"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Subscribe

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings
Analysis

Iran: Spy Scare and Fear of Treason

The June 20 edition of the Iran Media Review examines Iranian commentary on the regime’s vulnerability to internal espionage and subversion.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

Amid growing fears of internal subversion, reformist Shargh warns of entrenched infiltration, espionage, and sabotage facilitated by bureaucratic dysfunction and agency rivalry. At the same time, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-affiliated Tasnim News reports on an alleged covert initiative seeking clerical endorsement for a cease-fire with Israel, potentially fronted by former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, which is portrayed as a betrayal of national unity and resistance against Israeli aggression. Currently, Iran is experiencing the longest Internet shutdown in its history, meaning access to news sites may be interrupted. 

  • June 18: On reformist Shargh, an anonymous columnist asserted:  
    • “Systematic infiltration, intelligence compromise, and subversive activity in Iran constitute a latent but operational threat vector. Over time, this vulnerability has been institutionalized due to bureaucratic complacency and interagency rivalry … These dynamics have now culminated in a crisis of internal security. The enactment of the ‘Law on Punishment of Collaborators With the Zionist Regime and Hostile States’ and the statute on ‘Enhanced Penalties for the Manufacture and Assembly of Unmanned Arial Vehicles in Coordination With Adversarial Powers’ is viewed by many analysts as a legislative response to a deep-rooted structural vulnerability.” 
    • Quoting parliamentarian Ahmad Aryaeinejad, Shargh reported: 
      • During  the Iran-Iraq War, Iran contended with the Mujahedeen-e Khalq opposition group, “domestic actors fluent in Persian who collaborated with hostile forces. Today, once again, internal agents of subversion are aiding external adversaries. We must activate the societal base – leveraging the Basij, religious institutions, civic organizations, and social strata to constitute a comprehensive societal surveillance and resistance apparatus. The populace must be integrated as an organic component of the state’s security architecture; without their participation, comprehensive national defense is unattainable.” 
      • “Certain things cannot be openly deliberated, but the current threat environment exceeds conventional parameters. We are engaged in a full-spectrum soft war – encompassing psychological operations and systemic sabotage.” 
  • June 19: Tasnim News reported on an unsanctioned political initiative purportedly aimed at achieving a cease-fire with Israel: 
    • “Discredited elements are allegedly pursuing, amid the Zionist regime’s acts of aggression against the sacred soil of Iran, a course of action that contravenes national unity and consensus. These actors are reportedly seeking clerical legitimation from the sources of emulation in Qom to facilitate surrender to, and collaboration with, the child-killing Zionist regime. Aware of the potential state backlash, they have purportedly solicited the leadership of a former senior official” – presumably former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad – “to front this initiative. Thus far, he has not issued a formal response.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

The Pragmatist Who Came In From the Cold: Ali Larijani, Iran’s New Supreme National Security Council Secretary

An Iraqi-born native of Najaf but an unmistakably Iranian nationalist, Ali Larijani is expected to leverage his record of bureaucratic competence and global fluency to coordinate Iran’s security bureaucracy.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

Iranian Secretary of Supreme National Security Council Ali Larijani, greets journalists upon his arrival to meet with the Lebanese parliament speaker Nabih Berri, in Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 13. (AP Photo/Bilal Hussein)

Iran: Perilous Policy Paralysis

Confronted with the clear and present danger posed by Israel, Iran’s collective leadership appears mired in policy paralysis, leaving Iran strategically adrift.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks during a meeting with Iran's president, Masoud Pezeshkian, and his cabinet in Tehran, Iran, August 27, 2024. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA /Handout via REUTERS)

Iran: Emergence of Collective Leadership Amid Low-Intensity Conflict

Israel’s ongoing low-intensity warfare has marginalized Iran's supreme leader and empowered a collective leadership.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian attend an endorsement ceremony in Tehran, Iran, July 28, 2024. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA /Handout via REUTERS)

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)
View All

Events

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
View All