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Analysis

Khamenei Greenlights Iran-U.S. Talks, Will Trump?  

The January 31 edition of the Iran Media Review considers commentary regarding the lack of messaging from Washington on negotiations.

Ali Alfoneh

9 min read

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has officially sanctioned direct diplomatic engagement between Iran and the United States, framing his authorization within his characteristic anti-imperialist rhetoric. However, Iranian officials and commentary in domestic media suggest Washington has been unresponsive. 

  • January 28: Addressing foreign ambassadors to Tehran on his official website, Khamenei implicitly endorsed diplomatic engagement with the United States: 
    • “Their diplomatic smirks cover their enmity and hatred, their evil nature. We must open our eyes and be vigilant with whom we are dealing and with whom we are talking. When you know your counterpart, you can indeed make deals, but you should know what you are doing.” He continued that Iran should recognize it for what it is and “be aware.”  
  • January 29: In response to a question from a journalist at the reformist Entekhab News Agency, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said:  
    • “No, we have not received any message” from Washington. 
  • January 29: Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi reinforced the president’s assertion in a short interview with the same Entekhab reporter saying:  
    •  “Trump has not sent any specific message concerning negotiations. This is just merely speculation. We are engaged in talks with European countries.” 
  • January 29: Deputy Parliamentary Speaker Hamid-Reza Haji-Babaei in an interview by Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting reported by centrist Fararu News Agency, echoed a position of conditional engagement:  
    • “We harbor no enmity against the United States. We are in favor of just negotiations.”  
  • January 30: Former Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, speaking at a conference hosted by the Institute for Iran-Eurasia Studies in Tehran, offered a pragmatic reassessment of Iran’s strategic posture, as quoted by the reformist Kargozaran Party’s Sazandegi newspaper:  
    • I agree with our friends here that Iran’s foreign policy starts with the region, but we must get rid of an irritant to Iran’s foreign policy.” He continued that, hostility toward “the United States is not an opportunity for Iran’s foreign policy. It has shackled the feet of Iran’s foreign policy. As I explained in my latest book, we should not define our relations with Africa and Europe in the framework of a fight with the United States. In such a fight, nobody will take our side. We are not in need of having cordial relations with the United States, but we must see to it that when others have relations with us, they will not be entangled in a fight with the United States. If they do, they will not choose to have relations with us, something we witness now. 
  • January 30: Reformist Shargh newspaper analyzed Tehran’s growing diplomatic “frustrations” over the “unresponsive West,” despite overtures from the Iranian leadership:  
    • The deputy foreign minister for political affairs, “Majid Takht-Ravanchi declared Iran’s readiness to discuss the nuclear issue with the West … Before that, Mohammad Javad Zarif signaled Iran’s willingness while attending Davos” for the World Economic Forum. He continued, “Even before this, President Pezeshkian did something similar … and Foreign Minister Araghchi … and Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref have indicated ‘There is no other salvation for the country but through negotiations’ … The West, however, is not responding to signals from Tehran, which increases the political cost for proponents of engagement in Iran.”  
    • Rasoul Nahavandi, an academic quoted by Shargh, said: “The new administration’s foreign policy, military, and security Cabinet has not been fully formed, and the second Trump administration is busy with bigger issues … However, unresponsiveness of the new U.S. administration may be intentional.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Under Mojtaba, the IRGC Will Reign Supreme

Iran may still call itself an Islamic Republic. In practice, however, it increasingly resembles a state in which the military governs from behind clerical robes.

Ali Alfoneh

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Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds Day rally in Tehran, Iran, May 31, 2019. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Political Life and Legacy of Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in his office in Tehran at age 86, leaving behind a country in ruins and on the verge of civil war and potential disintegration.

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In this photo released by an official website of the office of the Iranian supreme leader, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks in a meeting in Tehran, Iran, February 17. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP)

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Iran is signaling that it will not absorb attacks passively. But whether this strategy ensures the regime’s survival, seals its fate, or accelerates a broader catastrophe will shape the region for years to come.

Ali Alfoneh

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Smoke rises on the skyline after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, February 28. (AP Photo)

Iran’s 2025-26 Protests in Perspective

The erosion of the regime’s legitimacy across broad segments of society, combined with the breadth of the 2025-26 protest coalition, raises the possibility that a new confrontation could trigger renewed anti-regime mobilization.

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In this photo obtained by The Associated Press, Iranians attend an anti-government protest in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 8. (UGC via AP)
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Events

Mar 2, 2026

After the Shock: Implications of the U.S.–Israeli Strikes and Iran’s Leadership Transition

On March 2, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.

Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Jan 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
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