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Analysis

Reformist Media Warns Against the Risk of War in the Wake of Haniyeh Assassination

The August 6 edition of the Iran Media Review considers the hard questions being asked by reformist media outlets after the killing of Hamas’ political leader Ismail Haniyeh.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

The July 31 assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, chairman of the Hamas Political Bureau, in Tehran has thrown Masoud Pezeshkian’s presidency into a crisis: focus has changed from the newly elected president’s reform agenda to the conflict with regional adversary Israel, the suspected perpetrator. In defense of Pezeshkian, reformist media outlets criticize the unpreparedness of Iran’s intelligence and security services and warn against the risk of a war with Israel and potentially the United States. 

  • August 5: Reformist columnist Saeed Harasani wrote on the frontpage of Shargh Daily 
    • “Why wasn’t the possibility of the assassination of Haniyeh predicted? Security protocol of individuals is based on an assessment of the assassination risk. Should any factor show an increase in the risk of assassination of individuals, it will be reflected in increased physical protection, change of transportation routes, identification of the sources of threat, and the like. The question is, why didn’t the authorities manage to connect the risks of Israel’s attempts at entangling Iran in a war, Kamala Harris’ increased pressure against Netanyahu, the Zionist regime’s operations in Beirut … to the risk of assassination of Haniyeh … ? In general, a government conducting an operation on the presidential inauguration day is an unlikely event … Nevertheless … the fundamental question remains unanswered: How did the security services fail to assess the risk of assassination of a foreign guest?” 
  • August 5: Discussing different theories concerning the assassination of Haniyeh, reformist Etemad newspaper interviewed Heshmatollah Falahatpisheh, former parliamentary National Security and Foreign Policy Committee member, and Seyyed Javad Hosseini-Kia, a former parliamentarian: 
    • Falahatpisheh warned of the risk of Iran being infiltrated by foreign enemies and said: “Unfortunately, national television is offering theories concerning the assassination of martyr Ismail Haniyeh, which not only add to confusion, but are psychologically harmful to society. There are those who speak of launching a missile from outside or inside of the country. There are also those who put forward the usual microdrone scenario. A third group claims a foreign fighter plane was to blame, and foreign media put forward the theory that a bomb was planted in the building … Certain individuals and groups are trying to push the country into a fast retaliatory act, without raising the slightest criticism against the performance of the government. Such media and currents are not asking why the issue,” of Haniyeh’s safety in Tehran, “had not been properly assessed.” Falahatpisheh concluded: “Individuals and currents who are pushing the country toward unknown horizons are acting to promote the interests of enemies of the state and not the national interests of Iran.” 
    • Hosseini-Kia: “There is no need for shaping the domestic atmosphere with the theories on likelihood of infiltration of Iran. The central issue is that the Zionists martyred Ismail Haniyeh, Iran’s guest, and Iran must answer this.” 
  • August 5: Mohammad-Ali Sobhani, former ambassador to Qatar, Lebanon, and Syria, in a conversation with Shargh Daily, warned President Masoud Pezeshkian against entangling Iran in a war:  
    • “I believe there are some, certain currents within Iran, Israel, and other enemies of the Islamic Republic, who, by creating crises, are trying to change the reformist path of the Pezeshkian Cabinet … I am therefore urging the Pezeshkian Cabinet to ignore such manufactured crises and concentrate on the main issue … As for Iran’s response, should we entangle Iran in an all-out war, the very thing that Netanyahu desires … ? The reaction must be controlled and intelligent … in order to avoid confrontation with the United States.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

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Events

Mar 2, 2026

After the Shock: Implications of the U.S.–Israeli Strikes and Iran’s Leadership Transition

On March 2, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.

Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Jan 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
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