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Analysis

All Roads Lead Away From Rome?

The May 2 edition of the Iran Media Review considers a report by an Iranian news agency following the postponement of the fourth round of U.S.-Iran talks.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

Nour News Agency, which is affiliated with the Supreme National Security Council, reported on the postponement of the scheduled U.S.-Iranian diplomatic negotiations in Rome. 

  • May 1: Nour News Agency reported: 
    • “The postponement of indirect diplomatic negotiations between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States in Rome, merely three days prior to the scheduled talks, signifies emerging complications in the trajectory of bilateral diplomacy. Although the Omani foreign minister attributed the postponement to ‘logistical issues,’ the imposition of new sanctions by the United States, combined with the escalatory rhetoric of American officials, points to political motivations behind the postponement of the dialogue.”  
    • “Following the third round of negotiations in Muscat, the U.S. government sanctioned multiple Iranian entities and individuals, citing the Islamic Republic’s missile program. Concurrently, U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth issued a warning against Iran’s support for Yemen’s Ansar Allah movement, declaring: ‘You will pay the consequence at the time and place of our choosing.’ This articulation of coordinated statecraft – represented by Steven Witkoff, the U.S. special envoy to the Middle East – exemplifies the U.S. administration’s integrated approach of combining diplomatic engagement with coercive signaling during negotiation processes.” 
    • “Iran, for its part, has reiterated that negotiation and coercion constitute mutually exclusive strategies. Foreign Ministry Spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei underscored that a ‘resolution of differences is only achievable through reciprocal respect and a constructive diplomatic posture.’ Nonetheless … Baqaei also affirmed that the postponement of the scheduled negotiations occurred at the behest of the Omani foreign minister.” 
    • “In summary, while diplomatic channels remain open, they are evidently constrained by the U.S. administration’s strategy of coercive diplomacy. It appears that the U.S. administration seeks to maintain the facade of engagement while structurally recalibrating the negotiation framework to advance unilateral interests – an approach that has engendered strategic mistrust and the provisional postponement of dialogue. The potential discontinuation of negotiations with the European troika further illustrates the complexity and volatility of the current diplomatic landscape. While it may be premature to declare a diplomatic impasse, it is evident that the negotiations have entered a critical phase of testing the strategic intent and commitment of both parties. Should Washington aim for a durable and actionable accord, it must opt decisively between deterrent posturing and diplomatic engagement. The prevailing doctrine of the Islamic Republic of Iran maintains that dialogue and coercion are fundamentally incompatible modalities.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

The Use of Force and the Trajectory of U.S.-Iran Talks

The May 9 edition of the Iran Media Review examines disagreements among Iranian media outlets about the effect of a Houthi missile strike targeting Israel on U.S.-Iranian negotiations.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

The Use of Force and the Trajectory of U.S.-Iran Talks

Nour News on Postponement of Talks: “Neither a Dead End, nor Complete Progress”

The May 6 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights Iranian media analysis about the postponement of U.S.-Iran negotiations.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Nour News on Postponement of Talks: “Neither a Dead End, nor Complete Progress”

Is Khamenei Ready for “Imam Hasan’s Peace”?

The April 29 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes the political cohesion of Iranian elites in supporting negotiations with the United States.

Ali Alfoneh

11 min read

Is Khamenei Ready for “Imam Hasan’s Peace”?

Tehran Prepares for the Third Round of Talks

The April 25 edition of the Iran Media Review evaluates Iranian media reports indicating that U.S.-Iranian negotiations are progressing rapidly.

Ali Alfoneh

8 min read

Tehran Prepares for the Third Round of Talks
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Events

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
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Jan 9, 2024

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On January 9, AGSIW hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they looked ahead and assessed trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year.

Oct 12, 2023

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On October 12, AGSIW hosted a discussion on the Israel-Hamas conflict.

Smoke billows following Israeli strikes, in Gaza City, October 11. (REUTERS/Mohammed Salem)
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