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Analysis

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OPEC+ Tests the Shale Sector

OPEC+ producers are increasing output in the face of a global economic downtown. This will be a major test for non-OPEC producers, but OPEC+ seems confident that time is on its side.

Ben Cahill

8 min read

A pumpjack works on a pad near a housing development in Dacono, Colorado, July 4, 2024. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski, File)

Trump’s Gulf Trip Should Prove a Big Win-Win for All Parties

Gulf Arab states can solidify ties with Washington, while Trump stands to benefit personally and politically.

Hussein Ibish

15 min read

U.S. President Donald J. Trump exits Air Force One upon arriving at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland, May 4. (REUTERS/Leah Millis)

See Something? Say Nothing: The Houthis’ Criminalization of Truth

The Houthis’ “Midri” campaign isn’t just about silencing Yemenis, it’s about blinding the outside world.

People inspect the site of a U.S. airstrike in Sanaa, Yemen, April 7. (REUTERS/Adel Al Khader)

Saudi Economic Diversification and the Current Account Deficit

Saudi Arabia has continued to make progress in diversifying its economy, although lower oil revenue, higher imports, and stronger remittance outflows pushed the current account into a small deficit in 2024.

Tim Callen

6 min read

Tourists and locals in the historic old city, Al-Balad, in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, April 21. (REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed)

The Use of Force and the Trajectory of U.S.-Iran Talks

The May 9 edition of the Iran Media Review examines disagreements among Iranian media outlets about the effect of a Houthi missile strike targeting Israel on U.S.-Iranian negotiations.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

The Use of Force and the Trajectory of U.S.-Iran Talks

Nour News on Postponement of Talks: “Neither a Dead End, nor Complete Progress”

The May 6 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights Iranian media analysis about the postponement of U.S.-Iran negotiations.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Nour News on Postponement of Talks: “Neither a Dead End, nor Complete Progress”

All Roads Lead Away From Rome?

The May 2 edition of the Iran Media Review considers a report by an Iranian news agency following the postponement of the fourth round of U.S.-Iran talks.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

All Roads Lead Away From Rome?

Is Khamenei Ready for “Imam Hasan’s Peace”?

The April 29 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes the political cohesion of Iranian elites in supporting negotiations with the United States.

Ali Alfoneh

11 min read

Is Khamenei Ready for “Imam Hasan’s Peace”?

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices

The Saudi current account moved into a small deficit in 2024 despite oil prices of $80 per barrel. A return to a surplus is unlikely unless oil revenue moves sharply higher.

Tim Callen

4 min read

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices

What Do Lower Oil Prices Mean for the Saudi Budget?

The sharp drop in oil prices over the past week will result in a larger budget deficit and more government borrowing.

Tim Callen

3 min read

What Do Lower Oil Prices Mean for the Saudi Budget?

Positive Momentum Continues in the Saudi Labor Market

Robust growth in the non-oil economy and ongoing reforms are driving increased employment and labor force participation rates and lower unemployment among Saudi nationals.

Tim Callen

2 min read

Positive Momentum Continues in the Saudi Labor Market

Lower Aramco Dividends to Hit Government Budget and PIF in 2025

Aramco has announced it will pay a significantly lower dividend in 2025, which is bad news for the Public Investment Fund and the government, with the fiscal deficit in 2025 likely to be larger than budgeted.

Tim Callen

2 min read

Lower Aramco Dividends to Hit Government Budget and PIF in 2025

Rahina: A Jeweler’s Ode to Dhofari Heritage

Through Rahina, Fatma al-Najjar is exploring her Dhofari heritage and tapping into ancestral memories, one piece of jewelry at a time.

Zainab AlQaffas
Zainab AlQaffas

10 min read

Independent Researchers Are Advancing UAE History on Social Media

Independent researchers and informal collaboratives have been connecting through social media to fill in gaps in popular knowledge of the United Arab Emirates’ pre-state era.

Abdulla Almarzooqi
Abdulla Almarzooqi

18 min read

Manama Story: Preserving the Soul of the City

The Manama Story project seeks to preserve the history of the Bahraini city, one archive at a time.

Shifaa Alsairafi

8 min read

Fablemill: Bringing Stories From the Region to Life

Through Fablemill, Eman Alsabah and her team are creating content that celebrates the region’s diverse stories and speaks to a global audience.

Shifaa Alsairafi

9 min read

Eman Alsabah (founder and CEO of Fablemill), Mariam Maki (head of projects at Fablemill), and Ghufran Alhubail (producer at Fablemill). (Credit: bentrepreneur)

Energy and Climate Initiative

AGSIW’s Energy and Climate Initiative explores Gulf energy and climate policies, technological advances, and pressing political, social, and environmental issues ahead of COP28.

'Cop28 UAE' logo is displayed on the screen during the opening ceremony of Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week under the theme of 'United on Climate Action Toward COP28,' in Abu Dhabi, UAE, January 16. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

U.S. Presidential Election

AGSIW’s U.S. Presidential Election series explores Gulf perspectives on the 2024 election and considers how the election results may shape the future of U.S. engagement in the Gulf region.

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris take part in a presidential debate hosted by ABC in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., September 10, 2024 in a combination of file photographs. REUTERS/Brian Snyder - RC22Y9AP0PX3

Trees of the Gulf

This series looks at the vital role certain trees play in the region's collective memory, survival, and plans for the future.

A worker collects dates from a palm tree during Unaizah Season for Dates, capital of Al-Qassim region, Saudi Arabia August 15, 2020. (REUTERS /Ahmed Yosri)

Next Gen Gulf

AGSIW’s Next Gen Gulf series explores how the latest trends in technology are shaping the economies and governments of Gulf Arab states.

Visitors at the the Artificial Intelligence presentation of the Museum of the Future at the World Government Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Monday, Feb. 12, 2018. (AP Photo/Kamran Jebreili)

All Analysis

CLEAR ALL

OPEC+ Tests the Shale Sector

OPEC+ producers are increasing output in the face of a global economic downtown. This will be a major test for non-OPEC producers, but OPEC+ seems confident that time is on its side.

Ben Cahill

8 min read

A pumpjack works on a pad near a housing development in Dacono, Colorado, July 4, 2024. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski, File)

Trump’s Gulf Trip Should Prove a Big Win-Win for All Parties

Gulf Arab states can solidify ties with Washington, while Trump stands to benefit personally and politically.

Hussein Ibish

15 min read

U.S. President Donald J. Trump exits Air Force One upon arriving at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland, May 4. (REUTERS/Leah Millis)

See Something? Say Nothing: The Houthis’ Criminalization of Truth

The Houthis’ “Midri” campaign isn’t just about silencing Yemenis, it’s about blinding the outside world.

People inspect the site of a U.S. airstrike in Sanaa, Yemen, April 7. (REUTERS/Adel Al Khader)

Saudi Economic Diversification and the Current Account Deficit

Saudi Arabia has continued to make progress in diversifying its economy, although lower oil revenue, higher imports, and stronger remittance outflows pushed the current account into a small deficit in 2024.

Tim Callen

6 min read

Tourists and locals in the historic old city, Al-Balad, in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, April 21. (REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed)

Rethinking Gulf Water Security

True water security in the Gulf involves finding a balance between water security and tradeoffs with other goals.

Rethinking Gulf Water Security
Naser Alsayed

9 min read

The pool and beach of the Atlantis Hotel is seen with the skyline of the Dubai Marina in the distance in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, July 14, 2020. (AP Photo/Jon Gambrell, File)

Rahina: A Jeweler’s Ode to Dhofari Heritage

Through Rahina, Fatma al-Najjar is exploring her Dhofari heritage and tapping into ancestral memories, one piece of jewelry at a time.

Zainab AlQaffas
Zainab AlQaffas

10 min read