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Analysis

Reactions to Assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran

The August 2 edition of the Iran Media Review examines reactions by Iranian authorities to the killing of Hamas' political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Iranian authorities are openly signaling their intent to punish Israel for its alleged assassination of Hamas’ political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, but there is still no indication of the nature of Iran’s response.

  • July 31: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official website released his statement: “The criminal and terrorist Zionist regime martyred our dear guest in our own house … In doing so, it also prepared the ground for its own harsh punishment … We consider revenge our duty.”
  • July 31: The official website of President Masoud Pezeshkian released his statement: “The Zionist regime will soon see the result of its cowardly terrorist deed.”
  • July 31: Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps mouthpiece Mashregh News released the organization’s official statement vowing revenge: “This crime of the Zionist regime will doubtlessly be met with the hard and painful answer of the powerful and great resistance front, in particular Islamic Iran.”
  • July 31: Tabnak News, mouthpiece of former IRGC chief Mohsen Rezaei, interpreting Khamenei’s statement wrote: “The substance of Ayatollah Khamenei’s message resembles his message on the occasion of the Zionist regime’s attack against the Iranian Consulate in Damascus,” after which Iran launched a missile and drone attack against Israel.
  • July 31: Nour News, Supreme National Security Council mouthpiece, answered the questions: “Why Haniyeh, and why in Tehran?”:
    • “By assassinating the Hamas leader in the heart of Tehran, the Zionists are trying to force the Cabinet in Iran to engage in an erratic reaction … Tel Aviv naively thinks the assassination can serve as the symbol of Iran’s intelligence and security failure. However, Israel has itself been defeated by intelligent plans of the Islamic Republic of Iran.” Nour News further claimed the assassination marked the Israeli government’s opposition to peace in Gaza and presented it as a result of the Israeli prime minister’s meeting with President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington.
  • August 1: Major General Mohammad Bagheri, armed forces chief of staff, attending the funeral service of Haniyeh, said, as reported by IRGC mouthpiece Tasnim News: “How the axis of resistance will exact revenge is currently under investigation … Revenge will be exacted for certain. Different things must take place, and the Zionists will certainly be regretful.”

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Political Life and Legacy of Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in his office in Tehran at age 86, leaving behind a country in ruins and on the verge of civil war and potential disintegration.

Ali Alfoneh

15 min read

In this photo released by an official website of the office of the Iranian supreme leader, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks in a meeting in Tehran, Iran, February 17. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP)

Iranian Regime Fighting for Survival

Iran is signaling that it will not absorb attacks passively. But whether this strategy ensures the regime’s survival, seals its fate, or accelerates a broader catastrophe will shape the region for years to come.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises on the skyline after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, February 28. (AP Photo)

Iran’s 2025-26 Protests in Perspective

The erosion of the regime’s legitimacy across broad segments of society, combined with the breadth of the 2025-26 protest coalition, raises the possibility that a new confrontation could trigger renewed anti-regime mobilization.

Ali Alfoneh

9 min read

In this photo obtained by The Associated Press, Iranians attend an anti-government protest in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 8. (UGC via AP)

Protests in Iran: Regime Deal With Trump or Degrade Toward Collapse?

Though the Iranian regime is facing increasing pressure from protesters and armed insurgent groups, it is not yet doomed – but without a deal with the United States, the regime is likely headed for a slow collapse.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Protesters march on a bridge in Tehran, Iran, Dec. 29, 2025. (Fars News Agency via AP, File)
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Events

Mar 2, 2026

After the Shock: Implications of the U.S.–Israeli Strikes and Iran’s Leadership Transition

On March 2, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.

Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Jan 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
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