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Analysis

The IRGC Backs Ali Larijani the Pragmatist

The August 8 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes an IRGC-affiliated newspaper’s reaction to Ali Larijani’s appointment to the SNSC.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

In the latest example of external pressure fostering intraelite cohesion, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ primary media outlet praised President Masoud Pezeshkian’s August 5 appointment of Ali Larijani as secretary of the Supreme National Security Council. Larijani’s return to the upper echelons of power marks a further step in the consolidation of Iran’s emerging collective leadership, as Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei remains in hiding, fearing an Israeli assassination attempt. 

  • August 6: Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-affiliated Javan praised President Masoud Pezeshkian’s appointment of Ali Larijani as Supreme National Security Council secretary, suggesting that it: 
    •  “signifies the return of an experienced and effective figure to the forefront of strategic national security decision making. Rather than being a purely political move, it reflects the regime’s inclination to prioritize expertise in times of crisis … It also demonstrates the leadership’s need for an individual who not only enjoys relative acceptability across the country’s political factions but is also capable of managing complex regional and international developments … Larijani’s recent visit to Russia likely signals his new role in handling high-level relations with major powers, such as Russia and China. He is among the few who can strike a balance in Iran’s international relations without succumbing to either emotionalism or excessive conservatism … Given his current role as a political advisor to the leader, as well as his prior experience in Parliament, diplomacy, and national security, Larijani is expected to act as a mediator and balancer across key domains of macrolevel decision making, including the military establishment, the Cabinet, and even political currents … Thanks to his extensive networks at home and abroad and his systemic approach to policymaking, he is well-positioned to guide sensitive issues, such as regional diplomacy, revival of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or an alternative to it, relations with Russia, China, and the emerging powers, and domestic and regional security challenges.”  

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

The Pragmatist Who Came In From the Cold: Ali Larijani, Iran’s New Supreme National Security Council Secretary

An Iraqi-born native of Najaf but an unmistakably Iranian nationalist, Ali Larijani is expected to leverage his record of bureaucratic competence and global fluency to coordinate Iran’s security bureaucracy.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

Iranian Secretary of Supreme National Security Council Ali Larijani, greets journalists upon his arrival to meet with the Lebanese parliament speaker Nabih Berri, in Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 13. (AP Photo/Bilal Hussein)

Iran: Perilous Policy Paralysis

Confronted with the clear and present danger posed by Israel, Iran’s collective leadership appears mired in policy paralysis, leaving Iran strategically adrift.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks during a meeting with Iran's president, Masoud Pezeshkian, and his cabinet in Tehran, Iran, August 27, 2024. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA /Handout via REUTERS)

Iran: Emergence of Collective Leadership Amid Low-Intensity Conflict

Israel’s ongoing low-intensity warfare has marginalized Iran's supreme leader and empowered a collective leadership.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian attend an endorsement ceremony in Tehran, Iran, July 28, 2024. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA /Handout via REUTERS)

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)
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Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
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