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Analysis

The Iranian Interior Minister’s Foreign Policy

The August 12 edition of the Iran Media Review considers the Iranian Interior Ministry’s position on nuclear negotiations in Vienna.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

The Iranian Foreign Ministry’s declared objective of reviving the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action nuclear deal appears at odds with the lack of progress in negotiations in Vienna. This, in part, can be attributed to very real opposition to the JCPOA in certain quarters, including Iran’s Interior Ministry.  

  • June 20: “Those who put their eggs in America’s basket have no confidence in Iran’s progress. Those who do not consider America off-limits are not working for the country’s development,” Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi said, according to a report by the Iranian Students’ News Agency. Although Vahidi did not specifically mention Iran’s nuclear program, his reference to “science-based development” was clear enough as was his thinly veiled opposition to the ongoing nuclear negotiations. Vahidi said, “There are certain political currents that let loose when facing the West … We must define our own developmental model.” He rhetorically asked: “Is the message of the West anything but NATO, cannons, and war in Afghanistan, Ukraine, and elsewhere?”

Conduct of foreign policy being the purview of the Foreign Ministry, the Iranian interior minister’s statements are not only remarkable but also significant, since he is a voting member of the Supreme National Security Council, the highest strategic decision-making body in the Islamic Republic. Such statements only make sense when taking into consideration Vahidi’s background as a former commander of the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Vahidi may be representing the prevailing consensus in the IRGC rather than the Interior Ministry.  

The prevailing analysis in the IRGC appears to assume that Iran’s nuclear program is advancing fast, and the United States lacks the political will to stop it, due to its withdrawal from Afghanistan and current entanglement in Ukraine. Vahidi’s statements may also reflect the IRGC’s policy recommendation rather than the Interior Ministry’s and can be interpreted as opposition to a negotiated solution to the crisis over Iran’s nuclear program. None of this bodes well for the fate of nuclear negotiations. 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

The United States on the Verge of Another “Forever War”?

U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

A Path to a Stronger United States in the Gulf

AGSI offers pragmatic, targeted policy recommendations for the Trump administration to maximize U.S. political and economic influence with the crucial emerging regional powers in the Gulf.

20 min read

President Donald J. Trump, fifth left, attends a group photo session with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, fourth right, UAE Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, second right, Bahraini Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, left, Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, third left, Kuwaiti Emir Meshal al-Ahmed al-Jaber al-Sabah, second left, GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi, right, during the GCC Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Supreme Oscillation: Khamenei’s Trump Strategy

Iran’s supreme leader is facing a strategic dilemma in how to pursue diplomacy with the United States and project strength amid internal fracturing and ambiguity.

Ali Alfoneh

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Events

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)

Jan 9, 2024

2024 Outlook

On January 9, AGSIW hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they looked ahead and assessed trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year.

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