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Analysis

Externalizing Iran’s Internal Crisis: IRGC, Protesters, and Kurdish Separatists

The September 15 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights tensions over Iranian Kurdish groups based in Iraq and the regime’s efforts to blame them for domestic unrest.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Armed separatist Kurdish groups were not behind the protests that broke out following Mahsa Amini’s September 2022 death, although they tried to take advantage of the unrest. However, from the onset of the anti-regime protests, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and its allies in Iran’s state-censored media sought to attribute the protests to Kurdish separatists. IRGC artillery even targeted bases of Iranian Kurdish separatists in Iraq’s Kurdistan region. In doing so, the IRGC hoped to deter the nationalist opposition to the Islamic Republic – those who do not subscribe to the Islamist ideology of the state but are committed to the territorial integrity of Iran – from participating in anti-regime protests. As the anniversary of Amini’s killing nears, IRGC media and outlets close to the IRGC are once again trying to externalize Iran’s domestic problems. This is evident in uniform texts appearing in different media outlets warning the Iraqi government and the Kurdistan Regional Government to disarm Iranian Kurdish separatists based in Iraq.

  • September 9: Brigadier General Abbas Nilforoushan, the IRGC’s chief of operations, in a lengthy interview with IRGC mouthpiece Tasnim News, said that after losing hope in the possibility of invading or otherwise attacking Iran, the United States opted to support anti-regime protests. Turning to Iraq’s Kurdistan region and Kurdish separatists based in Iraq, he said: “We have brotherly expectations for our brothers in the Iraqi Kurdistan region. Providing a sanctuary to terrorists in the region has made the region the source of operations against our country. This is neither consistent with the logic of brotherhood nor with good neighborly relations. After continuous negotiations, we finally signed an agreement with the central government in Iraq and the Kurdistan region” on disarming Iranian Kurdish militants, “the deadline for which is September 19 … We are committed to all elements of the agreement, neither more nor less, and we are expecting the counterpart to remain committed to it just as the Islamic Republic has. Otherwise, the clock will turn back, and we will feel compelled to guard the interests of the Iranian nation.”
  • September 10: In the editorial “Countdown to Endgame,” Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting mouthpiece Jam-e Jam cited Nilforoushan’s comments on Iraq’s Kurdistan region and concluded: “Unfortunately, in the course of the past year’s security chaos,” referencing the 2022 anti-regime protests, “Iraqi Kurdistan region authorities sacrificed their own security and the security of neighboring countries for the sake of their relations with the Zionist regime. This is why positions of the separatist Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan and the Komala Party of Iranian Kurdistan were targeted by missiles and aerial drones of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. At the time, Iran declared that should Iraqi Kurdistan region authorities continue their support for separatist movements, missile and aerial drone attacks would continue until the terrorists were disarmed.”
  • September 11: Regional Khorasan newspaper’s editorial demanded Iraq “dismantle terrorist camps at the border” and reprinted verbatim Jam-e Jam’s warning of further strikes if Kurdish groups aren’t disarmed, suggesting the articles are part of an IRGC strategic communications campaign directed at the KRG.
  • September 11: Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Nasser Kanani, commenting on Patriotic Union of Kurdistan leader Bafel Talabani’s September 11 meeting with Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian in Tehran, said, as quoted by IRGC mouthpiece Fars News: “The visit took place within the framework of positive dialogue and bilateral cooperation between Iran and the Iraqi Kurdistan region.” Kanani said the visit was “in no way related to haggling about the” September 19 deadline for the Iraqi government to disarm Iranian Kurdish militants based in Iraq’s Kurdistan region. He continued: “The Iraqi government has committed itself to disarming armed terrorist separatist groups based on Iraqi territory and in the Kurdistan region by September 19. Under this agreement, the military bases of these groups must be evacuated and the groups be relocated to camps under the supervision of the Iraqi government.”

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)

The United States on the Verge of Another “Forever War”?

U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

A Path to a Stronger United States in the Gulf

AGSI offers pragmatic, targeted policy recommendations for the Trump administration to maximize U.S. political and economic influence with the crucial emerging regional powers in the Gulf.

20 min read

President Donald J. Trump, fifth left, attends a group photo session with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, fourth right, UAE Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, second right, Bahraini Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, left, Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, third left, Kuwaiti Emir Meshal al-Ahmed al-Jaber al-Sabah, second left, GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi, right, during the GCC Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
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Events

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
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