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Analysis

Spy War: Iran vs. Israel

The June 10 edition of the Iran Media Review considers Iranian media reports about stolen Israeli nuclear documents and Israeli sabotage of Iranian nuclear infrastructure.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

On June 8, Iranian Intelligence Minister Esmaeil Khatib claimed that Iranian intelligence agencies had acquired a substantial cache of classified materials from Israel, including documentation related to Israel’s nuclear infrastructure and strategic installations. Also on June 8, the English-language edition of Iran Daily, which articulates the official narrative of the state, reported on Iran’s formal communication to the International Atomic Energy Agency, alleging that “contamination” detected at Iran’s nuclear sites by the agency was the result of Israeli sabotage rather than undeclared nuclear activity. While it remains difficult to independently verify these assertions, it is telling that the report highlighting Iran’s purported advancements in offensive intelligence operations is dominating state-controlled media, whereas the report implicitly acknowledging Israeli penetration of Iranian territory has appeared exclusively in English-language state media. 

  • June 8: Tabnak News Agency, which is aligned with former Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Chief Commander Mohsen Rezaei, quoting Intelligence Minister Esmaeil Khatib, reported: 
    • Ministry of Intelligence agents “have, through a sophisticated and multilayered operation, succeeded in obtaining a treasure trove of operational and technical intelligence from the Zionist entity … The intelligence is not limited to the nuclear domain … It includes the full spectrum of the Zionist regime’s nuclear documentation, records of its foreign relations with the United States, Europe, and other international actors, and intelligence enhancing Iran’s strategic deterrence capabilities.” 
    • Khatib refrained from detailing the operational methods through which the intelligence was acquired but stated: “This major operation, meticulously planned from the initial stages of infiltration and asset recruitment to the progressive expansion of access, was brought to fruition through divine providence and the perseverance” of Ministry of Intelligence agents. Khatib also expressed optimism that portions of the intelligence dossier will be declassified and released in the future. 
  • June 8: Iran Daily shared Iran’s official response to the IAEA under the headline: “Israel Behind ‘Sabotage, Contamination’ in Disputed Sites: Iran’s Nuclear Agency.”  
  • June 9: Centrist Khabar Online, citing a Supreme National Security Council statement about the alleged operation, reported:  
    • “Access to this intelligence, coupled with the completion of the intelligence-operational cycle, enables the warriors of Islam to, in the event of a preemptive or preventive strike by the Zionist regime on Iran’s nuclear facilities, retaliate by targeting Israel’s covert strategic assets. Any act of aggression against Iran’s economic or military infrastructure will be met with a proportional and reciprocal response.”  

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

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Though the Iranian regime is facing increasing pressure from protesters and armed insurgent groups, it is not yet doomed – but without a deal with the United States, the regime is likely headed for a slow collapse.

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An Iraqi-born native of Najaf but an unmistakably Iranian nationalist, Ali Larijani is expected to leverage his record of bureaucratic competence and global fluency to coordinate Iran’s security bureaucracy.

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Confronted with the clear and present danger posed by Israel, Iran’s collective leadership appears mired in policy paralysis, leaving Iran strategically adrift.

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Events

Jan 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
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