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Analysis

Khamenei Greenlights Iran-U.S. Talks, Will Trump?  

The January 31 edition of the Iran Media Review considers commentary regarding the lack of messaging from Washington on negotiations.

Ali Alfoneh

9 min read

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has officially sanctioned direct diplomatic engagement between Iran and the United States, framing his authorization within his characteristic anti-imperialist rhetoric. However, Iranian officials and commentary in domestic media suggest Washington has been unresponsive. 

  • January 28: Addressing foreign ambassadors to Tehran on his official website, Khamenei implicitly endorsed diplomatic engagement with the United States: 
    • “Their diplomatic smirks cover their enmity and hatred, their evil nature. We must open our eyes and be vigilant with whom we are dealing and with whom we are talking. When you know your counterpart, you can indeed make deals, but you should know what you are doing.” He continued that Iran should recognize it for what it is and “be aware.”  
  • January 29: In response to a question from a journalist at the reformist Entekhab News Agency, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said:  
    • “No, we have not received any message” from Washington. 
  • January 29: Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi reinforced the president’s assertion in a short interview with the same Entekhab reporter saying:  
    •  “Trump has not sent any specific message concerning negotiations. This is just merely speculation. We are engaged in talks with European countries.” 
  • January 29: Deputy Parliamentary Speaker Hamid-Reza Haji-Babaei in an interview by Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting reported by centrist Fararu News Agency, echoed a position of conditional engagement:  
    • “We harbor no enmity against the United States. We are in favor of just negotiations.”  
  • January 30: Former Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, speaking at a conference hosted by the Institute for Iran-Eurasia Studies in Tehran, offered a pragmatic reassessment of Iran’s strategic posture, as quoted by the reformist Kargozaran Party’s Sazandegi newspaper:  
    • “I agree with our friends here that Iran’s foreign policy starts with the region, but we must get rid of an irritant to Iran’s foreign policy.” He continued that, hostility toward “the United States is not an opportunity for Iran’s foreign policy. It has shackled the feet of Iran’s foreign policy. As I explained in my latest book, we should not define our relations with Africa and Europe in the framework of a fight with the United States. In such a fight, nobody will take our side. We are not in need of having cordial relations with the United States, but we must see to it that when others have relations with us, they will not be entangled in a fight with the United States. If they do, they will not choose to have relations with us, something we witness now.” 
  • January 30: Reformist Shargh newspaper analyzed Tehran’s growing diplomatic “frustrations” over the “unresponsive West,” despite overtures from the Iranian leadership:  
    • The deputy foreign minister for political affairs, “Majid Takht-Ravanchi declared Iran’s readiness to discuss the nuclear issue with the West … Before that, Mohammad Javad Zarif signaled Iran’s willingness while attending Davos” for the World Economic Forum. He continued, “Even before this, President Pezeshkian did something similar … and Foreign Minister Araghchi … and Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref have indicated ‘There is no other salvation for the country but through negotiations’ … The West, however, is not responding to signals from Tehran, which increases the political cost for proponents of engagement in Iran.”  
    • Rasoul Nahavandi, an academic quoted by Shargh, said: “The new administration’s foreign policy, military, and security Cabinet has not been fully formed, and the second Trump administration is busy with bigger issues … However, unresponsiveness of the new U.S. administration may be intentional.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Debating Policy in Public: Iranian Elites Turn to YouTube

Rival camps within the Islamic Republic are increasingly turning to YouTube for policy debate, but there is a limit to the regime’s tolerance for that debate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

IRGC analyst Mehdi Kharatian speaks on TamamRokh’s YouTube channel, April 29. (Credit: Tamam Rokh)

The Committee of Six and Strategic Decision Making in Iran

Remarks by Iran’s president offer a rare glimpse of how the Islamic Republic has adapted its decision making to the absence of its supreme leader.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

Iranian Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad-Bagher Qalibaf, left, President Masoud Pezeshkian, center, and Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni Ejei sit around a table during a meeting at the presidential office in Tehran, Iran, October 4. (© Iranian Presidency via ZUMA Press)

Mohsen Rezaei at the Helm of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council

Under Rezaei, the SNSC could prove constructive or paralyze strategic decision making.

Ali Alfoneh

8 min read

Then-advisor to Iran's supreme leader, Mohsen Rezaei attends a farewell ceremony for late-Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei at the Imam Khomeini Grand Mosalla in Tehran, Iran, July 3. (REUTERS/Mohammed Salem)

The Islamic Republic Returns to Offense

After U.S.-Israeli strikes killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, Iran’s collective leadership has concluded that the best defense is a good offense.

Ali Alfoneh

12 min read

Iranian Zolfaghar missiles are displayed by the armed forces in a temporary exhibition in front of the Azadi monument in Tehran, Iran, July 29. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
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Events

Oct 6, 2026

Is the U.S.-Iran Stalemate a “New Normal” or the Prelude to Another Explosion?

On October 6, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iran stalemate and the prospects for a cease-fire.

President Donald J. Trump speaks to the United Nations General Assembly, Sept. 22, 2026, at the UN headquarters. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)
President Donald J. Trump speaks to the United Nations General Assembly, Sept. 22, at the U.N. headquarters. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)

Jun 16, 2026

Book Talk: Iran and the Bomb: The United States, Iran and the Nuclear Question

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the evolution of Iran's nuclear program.

A view of Iran's nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz, Iran, on April, 9, 2007. (AP Photo/Hasan Sarbakhshian, File)
A view of Iran's nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz, Iran, on April, 9, 2007. (AP Photo/Hasan Sarbakhshian, File)

Apr 21, 2026

Inside Iran’s Wartime Leadership: Power, Succession, and Regime Stability

On April 21, AGSI hosted a discussion on the evolution of Iran's leadership during the war.

In this photo released by the Pakistan Foreign Ministry, Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, center right, and Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, center left, are greeted by Pakistan Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, right, and Army Chief Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir, left, upon their arrival at Nur Khan airbase in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, April 11. (Pakistan Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)
In this photo released by the Pakistani Foreign Ministry, Iranian Speaker of Parliament Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, center right, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, center left, are greeted by Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, right, and Army Chief Field Marshal Gen. Asim Munir, left, upon their arrival at Nur Khan air base in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, April 11. (Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)

Mar 18, 2026

In Its Conflict With the United States and Israel, Does Escalation Favor Iran?

On March 18, AGSI hosted a discussion on the escalation of the Iran war.

Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13,. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)
Firefighters try to extinguish flames at the site of a direct hit by an Iranian missile strike in Holon, central Israel, March 13. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)
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