"*" indicates required fields

Subscribe

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings
Analysis

Supreme National Security Council Interprets Khamenei’s Signals on Negotiations With the U.S.

The September 3 edition of the Iran Media Review explores comments from Iran’s supreme leader suggesting that he is open to negotiations with the United States over Iran’s nuclear program however warning not to pin hopes on or trust “the enemy.”

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei lost face when the administration of President Donald J. Trump unilaterally renounced the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action nuclear deal in 2018. It is therefore not surprising that he warns President Masoud Pezeshkian and his Cabinet against pinning their hopes on, or trusting, “the enemy.” Interpreting Khamenei’s abstract statements, the Supreme National Security Council points out that the Iranian leadership approves of reviving negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program with the United States as long as Iran’s regional behavior and defense capabilities are not on the table. 

  • August 27: Receiving Pezeshkian and his Cabinet ministers, Khamenei spoke about negotiations with the United States. Khamenei’s official website quoted him as saying:  
    • “Do not pin your hopes on the enemy. As he” referencing Pezeshkian, “pointed out and it appears the venerable foreign minister has also said this, we should not pin our hopes on the enemy. In order to achieve our goals, we should not wait for approval from those who are …” He trailed off and continued, “There is, however, no discrepancy. You can at some points reach deals with the same enemy. There is no obstacle to this. But don’t pin your hopes on and don’t trust the enemy.” 
  • August 31: Translating Khamenei’s abstract statements on nuclear negotiations into policy guidelines for the Cabinet, Nour News, unofficial mouthpiece of the Supreme National Security Council, reported in a video: 
    • “One among 13 recommendations of the leader of the revolution to the Cabinet has sparked speculation about reviving negotiations with the West,” the unnamed Nour News speaker said, followed by video from Khamenei’s August 27 address to the Cabinet: “Do not pin your hopes on the enemies … In order to achieve our goals, we should not wait for approval from our enemies. There is, however, no discrepancy between doing this and at some points reaching deals with the same enemy.” After the video segment, the Nour News speaker continued: “What sparked off speculation was the leader’s use of the expression ‘issue-based deals with the enemy.’ This is not the first time that the leader of the revolution speaks of negotiating with the enemy. Three years ago, during the first months of martyr Raisi, the leader said: ‘Talking with, negotiating with, or reaching a deal with the enemy at some point does not mean surrender. We have never surrendered to the enemy, and we shall not do so in the future.’ The day after these statements, Iranian and foreign experts engaged in indirect negotiations in Vienna.”
    • The speaker continued: “The question now is this: Does ‘issue-based deals with the enemy’ mean a change in hitherto policies? Reviewing the statements of the leader of the revolution reminds us of the following: First, we should not tie government projects to negotiations with the foreigners. Past experiences, when Iran’s economy was tied to the fate of the negotiations, were harmful. We should develop our economy independent of the negotiations and by relying on our national resources. Second, we should avoid falling into the trap of attrition by negotiation. Negotiation for the sake of negotiation has no benefit for Iran. Negotiation must end in sanction relief. It must guarantee our economic benefits. Third, negotiating sanction relief should not involve irrelevant issues, such as regional policies, Iran’s defense capabilities, and the like. Past experiences demonstrate that the Westerners are trying to make the sanctions relief negotiations hostage to peripheral issues. With regard to negotiations for sanction relief, Iran’s position is clear, and as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has said, negotiating with the West is not our priority. The ball has been in the court of the Westerners for months, and it remains to be seen in which direction it will move.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)

The United States on the Verge of Another “Forever War”?

U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

A Path to a Stronger United States in the Gulf

AGSI offers pragmatic, targeted policy recommendations for the Trump administration to maximize U.S. political and economic influence with the crucial emerging regional powers in the Gulf.

20 min read

President Donald J. Trump, fifth left, attends a group photo session with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, fourth right, UAE Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, second right, Bahraini Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, left, Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, third left, Kuwaiti Emir Meshal al-Ahmed al-Jaber al-Sabah, second left, GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi, right, during the GCC Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
View All

Events

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
View All