"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Subscribe

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings
Analysis

Presidential Election in Iran: Pezeshkian and Jalili Proceed to Runoff July 5

The July 2 edition of the Iran Media Review examines commentary ahead of the second round of voting in Iran’s presidential election.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Among Iran’s 61.5 million eligible voters, only 24.5 million – roughly 40% – cast their votes in Iran’s presidential election June 28. Masoud Pezeshkian came on top with 10.4 million votes, followed by Saeed Jalili’s 9.5 million votes, Mohammad-Bagher Qalibaf’s 3.4 million votes, and Mostafa Pourmohammadi’s modest 206,000 votes, significantly less than the 1.5 million ballots deemed invalid. Since no candidate received a majority of the vote in the first round, Pezeshkian and Jalili will proceed to a second round of voting July 5. In preparation, Iran’s state-censored media is discussing each candidate’s prospects.

  • June 30: Kourosh Ahmadi, a former diplomat and columnist for reformist Shargh Daily, wrote on the “mistakes of the Pezeshkian campaign”: “Although Dr. Pezeshkian appeared on top of the ballot, his vote was significantly lower than the expectations (around 16% of eligible voters) … From the very beginning of the campaign, it was clear that voter turnout was the central issue of elections … The Pezeshkian campaign’s main approach was to stoke fear of the rivals, promise improvement in quotidian issues, and appeal to the feelings of the people to create enthusiasm … But the modern urban middle class was not likely to respond to this approach … This group cannot be motivated” to vote “unless the candidate presents a political program and attends to the substance of the matter. It is not at all enough just to present Pezeshkian as uncorrupt and someone who does not lie … The voters want to know what Pezeshkian’s plans are to solve the problems, and they want to know that he, as president, is committed to his own plans … Today, we are clearly seeing the specter of extremism, and should Pezeshkian continue talking about generalities or well-meant sermons, we cannot expect the voter turnout in the second round to be higher than in the first round.”
  • June 30: Kayhan newspaper, a mouthpiece of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, dedicated its front page to attacking the Pezeshkian campaign under the headline “The Pezeshkian Campaign’s Only Plan: To Stoke Fear of the Rival.” Kayhan’s anonymous columnist wrote: “One of the characteristics of Masoud Pezeshkian’s campaign is his lack of a program and reliance on media quarrels, which elevate stoking fear of the rival among the voters to his main instrument … The Pezeshkian campaign and former Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, fearful of being held accountable for their own shortcomings, blame Jalili for the sanctions. This is bound to be one of the most dishonorable deeds of the campaign … Zarif also blames Jalili for the United Nations Security Council Resolutions against Iran, although most of the resolutions were passed before Jalili was appointed Supreme National Security Council secretary … They accuse Jalili of having a ‘Taliban mentality,’ but these people were themselves among the most radical elements in the 1980s and can only be perceived as the mentors of the Taliban when it comes to radicalism,” referencing the reformist camp.
  • June 30: Seyyed Hossein Marashia, a member of the Kargozaran-e Sazandegi technocratic faction and ally of former President Hassan Rouhani, said in an interview with faction mouthpiece Sazandegi: “Now, the choice is crystal clear, and the differences between Mr. Pezeshkian and Mr. Jalili are visible for all to see. Taking into account the trend in the election in the United States and the very real prospect for Trump’s return to power, the people of Iran now have an opportunity to vote for safety,” possibly meaning to opt for the safe bet, which in his opinion is Pezeshkian.
  • June 30: Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps mouthpiece Javan newspaper’s front page asked Pezeshkian, “Who Will Be in Your Cabinet?” writing: “The head of the Pezeshkian campaign recently said, ‘Pezeshkian has no idea about the composition of his Cabinet.’ This is a terrifying statement … Now, there is demand from society to know who will be in the Cabinet so that they don’t just vote for an individual but for a Cabinet. This also provides the candidates with the opportunity to purge radical and illiterate elements around them as well as a good opportunity for the people to know what calamity is about to befall them.”

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Political Life and Legacy of Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in his office in Tehran at age 86, leaving behind a country in ruins and on the verge of civil war and potential disintegration.

Ali Alfoneh

15 min read

In this photo released by an official website of the office of the Iranian supreme leader, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks in a meeting in Tehran, Iran, February 17. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP)

Iranian Regime Fighting for Survival

Iran is signaling that it will not absorb attacks passively. But whether this strategy ensures the regime’s survival, seals its fate, or accelerates a broader catastrophe will shape the region for years to come.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises on the skyline after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, February 28. (AP Photo)

Iran’s 2025-26 Protests in Perspective

The erosion of the regime’s legitimacy across broad segments of society, combined with the breadth of the 2025-26 protest coalition, raises the possibility that a new confrontation could trigger renewed anti-regime mobilization.

Ali Alfoneh

9 min read

In this photo obtained by The Associated Press, Iranians attend an anti-government protest in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 8. (UGC via AP)

Protests in Iran: Regime Deal With Trump or Degrade Toward Collapse?

Though the Iranian regime is facing increasing pressure from protesters and armed insurgent groups, it is not yet doomed – but without a deal with the United States, the regime is likely headed for a slow collapse.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Protesters march on a bridge in Tehran, Iran, Dec. 29, 2025. (Fars News Agency via AP, File)
View All

Events

Mar 2, 2026

12:00pm - 1:00pm

After the Shock: Implications of the U.S.–Israeli Strikes and Iran’s Leadership Transition

On March 2, AGSI will host a discussion on the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.

Register
Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Jan 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
View All