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Analysis

Iran: Unprepared, Defenseless, and Under Attack

The June 13 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian responses to widespread Israeli attacks on IRGC leaders, Iranian scientists, and multiple nuclear facilities.

Ali Alfoneh

17 min read

Israel’s June 13 decapitation attacks against senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leaders and nuclear scientists – coupled with precision strikes on multiple nuclear facilities – demonstrate Iran’s persistent inability to learn from its failures in Lebanon and Syria over the past year. The Iranian regime remains unprepared, defenseless, and under attack, and a defiant message to the Iranian nation in the immediate aftermath of the attacks by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is not likely to change these facts. 

  • June 13: Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-affiliated Mashregh News confirmed the assassination of the IRGC chief commander, Major General Hossein Salami. 
  • June 13: Centrist Asr-e Iran reported Major General Gholam Ali Rashid, Khatam al-Anbia Central Headquarters chief, was killed. 
  • June 13: IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News confirmed the targeted assassination of the armed forces chief of staff, Major General Mohammad Bagheri.  
  • June 13: Tasnim News reported nuclear scientists Fereydoon Abbasi and Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi were killed in targeted assassinations. 
  • June 13: Nour News Agency, which is affiliated with the Supreme National Security Council, reported that IRGC military housing complexes in Tehran’s Mahallati neighborhood were targeted in the Israeli attacks. 
  • June 13: Tabnak News, affiliated with Mohsen Rezaei, former IRGC chief commander, broadcast video of a fire at the Martyr Ahmadi-Roshan nuclear facility in Natanz. 
  • June 13: In a message to the Iranian nation posted on his official website, and read on live television by a news anchor, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei vowed divine retribution against “the Zionist regime” but prudently refrained from blaming the United States for Israel’s conduct: 
    • “The great nation of Iran! In the early morning hours, the Zionist regime used its wicked and bloodstained hands to commit a crime in our dear country and more than ever revealed its evil nature by targeting residential areas. The regime must await a severe punishment. With God’s providence, the mighty hands of the Armed Forces of the Islamic Republic will not relent. In the enemy’s aggression, several commanders and scientists were martyred. Their deputies and colleagues will take up their duty without hesitation. God willing, the Zionist regime has, through this crime, paved the way for its own bitter and painful fate and will surely face it by God’s will.” 
  • June 13: Brigadier General Ali Fadavi, second-in-command of the IRGC, in a televised interview circulated online by IRGC-affiliated Mashregh News, said: 
    • “We will make the wicked of the world and criminal Zionists regret.” 
  • June 13: Tasnim News Agency reported that, in addition to nuclear scientists Abbasi and Tehranchi, four more nuclear scientists were killed: Abdolhamid Minouchehr and Ahmad Reza Zolfaqari, professors at Shahid Beheshti University; Amir-Hossein Feqhi, Iran Nuclear Science and Research Institute director; and “Motallebizadeh,” whose first name and institutional affiliation remains unknown. 
  • June 13: Tabnak News Agency further reported a ballistic missile silo in Piranshahr in western Iran was targeted by Israel. 
  • June 13: Nour News reported that Admiral Ali Shamkhani, former Supreme National Security Council secretary, who was severely wounded in the Israeli attacks, is hospitalized and in “critical condition.”  
  • June 13: Majid Farshi, East Azerbaijan province crisis management director, was quoted by reformist Entekhab News Agency as saying:  
    • “Martyr Karimi garrison in Saeid-Abad, Al-Zahra garrison in Amand, and the radar site on Sar-Doroud were attacked by Israel.” 
  • June 13: Mashregh News, citing Israeli television, reported “hundreds of Iranian drones launched against Israel.”  

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Iran: Emergence of Collective Leadership Amid Low-Intensity Conflict

Israel’s ongoing low-intensity warfare has marginalized Iran's supreme leader and empowered a collective leadership.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian attend an endorsement ceremony in Tehran, Iran, July 28, 2024. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA /Handout via REUTERS)

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

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Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)

The United States on the Verge of Another “Forever War”?

U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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Events

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
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