"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Subscribe

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings
Analysis

Ayatollah Khamenei’s “National Day of the Persian Gulf” Message

The May 1 edition of the Iran Media Review highlights a message from Iran’s absent supreme leader and considers how much authority he maintains.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

While speculation about the health of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei continues in international media, his official website has been steadily publishing messages in his name. A spokesperson attributed his survival on February 28 to his presence in the courtyard of the supreme leader’s compound moments before the blast. The more consequential question, however, remains: If he is indeed alive and well, how much authority does he exercise relative to the regime’s de facto collective leadership – the heads of the three branches of government and representatives of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the regular military?

  • April 30: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s website published a message from him commemorating the “National Day of the Persian Gulf”:
    • “The Iranian nation, which possesses the longest coastline along the Persian Gulf, has made the greatest sacrifices for its independence and in confronting foreigners and aggressors.”
    • “The presence of American foreigners and their entrenchment in the lands of the Persian Gulf is the principal cause of insecurity in the region. America’s fragile bases lack even the capacity to ensure their own security let alone that of their dependents and regional adherents.”
    • “By the power and will of God, the bright future of the Persian Gulf region will be one without America and in the service of the progress, comfort, and prosperity of its peoples. We and our neighbors along the waters of the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman share a common destiny, and foreigners who come from thousands of kilometers away, greedily sowing mischief, have no place there – except in the depths of its waters.”
  • May 1: Mohsen Qomi, deputy for international affairs at the Office of the Supreme Leader, addressed Khamenei’s health in remarks to Fars News Agency that were republished by centrist Asr-e Iran:
    • “Under the current circumstances, the most important issue is helping to preserve the life of the supreme leader … Despite the injuries he sustained during the attack on the leader’s residence, Almighty God preserved him … for, just minutes before the explosion, he had stepped into the courtyard for work-related reasons, and this is what saved his life.”
    • “At present, Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei is in complete health and is engaged in managing the country’s affairs, including issues of negotiations and field operations, under his direct supervision. He has recently also issued guidance to the negotiating team and maintains full oversight over these matters.”

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

How Did the IRGC Seize Power in Iran?

The IRGC did not seize power in a single stroke. It accumulated it – patiently, methodically – until no counterweight remained.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad-Bagher Qalibaf looks on as members of Parliament chant in support of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Tehran, Iran, February 1. (Hamed Malekpour/Islamic consultative assembly news agency/WANA/Handout via REUTERS)

Under Mojtaba, the IRGC Will Reign Supreme

Iran may still call itself an Islamic Republic. In practice, however, it increasingly resembles a state in which the military governs from behind clerical robes.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds Day rally in Tehran, Iran, May 31, 2019. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Political Life and Legacy of Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in his office in Tehran at age 86, leaving behind a country in ruins and on the verge of civil war and potential disintegration.

Ali Alfoneh

15 min read

In this photo released by an official website of the office of the Iranian supreme leader, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks in a meeting in Tehran, Iran, February 17. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP)

Iranian Regime Fighting for Survival

Iran is signaling that it will not absorb attacks passively. But whether this strategy ensures the regime’s survival, seals its fate, or accelerates a broader catastrophe will shape the region for years to come.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises on the skyline after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, February 28. (AP Photo)
View All

Events

Apr 21, 2026

Inside Iran’s Wartime Leadership: Power, Succession, and Regime Stability

On April 21, AGSI hosted a discussion on the evolution of Iran's leadership during the war.

In this photo released by the Pakistan Foreign Ministry, Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, center right, and Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, center left, are greeted by Pakistan Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, right, and Army Chief Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir, left, upon their arrival at Nur Khan airbase in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, April 11. (Pakistan Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)
In this photo released by the Pakistani Foreign Ministry, Iranian Speaker of Parliament Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, center right, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, center left, are greeted by Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, right, and Army Chief Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir, left, upon their arrival at Nur Khan air base in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, April 11. (Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)

Mar 18, 2026

In Its Conflict With the United States and Israel, Does Escalation Favor Iran?

On March 18, AGSI hosted a discussion on the escalation of the Iran war.

Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13,. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)
Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)

Mar 2, 2026

After the Shock: Implications of the U.S.–Israeli Strikes and Iran’s Leadership Transition

On March 2, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.

Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Jan 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
View All