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Analysis

Fararu News’ Catalogue of What Went Wrong in Iran

The October 7 edition of the Iran Media Review considers the painful measures the Iranian regime must take to regain public trust.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

As countrywide protests over the suspicious death of Mahsa Amini in police custody approach three weeks, Fararu News raised the question: “Why did protests take form and turn violent, and what is the path out of the crisis?” Interviewed by Fararu, Ali Shakouri-Rad, a physician and reformist politician, not only recognized the symptoms but also diagnosed the root causes of the protests. The Islamic Republic, however, needs to muster the courage to swallow his bitter prescription. President Ebrahim Raisi’s vague mention of reconsidering policies is not nearly enough to persuade protesters to leave the streets. 

  • October 4: In his interview with Fararu, Shakouri-Rad emphasized five factors that made the death of Amini a transformative event: She was young, Kurdish, Sunni, female, and from the provinces. Answering why the protests turned violent, Shakouri-Rad emphasized the significance of the “lack of legal avenues for expressing legitimate protests.” He also said, “existing cleavages and divides in society and even among parts of the ruling elites have become wider as a result of recent protests, which in turn significantly reduces the efficacy of the political system and decision making.” Turning to solutions, Shakouri-Rad urged the government to “unilaterally take action to increase public trust.” 
  • October 4: According to Khabar Online, addressing the Expediency Council Raisi said: “Monitoring implementation of policies is of outmost importance. The leader of the revolution emphasizes that monitoring must take place, and if needed, policies must be reconsidered so that the policies are implemented at all levels in the country.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

The United States on the Verge of Another “Forever War”?

U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

A Path to a Stronger United States in the Gulf

AGSI offers pragmatic, targeted policy recommendations for the Trump administration to maximize U.S. political and economic influence with the crucial emerging regional powers in the Gulf.

20 min read

President Donald J. Trump, fifth left, attends a group photo session with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, fourth right, UAE Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, second right, Bahraini Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, left, Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, third left, Kuwaiti Emir Meshal al-Ahmed al-Jaber al-Sabah, second left, GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi, right, during the GCC Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Supreme Oscillation: Khamenei’s Trump Strategy

Iran’s supreme leader is facing a strategic dilemma in how to pursue diplomacy with the United States and project strength amid internal fracturing and ambiguity.

Ali Alfoneh

23 min read

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Events

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)

Jan 9, 2024

2024 Outlook

On January 9, AGSIW hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they looked ahead and assessed trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year.

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