"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Subscribe

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings
Analysis

Iran’s State-Censored Media Divided on President-Elect Trump

The November 8 edition of the Iran Media Review evaluates commentary on Trump again winning the presidency in the United States.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Iran’s state-censored media appears divided on the prospects for President-elect Donald J. Trump’s Iran policy. The exception is Kayhan newspaper, a mouthpiece of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s, which claims there will be no difference in Iran’s relations with the United State regardless of who is president. 

  • November 7: Kayhan newspaper, on its front page wrote 
    • “America is the great Satan, regardless of who is the president.” 
  • November 7: Reformist Ham-Mihan newspaper published an editorial warning readers against making a prejudiced assessment of Trump:  
    • “In Iran, Trump is known for his withdrawal from the nuclear agreement and for martyring Major General Qassim Suleimani … But unlike his predecessors, Trump is inclined to stay away from regional wars, a promise he has consistently made in the course of the campaign. A regional war is indeed the most dangerous phenomenon imaginable today. This does not mean there will be no tensions under Trump, but we should not be prejudiced against him.”  
  • November 7: Ham-Mihan columnist Hani Rastegaran wrote in an analysis of the presidential election in the United States:  
    • “Relations between the United States and Iran will either move toward an all-out war or toward a constructive and viable dialogue. The Islamic Republic will not experience anything between the two extremes.” 
  • November 7: Kargozaran, a technocratic newspaper, published an editorial on the U.S. presidential election: 
    • “Will Iran be subject to harsher sanctions when Trump returns to the White House …? Last time around, Iran exported oil to a large number of countries, and he easily managed to reduce Iran’s oil exports. However, more than 90% of Iran’s oil is exported to China, which makes it harder for him to sanction Iran … Nevertheless, if Trump manages to reduce Iran’s oil revenue, the Cabinet will experience a budget deficit, and the rial will further collapse against the U.S. dollar.”  
  • November 7: Reformist Etemad published expert commentary on the return of Trump to the White House:  
    • Abd al-Reza Faraji-Rad wrote: “No need to worry. Trump’s psychology is not a war-seeking one as demonstrated during his first four years in office.” 
    • Ali Ahangar wrote: “Iran was clever not to make a nuclear agreement with the interim administration of President Joe Biden.” 
    • Heshmatollah Falahatpisheh wrote: “Trump’s return is like the return of the Taliban: Both pursue the same objectives but with different means second time around.” 
  • November 7: Reformist Shargh Daily also published commentary: 
    • Jafar Haqpanah wrote: “Trump is in cahoots with AIPAC,” the American Israel Public Affairs Committee. “We ought not fear Trump himself but his foreign policy and defense team.” 
    • Jafar Qanadbashi wrote: “Trump’s return to the White House is not a threat … He is a businessman, and he will not move toward increased tensions with Iran.” 
    • Jalal Mirzaei, a former parliamentarian, wrote: “Trump being an opportunity or a threat depends on Iran’s behavior … If Iran manages to recalibrate some of its policies and pursue an active and smart policy, the threat of Trump can be turned into an opportunity.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

The Pragmatist Who Came In From the Cold: Ali Larijani, Iran’s New Supreme National Security Council Secretary

An Iraqi-born native of Najaf but an unmistakably Iranian nationalist, Ali Larijani is expected to leverage his record of bureaucratic competence and global fluency to coordinate Iran’s security bureaucracy.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

Iranian Secretary of Supreme National Security Council Ali Larijani, greets journalists upon his arrival to meet with the Lebanese parliament speaker Nabih Berri, in Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 13. (AP Photo/Bilal Hussein)

Iran: Perilous Policy Paralysis

Confronted with the clear and present danger posed by Israel, Iran’s collective leadership appears mired in policy paralysis, leaving Iran strategically adrift.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks during a meeting with Iran's president, Masoud Pezeshkian, and his cabinet in Tehran, Iran, August 27, 2024. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA /Handout via REUTERS)

Iran: Emergence of Collective Leadership Amid Low-Intensity Conflict

Israel’s ongoing low-intensity warfare has marginalized Iran's supreme leader and empowered a collective leadership.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian attend an endorsement ceremony in Tehran, Iran, July 28, 2024. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA /Handout via REUTERS)

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)
View All

Events

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
View All