"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Subscribe

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings
Analysis

Founding Father of IRGC Navy: “Things Will Get Worse … Unless There Is Meaningful Change”

The April 5 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights Brigadier General Hossein Alaei’s explanation for the historically low turnout in Iran’s March 1 elections.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

Retired Brigadier General Hossein Alaei is not only the founding father of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps navy but also a prominent critic of the regime. He served throughout his entire career. In January 2012, he wrote an article in centrist Ettelaat newspaper comparing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s regime with Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi’s royal dictatorship. He ended the piece with a Quranic verse encouraging Khamenei to learn from the shah’s mistakes: “Thus, learn your lesson, you who have eyes.” Pro-regime mobs gathered in front of Alaei’s home in an attempt to intimidate him, but Alaei, who enjoys considerable support among IRGC veterans, was somewhat immune from intimidation tactics. In his latest public statements, Alaei took aim at the regime over the March 1 elections to the Parliament and Assembly of Experts.

  • March 28: Asked how the regime can encourage the 60% of Iranians who didn’t vote March 1 to vote in the future, Alaei said to centrist Khabar Online:
    • “In order to bring the majority to the polls, they must feel that they will suffer significant losses if individuals they dislike are elected to office. Therefore, the regime must bring about fundamental changes in electoral laws so the people feel that elections will be free, fair, and competitive. This way, the people will feel that the destiny and future of the country are in their own hands and that they can elect the Cabinet and Assembly of Experts by voting and bring about progress … If they elect poorly, the people will have only themselves to blame for the country’s underdevelopment.”
    • Addressing the issue of invalid votes cast March 1, Alaei said: “In every election in any country, there are invalid votes, but it is the general perception that in the March elections, a bigger portion of the votes cast were invalid than in earlier elections. Until now, no information has been released about the invalid votes, but they can be put into three categories: blank votes, indicating the voters did not consider any of the candidates worthy of their vote; votes with the names of candidates disqualified by the Interior Ministry and the Guardian Council, which is an indication of protest against the widespread disqualifications; and votes bearing anything from the name of God, the Prophet, and infallible Shia imams to the names of political prisoners and other individuals popular among the voters. Other votes had the prices of basic products, which can be interpreted as a protest against the present circumstances.”
    • Turning to the economic hardships of Iranians, Alaei said: “Two-digit inflation and constantly rising prices of goods show the inefficacy of the adopted economic policies … The people constantly fear increases in the price of chicken, meat, and other foodstuffs, but the government, instead of increasing domestic production, is only pursuing the solution of increased imports from abroad. As long as the regime does not implement meaningful change in its foreign policy, economic policy, and domestic policy … the problems will remain, and the situation will get worse by the day.”

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Under Mojtaba, the IRGC Will Reign Supreme

Iran may still call itself an Islamic Republic. In practice, however, it increasingly resembles a state in which the military governs from behind clerical robes.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds Day rally in Tehran, Iran, May 31, 2019. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Political Life and Legacy of Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in his office in Tehran at age 86, leaving behind a country in ruins and on the verge of civil war and potential disintegration.

Ali Alfoneh

15 min read

In this photo released by an official website of the office of the Iranian supreme leader, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks in a meeting in Tehran, Iran, February 17. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP)

Iranian Regime Fighting for Survival

Iran is signaling that it will not absorb attacks passively. But whether this strategy ensures the regime’s survival, seals its fate, or accelerates a broader catastrophe will shape the region for years to come.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises on the skyline after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, February 28. (AP Photo)

Iran’s 2025-26 Protests in Perspective

The erosion of the regime’s legitimacy across broad segments of society, combined with the breadth of the 2025-26 protest coalition, raises the possibility that a new confrontation could trigger renewed anti-regime mobilization.

Ali Alfoneh

9 min read

In this photo obtained by The Associated Press, Iranians attend an anti-government protest in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 8. (UGC via AP)
View All

Events

Mar 2, 2026

After the Shock: Implications of the U.S.–Israeli Strikes and Iran’s Leadership Transition

On March 2, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.

Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Jan 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
View All