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Analysis

Iranian-Saudi Rapprochement: Provocateur Hung Out to Dry

The May 30 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian officials’ willingness to sacrifice an anti-Saudi hard-liner to preserve Iran’s relationship with the kingdom.

Ali Alfoneh

11 min read

On May 29, Gholam-Reza Qassemian – an influential religious cantor and host of Islamic programming on Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting – returned to Iran following his arrest and brief detention in Saudi Arabia. While on pilgrimage, Qassemian posted videos on social media, since deleted, in which he accused the Saudi ruling family of “usurping and commodifying” the custodianship of the Kaaba. He provocatively declared: “If you seek gambling, brothels, and lewd concerts, there is no need to go to Antalya – just come to Mecca or Medina, where the clock has turned back to the era of the Umayyads,” a period viewed by Shias as one of illegitimate Sunni rule following the Prophet Muhammad’s death. Qassemian is rumored to have played a behind-the-scenes role in inciting the January 2016 attack on the Saudi Embassy in Tehran, which precipitated the rupture of diplomatic relations between the two regional powers. While he faced no legal consequences for that incident, his vilification by Iranian authorities is a notable change. Tehran appears increasingly willing to sacrifice domestic hard-line voices to preserve its strategic rapprochement with Riyadh, formalized in the March 2023 China-brokered agreement. 

  • May 27: In an Arabic post on X, Ali-Reza Enayati, ambassador to Riyadh, praised Saudi authorities for hosting the pilgrims and emphasized:  
    • “Nobody tolerates insulting words or deeds.” 
  • May 27: Ali-Reza Bayat, head of the Iran Hajj and Pilgrimage Organization, addressed Iranian pilgrims, as quoted by Donya-ye Eqtesad: 
    • “Refrain from engaging in polarizing activities. We consistently urge the pilgrims to respect Saudi laws.” 
  • May 27: Judiciary spokesman Asghar Jahangir was quoted by Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps mouthpiece Mashregh News: 
    • “The Judiciary does not approve of the statements made by this individual. Naturally, his positions reflect his personal viewpoints … but we will defend the rights of all Iranian nationals … We hope that, in cooperation with Saudi authorities, this problem is solved so we see the release of Mr. Qassemian.” 
  • May 27: Centrist Asr-e Iran published an editorial on the Qassemian affair: 
    • “If someone visits Iran and makes a video in front of the Imam Reza Shrine claiming Iran’s leaders are usurpers capitalizing on the shrine, accuses Iranian officials of running brothels, and disseminates the video online … would our authorities not treat him the way the Saudi security officials treated Qassemian? A guest must abide by the rules of the house he is visiting, instead of insulting the host, accusing him of usurpation, capitalizing on the Kaaba, or harboring atheist thoughts … Even if this man escapes from Saudi courts, he must be prosecuted in Iran, so he and others understand that such deeds – be they arsonist attacks against embassies or starting a fire with words – have consequences … By the way, where are these centers, and why is Qassemian the only person aware of their addresses?!” 
  • May 28: Gholam-Reza Qassemian posted a photo on X showing him onboard a plane en route to Iran via Dubai, United Arab Emirates. 
  • May 28: Hojjat al-Islam Ali Saeedi, director of the Political-Ideological Indoctrination Directorate of the Office of the Supreme Leader, issued a written statement published by Iranian media, including centrist Borna: 
    • “When people, disregarding the political, social, and security implications, make statements, it is either a sign of their megalomania, narcissism, boasting, delusions, or riding the wave of populism with political motivations … In doing so, they create trouble for the authorities and the people.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Debating Policy in Public: Iranian Elites Turn to YouTube

Rival camps within the Islamic Republic are increasingly turning to YouTube for policy debate, but there is a limit to the regime’s tolerance for that debate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

IRGC analyst Mehdi Kharatian speaks on TamamRokh’s YouTube channel, April 29. (Credit: Tamam Rokh)

The Committee of Six and Strategic Decision Making in Iran

Remarks by Iran’s president offer a rare glimpse of how the Islamic Republic has adapted its decision making to the absence of its supreme leader.

Ali Alfoneh

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Iranian Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad-Bagher Qalibaf, left, President Masoud Pezeshkian, center, and Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni Ejei sit around a table during a meeting at the presidential office in Tehran, Iran, October 4. (© Iranian Presidency via ZUMA Press)

Mohsen Rezaei at the Helm of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council

Under Rezaei, the SNSC could prove constructive or paralyze strategic decision making.

Ali Alfoneh

8 min read

Then-advisor to Iran's supreme leader, Mohsen Rezaei attends a farewell ceremony for late-Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei at the Imam Khomeini Grand Mosalla in Tehran, Iran, July 3. (REUTERS/Mohammed Salem)

The Islamic Republic Returns to Offense

After U.S.-Israeli strikes killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, Iran’s collective leadership has concluded that the best defense is a good offense.

Ali Alfoneh

12 min read

Iranian Zolfaghar missiles are displayed by the armed forces in a temporary exhibition in front of the Azadi monument in Tehran, Iran, July 29. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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Events

Oct 6, 2026

Is the U.S.-Iran Stalemate a “New Normal” or the Prelude to Another Explosion?

On October 6, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iran stalemate and the prospects for a cease-fire.

President Donald J. Trump speaks to the United Nations General Assembly, Sept. 22, 2026, at the UN headquarters. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
President Donald J. Trump speaks to the United Nations General Assembly, Sept. 22, at the U.N. headquarters. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)

Jun 16, 2026

Book Talk: Iran and the Bomb: The United States, Iran and the Nuclear Question

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the evolution of Iran's nuclear program.

A view of Iran's nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz, Iran, on April, 9, 2007. (AP Photo/Hasan Sarbakhshian, File)
A view of Iran's nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz, Iran, on April, 9, 2007. (AP Photo/Hasan Sarbakhshian, File)

Apr 21, 2026

Inside Iran’s Wartime Leadership: Power, Succession, and Regime Stability

On April 21, AGSI hosted a discussion on the evolution of Iran's leadership during the war.

In this photo released by the Pakistan Foreign Ministry, Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, center right, and Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, center left, are greeted by Pakistan Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, right, and Army Chief Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir, left, upon their arrival at Nur Khan airbase in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, April 11. (Pakistan Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)
In this photo released by the Pakistani Foreign Ministry, Iranian Speaker of Parliament Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, center right, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, center left, are greeted by Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, right, and Army Chief Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir, left, upon their arrival at Nur Khan air base in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, April 11. (Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)

Mar 18, 2026

In Its Conflict With the United States and Israel, Does Escalation Favor Iran?

On March 18, AGSI hosted a discussion on the escalation of the Iran war.

Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13,. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)
Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)
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