"*" indicates required fields

Subscribe

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings
Analysis

U.S.-Iran Negotiations Approach Inflection Point

The May 23 edition of the Iran Media Review discusses Iranian media analysis of the disagreement between Iran and the United States over the future of Iran’s uranium enrichment program.

Ali Alfoneh

8 min read

Following four rounds of relatively uncontentious negotiations between the United States and Iran, both sides are now approaching a strategic inflection point concerning the future of Iran’s uranium enrichment program. Consistent with the latest public statements by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, Tehran is asserting its fixed stance on its sovereign nuclear rights, making further diplomatic progress contingent upon U.S. acknowledgment of Iran’s autonomy in this domain. 

  • May 22: Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-affiliated Javan featured a front-page headline quoting Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi:  
    • “We are contemplating whether to participate in the next round of talks or not.”  
    • Araghchi elaborated, rejecting U.S. demands as ideologically and strategically untenable: “We have addressed these irrational demands to halt uranium enrichment on Iranian soil in the past. The reiteration of an illogical, unrealistic stance will not confer legitimacy upon it. No matter how many times American officials restate their position, it does not alter the strategic calculus.”  
    • He continued: “Let me reiterate: Uranium enrichment will persist on Iranian soil – agreement or not. If the United States seeks enhanced verification mechanisms and greater transparency regarding our nuclear program, such provisions are negotiable within a framework of reciprocal sanction relief. This constitutes the core principle of our negotiation position.”  
  • May 22: Reformist Etemad featured an analysis by Hadis Roshani, “Bewildered America,” which examined the apparent inconsistency in U.S. diplomatic signaling: 
    • “Some analysts attribute the Trump administration’s vacillating posture to a domestic interagency struggle among competing interest groups. On one side stands the pro-Israel lobby and domestic hard-liners advocating for coercive diplomacy, including the threat of military force. On the other, the Arab lobby – keen to avoid escalation – warns that a military confrontation would severely destabilize regional security architecture.” 
  • May 22: In “Continuation of Dialogue in Question; Assertive Defense of Nuclear Rights,” hard-line Kayhan emphasized national unity in resisting external pressure:  
    • “In response to the escalatory rhetoric emanating from Washington, the executive, legislative, and broader Iranian polity have coalesced in defense of the nation’s right to indigenous nuclear development.” 
    • “U.S. officials’ explicit denial of Iran’s sovereign entitlement to uranium enrichment has steered the talks toward a preordained diplomatic impasse – not due to technical divergences but as a function of hegemonic overreach of America. The American position aims to disempower a state that has systematically resisted U.S. dominance for over four decades.” 
    • The anonymous Kayhan columnist added: “Over recent months, Kayhan has consistently argued that negotiating with the Trump administration is a futile exercise. The paper previously called for disengagement from dialogue in response to escalating U.S. sanctions, Trump’s rhetorical brinkmanship, Western media’s distortion of Iran’s national identity – such as the misnaming of the Persian Gulf – and inconsistent policy pronouncements by figures such as Steven Witkoff.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Iran: Emergence of Collective Leadership Amid Low-Intensity Conflict

Israel’s ongoing low-intensity warfare has marginalized Iran's supreme leader and empowered a collective leadership.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian attend an endorsement ceremony in Tehran, Iran, July 28, 2024. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA /Handout via REUTERS)

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)

The United States on the Verge of Another “Forever War”?

U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
View All

Events

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
View All