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Analysis

Iran: Unprepared, Defenseless, and Under Attack

The June 13 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian responses to widespread Israeli attacks on IRGC leaders, Iranian scientists, and multiple nuclear facilities.

Ali Alfoneh

17 min read

Israel’s June 13 decapitation attacks against senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leaders and nuclear scientists – coupled with precision strikes on multiple nuclear facilities – demonstrate Iran’s persistent inability to learn from its failures in Lebanon and Syria over the past year. The Iranian regime remains unprepared, defenseless, and under attack, and a defiant message to the Iranian nation in the immediate aftermath of the attacks by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is not likely to change these facts. 

  • June 13: Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-affiliated Mashregh News confirmed the assassination of the IRGC chief commander, Major General Hossein Salami. 
  • June 13: Centrist Asr-e Iran reported Major General Gholam Ali Rashid, Khatam al-Anbia Central Headquarters chief, was killed. 
  • June 13: IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News confirmed the targeted assassination of the armed forces chief of staff, Major General Mohammad Bagheri.  
  • June 13: Tasnim News reported nuclear scientists Fereydoon Abbasi and Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi were killed in targeted assassinations. 
  • June 13: Nour News Agency, which is affiliated with the Supreme National Security Council, reported that IRGC military housing complexes in Tehran’s Mahallati neighborhood were targeted in the Israeli attacks. 
  • June 13: Tabnak News, affiliated with Mohsen Rezaei, former IRGC chief commander, broadcast video of a fire at the Martyr Ahmadi-Roshan nuclear facility in Natanz. 
  • June 13: In a message to the Iranian nation posted on his official website, and read on live television by a news anchor, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei vowed divine retribution against “the Zionist regime” but prudently refrained from blaming the United States for Israel’s conduct: 
    • “The great nation of Iran! In the early morning hours, the Zionist regime used its wicked and bloodstained hands to commit a crime in our dear country and more than ever revealed its evil nature by targeting residential areas. The regime must await a severe punishment. With God’s providence, the mighty hands of the Armed Forces of the Islamic Republic will not relent. In the enemy’s aggression, several commanders and scientists were martyred. Their deputies and colleagues will take up their duty without hesitation. God willing, the Zionist regime has, through this crime, paved the way for its own bitter and painful fate and will surely face it by God’s will.” 
  • June 13: Brigadier General Ali Fadavi, second-in-command of the IRGC, in a televised interview circulated online by IRGC-affiliated Mashregh News, said: 
    • “We will make the wicked of the world and criminal Zionists regret.” 
  • June 13: Tasnim News Agency reported that, in addition to nuclear scientists Abbasi and Tehranchi, four more nuclear scientists were killed: Abdolhamid Minouchehr and Ahmad Reza Zolfaqari, professors at Shahid Beheshti University; Amir-Hossein Feqhi, Iran Nuclear Science and Research Institute director; and “Motallebizadeh,” whose first name and institutional affiliation remains unknown. 
  • June 13: Tabnak News Agency further reported a ballistic missile silo in Piranshahr in western Iran was targeted by Israel. 
  • June 13: Nour News reported that Admiral Ali Shamkhani, former Supreme National Security Council secretary, who was severely wounded in the Israeli attacks, is hospitalized and in “critical condition.”  
  • June 13: Majid Farshi, East Azerbaijan province crisis management director, was quoted by reformist Entekhab News Agency as saying:  
    • “Martyr Karimi garrison in Saeid-Abad, Al-Zahra garrison in Amand, and the radar site on Sar-Doroud were attacked by Israel.” 
  • June 13: Mashregh News, citing Israeli television, reported “hundreds of Iranian drones launched against Israel.”  

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Debating Policy in Public: Iranian Elites Turn to YouTube

Rival camps within the Islamic Republic are increasingly turning to YouTube for policy debate, but there is a limit to the regime’s tolerance for that debate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

IRGC analyst Mehdi Kharatian speaks on TamamRokh’s YouTube channel, April 29. (Credit: Tamam Rokh)

The Committee of Six and Strategic Decision Making in Iran

Remarks by Iran’s president offer a rare glimpse of how the Islamic Republic has adapted its decision making to the absence of its supreme leader.

Ali Alfoneh

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Iranian Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad-Bagher Qalibaf, left, President Masoud Pezeshkian, center, and Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni Ejei sit around a table during a meeting at the presidential office in Tehran, Iran, October 4. (© Iranian Presidency via ZUMA Press)

Mohsen Rezaei at the Helm of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council

Under Rezaei, the SNSC could prove constructive or paralyze strategic decision making.

Ali Alfoneh

8 min read

Then-advisor to Iran's supreme leader, Mohsen Rezaei attends a farewell ceremony for late-Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei at the Imam Khomeini Grand Mosalla in Tehran, Iran, July 3. (REUTERS/Mohammed Salem)

The Islamic Republic Returns to Offense

After U.S.-Israeli strikes killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, Iran’s collective leadership has concluded that the best defense is a good offense.

Ali Alfoneh

12 min read

Iranian Zolfaghar missiles are displayed by the armed forces in a temporary exhibition in front of the Azadi monument in Tehran, Iran, July 29. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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Events

Oct 6, 2026

Is the U.S.-Iran Stalemate a “New Normal” or the Prelude to Another Explosion?

On October 6, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iran stalemate and the prospects for a cease-fire.

President Donald J. Trump speaks to the United Nations General Assembly, Sept. 22, 2026, at the UN headquarters. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
President Donald J. Trump speaks to the United Nations General Assembly, Sept. 22, at the U.N. headquarters. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)

Jun 16, 2026

Book Talk: Iran and the Bomb: The United States, Iran and the Nuclear Question

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the evolution of Iran's nuclear program.

A view of Iran's nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz, Iran, on April, 9, 2007. (AP Photo/Hasan Sarbakhshian, File)
A view of Iran's nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz, Iran, on April, 9, 2007. (AP Photo/Hasan Sarbakhshian, File)

Apr 21, 2026

Inside Iran’s Wartime Leadership: Power, Succession, and Regime Stability

On April 21, AGSI hosted a discussion on the evolution of Iran's leadership during the war.

In this photo released by the Pakistan Foreign Ministry, Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, center right, and Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, center left, are greeted by Pakistan Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, right, and Army Chief Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir, left, upon their arrival at Nur Khan airbase in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, April 11. (Pakistan Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)
In this photo released by the Pakistani Foreign Ministry, Iranian Speaker of Parliament Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, center right, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, center left, are greeted by Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, right, and Army Chief Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir, left, upon their arrival at Nur Khan air base in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, April 11. (Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)

Mar 18, 2026

In Its Conflict With the United States and Israel, Does Escalation Favor Iran?

On March 18, AGSI hosted a discussion on the escalation of the Iran war.

Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13,. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)
Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)
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