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Analysis

Iran: Unprepared, Defenseless, and Under Attack

The June 13 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian responses to widespread Israeli attacks on IRGC leaders, Iranian scientists, and multiple nuclear facilities.

Ali Alfoneh

17 min read

Israel’s June 13 decapitation attacks against senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leaders and nuclear scientists – coupled with precision strikes on multiple nuclear facilities – demonstrate Iran’s persistent inability to learn from its failures in Lebanon and Syria over the past year. The Iranian regime remains unprepared, defenseless, and under attack, and a defiant message to the Iranian nation in the immediate aftermath of the attacks by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is not likely to change these facts. 

  • June 13: Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-affiliated Mashregh News confirmed the assassination of the IRGC chief commander, Major General Hossein Salami. 
  • June 13: Centrist Asr-e Iran reported Major General Gholam Ali Rashid, Khatam al-Anbia Central Headquarters chief, was killed. 
  • June 13: IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News confirmed the targeted assassination of the armed forces chief of staff, Major General Mohammad Bagheri.  
  • June 13: Tasnim News reported nuclear scientists Fereydoon Abbasi and Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi were killed in targeted assassinations. 
  • June 13: Nour News Agency, which is affiliated with the Supreme National Security Council, reported that IRGC military housing complexes in Tehran’s Mahallati neighborhood were targeted in the Israeli attacks. 
  • June 13: Tabnak News, affiliated with Mohsen Rezaei, former IRGC chief commander, broadcast video of a fire at the Martyr Ahmadi-Roshan nuclear facility in Natanz. 
  • June 13: In a message to the Iranian nation posted on his official website, and read on live television by a news anchor, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei vowed divine retribution against “the Zionist regime” but prudently refrained from blaming the United States for Israel’s conduct: 
    • “The great nation of Iran! In the early morning hours, the Zionist regime used its wicked and bloodstained hands to commit a crime in our dear country and more than ever revealed its evil nature by targeting residential areas. The regime must await a severe punishment. With God’s providence, the mighty hands of the Armed Forces of the Islamic Republic will not relent. In the enemy’s aggression, several commanders and scientists were martyred. Their deputies and colleagues will take up their duty without hesitation. God willing, the Zionist regime has, through this crime, paved the way for its own bitter and painful fate and will surely face it by God’s will.” 
  • June 13: Brigadier General Ali Fadavi, second-in-command of the IRGC, in a televised interview circulated online by IRGC-affiliated Mashregh News, said: 
    • “We will make the wicked of the world and criminal Zionists regret.” 
  • June 13: Tasnim News Agency reported that, in addition to nuclear scientists Abbasi and Tehranchi, four more nuclear scientists were killed: Abdolhamid Minouchehr and Ahmad Reza Zolfaqari, professors at Shahid Beheshti University; Amir-Hossein Feqhi, Iran Nuclear Science and Research Institute director; and “Motallebizadeh,” whose first name and institutional affiliation remains unknown. 
  • June 13: Tabnak News Agency further reported a ballistic missile silo in Piranshahr in western Iran was targeted by Israel. 
  • June 13: Nour News reported that Admiral Ali Shamkhani, former Supreme National Security Council secretary, who was severely wounded in the Israeli attacks, is hospitalized and in “critical condition.”  
  • June 13: Majid Farshi, East Azerbaijan province crisis management director, was quoted by reformist Entekhab News Agency as saying:  
    • “Martyr Karimi garrison in Saeid-Abad, Al-Zahra garrison in Amand, and the radar site on Sar-Doroud were attacked by Israel.” 
  • June 13: Mashregh News, citing Israeli television, reported “hundreds of Iranian drones launched against Israel.”  

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Under Mojtaba, the IRGC Will Reign Supreme

Iran may still call itself an Islamic Republic. In practice, however, it increasingly resembles a state in which the military governs from behind clerical robes.

Ali Alfoneh

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Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds Day rally in Tehran, Iran, May 31, 2019. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

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Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in his office in Tehran at age 86, leaving behind a country in ruins and on the verge of civil war and potential disintegration.

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In this photo released by an official website of the office of the Iranian supreme leader, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks in a meeting in Tehran, Iran, February 17. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP)

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Iran is signaling that it will not absorb attacks passively. But whether this strategy ensures the regime’s survival, seals its fate, or accelerates a broader catastrophe will shape the region for years to come.

Ali Alfoneh

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Smoke rises on the skyline after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, February 28. (AP Photo)

Iran’s 2025-26 Protests in Perspective

The erosion of the regime’s legitimacy across broad segments of society, combined with the breadth of the 2025-26 protest coalition, raises the possibility that a new confrontation could trigger renewed anti-regime mobilization.

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In this photo obtained by The Associated Press, Iranians attend an anti-government protest in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 8. (UGC via AP)
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Events

Mar 18, 2026

In Its Conflict With the United States and Israel, Does Escalation Favor Iran?

On March 18, AGSI hosted a discussion on the escalation of the Iran war.

Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13,. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)
Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)

Mar 2, 2026

After the Shock: Implications of the U.S.–Israeli Strikes and Iran’s Leadership Transition

On March 2, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.

Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Jan 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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