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Analysis

Iranian Scholar on Russia’s Support for the UAE’s Territorial Claim

The July 18 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights a scholar’s call for realism in Iran’s dealings with Russia and China.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

Elaheh Koulaei, a professor of political science at Tehran University, former reformist parliamentarian, and public intellectual, keeps lecturing Iranian politicians on the timeless wisdom of realism but apparently to no avail. In 2022, China backed the United Arab Emirates’ claim on the Greater and Lesser Tunbs and Abu Musa islands, causing fury in Iran, which also claims the islands. A July 10 statement issued by Russia and the Gulf Cooperation Council following a Ministerial Meeting for Strategic Dialogue in Moscow expressing support for a “peaceful solution” to the island dispute caused renewed anger in Tehran. This anger, according to Koulaei, stems from ignorance about international relations and a misguided, one-sided orientation toward Russia and China.

  • July 13: In an interview with reformist Etemad Daily, Koulaei discussed Russia’s behavior and assessed the impact of Iran’s orientation toward Russia and China:
    • The interviewer asked: “Russia and the Persian Gulf Cooperation Council’s positions concerning Iranian islands have negatively impacted public opinion in Iran. Why does Russia behave in such ways?” Koulaei responded: “Such events cause surprise and astonishment among officials and decision makers, who lack a proper understanding of the realities of international relations and the dynamics regulating relations between states. The behavior of Russia, the United States, Japan, and all other states is designed to enhance their national interests. Therefore, expecting that the Russians should have the interests of the Islamic Republic of Iran on their minds in their international conduct is contrary to international realities. Like any other state, Russia’s relations with states in the Persian Gulf region, in particular the southern states, serve the purpose of enhancing Russia’s interests … The Persian Gulf Cooperation Council has consistently emphasized the UAE’s territorial claims, and in order to expand its relations with these countries, Russia, based on its own considerations and self-interest, confirms the baseless and undocumented claims of the UAE.”
    • Asked to assess the impact of the “Looking East” strategy, Koulaei said: “Unfortunately, over the past decade, a strategy called ‘Looking East,’ ‘Eastern policy,’ or, in reality, an orientation toward the East, has emerged in Iran. Based on this strategy, the country has pursued unbalanced relations with Russia and China, without any regard for Iran’s geographic and geopolitical needs … This strategy does not secure our national interests … Fundamentally, all countries sharing Iran’s geopolitical characteristics … pursue a balancing strategy in their foreign policy. Dependence on one global power, be it Eastern or Western, does not serve the needs and interests of the state … ‘Eastern policy’ provides opportunities for Eastern powers so they can take advantage of the confrontation between Iran and Western Europe and the United States … Other players reap the benefits of Iran’s geopolitical position and secure their national interests. In this strategic model, Iran, rather than utilizing its capacities and capabilities, is reduced to a bargaining chip in the hands of other powers.”
    • Discussing “the recent changes in Saudi Arabia’s behavior,” Koulaei said: “Saudi Arabia and other Arab states undertake a different engagement, which should remind Iran of the need to regulate its foreign policy to serve the national interest.”

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Iran: Emergence of Collective Leadership Amid Low-Intensity Conflict

Israel’s ongoing low-intensity warfare has marginalized Iran's supreme leader and empowered a collective leadership.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian attend an endorsement ceremony in Tehran, Iran, July 28, 2024. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA /Handout via REUTERS)

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)

The United States on the Verge of Another “Forever War”?

U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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Events

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
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