"*" indicates required fields

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Subscribe

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings
Analysis

Has Iran Left Its Afghan Allies to Their Own Devices?

The August 5 edition of the Iran Media Review assesses Iran’s silence regarding the targeting of Afghanistan’s Shia population.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

There was a time when the Islamic Republic prided itself on its proxies, which helped the regime offset limitations in its traditional military capabilities and ensured plausible deniability when interfering in internal affairs of other states. Shia Afghans were among those allies, who were deployed, fought, and suffered significant casualties in the civil war in Syria. More recently, Iran appears to have left its Afghan allies to their own devices hoping to achieve better relations with the Taliban regime.  

  • June 8: The clearest example of Afghans complaining of being abandoned by Iran was expressed by Hamed Karimi, former Afghan Interior Ministry advisor, in a piece released by Diplomasi-ye Irani (Iranian Diplomacy), which is close to the Iranian Foreign Ministry. “The Islamic Republic of Iran, which is the claimant of leadership of the Shia world, has managed to use its position to exert influence in Syria, Yemen, Lebanon, Bahrain, and Iraq,” Karimi wrote. He continued, Iran “is now facing a serious challenge: Afghan Shia, who compose the ‘Fatemiyoun Division’ and played a considerable role in securing Iran’s military objectives, particularly in Syria, have become targets in Afghanistan and are being systematically killed.” Karimi admitted Iran’s direct intervention in “the Afghan quagmire” will further complicate matters for Tehran but warned “Iran’s silence harms its leadership position in the Shia world.” 
  • July 31: Tasnim News, which is close to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, reported clashes between Iran’s border patrol and Taliban forces on the Hirmand border. Quoting Taliban sources, Tasnim reported one Taliban fighter was killed in the clashes and that the Taliban “tried to raise the Taliban banner in an area that was not Afghanistan’s soil,” which led to intensified fire exchanges between the two parties. 

The most recent clash between Iran and the Taliban was perhaps caused by local circumstances, and the two parties may well learn the art of peaceful coexistence in the future, but for the time being, the Islamic Republic appears to have forsaken its old allies, without gaining new friends. 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

How Did the IRGC Seize Power in Iran?

The IRGC did not seize power in a single stroke. It accumulated it – patiently, methodically – until no counterweight remained.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad-Bagher Qalibaf looks on as members of Parliament chant in support of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Tehran, Iran, February 1. (Hamed Malekpour/Islamic consultative assembly news agency/WANA/Handout via REUTERS)

Under Mojtaba, the IRGC Will Reign Supreme

Iran may still call itself an Islamic Republic. In practice, however, it increasingly resembles a state in which the military governs from behind clerical robes.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds Day rally in Tehran, Iran, May 31, 2019. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Political Life and Legacy of Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in his office in Tehran at age 86, leaving behind a country in ruins and on the verge of civil war and potential disintegration.

Ali Alfoneh

15 min read

In this photo released by an official website of the office of the Iranian supreme leader, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks in a meeting in Tehran, Iran, February 17. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP)

Iranian Regime Fighting for Survival

Iran is signaling that it will not absorb attacks passively. But whether this strategy ensures the regime’s survival, seals its fate, or accelerates a broader catastrophe will shape the region for years to come.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises on the skyline after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, February 28. (AP Photo)
View All

Events

Jun 16, 2026

3:00pm - 4:30pm

Book Talk: Iran and the Bomb: The United States, Iran and the Nuclear Question

On June 16, AGSI will host a discussion on the evolution of Iran's nuclear program.

Register
A view of Iran's nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz, Iran, on April, 9, 2007. (AP Photo/Hasan Sarbakhshian, File)
A view of Iran's nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz, Iran, on April, 9, 2007. (AP Photo/Hasan Sarbakhshian, File)

Apr 21, 2026

Inside Iran’s Wartime Leadership: Power, Succession, and Regime Stability

On April 21, AGSI hosted a discussion on the evolution of Iran's leadership during the war.

In this photo released by the Pakistan Foreign Ministry, Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, center right, and Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, center left, are greeted by Pakistan Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, right, and Army Chief Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir, left, upon their arrival at Nur Khan airbase in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, April 11. (Pakistan Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)
In this photo released by the Pakistani Foreign Ministry, Iranian Speaker of Parliament Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, center right, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, center left, are greeted by Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, right, and Army Chief Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir, left, upon their arrival at Nur Khan air base in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, April 11. (Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)

Mar 18, 2026

In Its Conflict With the United States and Israel, Does Escalation Favor Iran?

On March 18, AGSI hosted a discussion on the escalation of the Iran war.

Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13,. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)
Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)

Mar 2, 2026

After the Shock: Implications of the U.S.–Israeli Strikes and Iran’s Leadership Transition

On March 2, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.

Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
View All