and New Security Guarantees for Qatar

An apology from Israel’s prime minister – delivered under the watchful eye of President Trump in the Oval Office – and a written promise of a U.S. response if Qatar is attacked go a long way toward restoring Qatar's deterrence and bolstering its security and stability following the Israeli attack.

President Donald J. Trump gestures after speaking at the Al Udeid Air Base, May 15, in Doha, Qatar. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

The MENA Power Transformation: Meeting Unprecedented Demand

The Middle East and North Africa will experience an unprecedented level of energy demand between now and 2035, pushing Gulf countries to find new ways to meet that demand.

Kate Dourian

7 min read

An electric pylon supporting power cables is seen near the western region of Liwa, United Arab Emirates, March 31, 2010. (REUTERS/Jumana ElHeloueh)