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Analysis

Khamenei Greenlights Iran-U.S. Talks, Will Trump?  

The January 31 edition of the Iran Media Review considers commentary regarding the lack of messaging from Washington on negotiations.

Ali Alfoneh

9 min read

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has officially sanctioned direct diplomatic engagement between Iran and the United States, framing his authorization within his characteristic anti-imperialist rhetoric. However, Iranian officials and commentary in domestic media suggest Washington has been unresponsive. 

  • January 28: Addressing foreign ambassadors to Tehran on his official website, Khamenei implicitly endorsed diplomatic engagement with the United States: 
    • “Their diplomatic smirks cover their enmity and hatred, their evil nature. We must open our eyes and be vigilant with whom we are dealing and with whom we are talking. When you know your counterpart, you can indeed make deals, but you should know what you are doing.” He continued that Iran should recognize it for what it is and “be aware.”  
  • January 29: In response to a question from a journalist at the reformist Entekhab News Agency, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said:  
    • “No, we have not received any message” from Washington. 
  • January 29: Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi reinforced the president’s assertion in a short interview with the same Entekhab reporter saying:  
    •  “Trump has not sent any specific message concerning negotiations. This is just merely speculation. We are engaged in talks with European countries.” 
  • January 29: Deputy Parliamentary Speaker Hamid-Reza Haji-Babaei in an interview by Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting reported by centrist Fararu News Agency, echoed a position of conditional engagement:  
    • “We harbor no enmity against the United States. We are in favor of just negotiations.”  
  • January 30: Former Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, speaking at a conference hosted by the Institute for Iran-Eurasia Studies in Tehran, offered a pragmatic reassessment of Iran’s strategic posture, as quoted by the reformist Kargozaran Party’s Sazandegi newspaper:  
    • I agree with our friends here that Iran’s foreign policy starts with the region, but we must get rid of an irritant to Iran’s foreign policy.” He continued that, hostility toward “the United States is not an opportunity for Iran’s foreign policy. It has shackled the feet of Iran’s foreign policy. As I explained in my latest book, we should not define our relations with Africa and Europe in the framework of a fight with the United States. In such a fight, nobody will take our side. We are not in need of having cordial relations with the United States, but we must see to it that when others have relations with us, they will not be entangled in a fight with the United States. If they do, they will not choose to have relations with us, something we witness now. 
  • January 30: Reformist Shargh newspaper analyzed Tehran’s growing diplomatic “frustrations” over the “unresponsive West,” despite overtures from the Iranian leadership:  
    • The deputy foreign minister for political affairs, “Majid Takht-Ravanchi declared Iran’s readiness to discuss the nuclear issue with the West … Before that, Mohammad Javad Zarif signaled Iran’s willingness while attending Davos” for the World Economic Forum. He continued, “Even before this, President Pezeshkian did something similar … and Foreign Minister Araghchi … and Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref have indicated ‘There is no other salvation for the country but through negotiations’ … The West, however, is not responding to signals from Tehran, which increases the political cost for proponents of engagement in Iran.”  
    • Rasoul Nahavandi, an academic quoted by Shargh, said: “The new administration’s foreign policy, military, and security Cabinet has not been fully formed, and the second Trump administration is busy with bigger issues … However, unresponsiveness of the new U.S. administration may be intentional.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)

The United States on the Verge of Another “Forever War”?

U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

A Path to a Stronger United States in the Gulf

AGSI offers pragmatic, targeted policy recommendations for the Trump administration to maximize U.S. political and economic influence with the crucial emerging regional powers in the Gulf.

20 min read

President Donald J. Trump, fifth left, attends a group photo session with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, fourth right, UAE Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, second right, Bahraini Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, left, Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, third left, Kuwaiti Emir Meshal al-Ahmed al-Jaber al-Sabah, second left, GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi, right, during the GCC Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
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Events

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
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