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Analysis

Iranian-Saudi Rapprochement: Provocateur Hung Out to Dry

The May 30 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian officials’ willingness to sacrifice an anti-Saudi hard-liner to preserve Iran’s relationship with the kingdom.

Ali Alfoneh

11 min read

On May 29, Gholam-Reza Qassemian – an influential religious cantor and host of Islamic programming on Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting – returned to Iran following his arrest and brief detention in Saudi Arabia. While on pilgrimage, Qassemian posted videos on social media, since deleted, in which he accused the Saudi ruling family of “usurping and commodifying” the custodianship of the Kaaba. He provocatively declared: “If you seek gambling, brothels, and lewd concerts, there is no need to go to Antalya – just come to Mecca or Medina, where the clock has turned back to the era of the Umayyads,” a period viewed by Shias as one of illegitimate Sunni rule following the Prophet Muhammad’s death. Qassemian is rumored to have played a behind-the-scenes role in inciting the January 2016 attack on the Saudi Embassy in Tehran, which precipitated the rupture of diplomatic relations between the two regional powers. While he faced no legal consequences for that incident, his vilification by Iranian authorities is a notable change. Tehran appears increasingly willing to sacrifice domestic hard-line voices to preserve its strategic rapprochement with Riyadh, formalized in the March 2023 China-brokered agreement. 

  • May 27: In an Arabic post on X, Ali-Reza Enayati, ambassador to Riyadh, praised Saudi authorities for hosting the pilgrims and emphasized:  
    • “Nobody tolerates insulting words or deeds.” 
  • May 27: Ali-Reza Bayat, head of the Iran Hajj and Pilgrimage Organization, addressed Iranian pilgrims, as quoted by Donya-ye Eqtesad: 
    • “Refrain from engaging in polarizing activities. We consistently urge the pilgrims to respect Saudi laws.” 
  • May 27: Judiciary spokesman Asghar Jahangir was quoted by Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps mouthpiece Mashregh News: 
    • “The Judiciary does not approve of the statements made by this individual. Naturally, his positions reflect his personal viewpoints … but we will defend the rights of all Iranian nationals … We hope that, in cooperation with Saudi authorities, this problem is solved so we see the release of Mr. Qassemian.” 
  • May 27: Centrist Asr-e Iran published an editorial on the Qassemian affair: 
    • “If someone visits Iran and makes a video in front of the Imam Reza Shrine claiming Iran’s leaders are usurpers capitalizing on the shrine, accuses Iranian officials of running brothels, and disseminates the video online … would our authorities not treat him the way the Saudi security officials treated Qassemian? A guest must abide by the rules of the house he is visiting, instead of insulting the host, accusing him of usurpation, capitalizing on the Kaaba, or harboring atheist thoughts … Even if this man escapes from Saudi courts, he must be prosecuted in Iran, so he and others understand that such deeds – be they arsonist attacks against embassies or starting a fire with words – have consequences … By the way, where are these centers, and why is Qassemian the only person aware of their addresses?!” 
  • May 28: Gholam-Reza Qassemian posted a photo on X showing him onboard a plane en route to Iran via Dubai, United Arab Emirates. 
  • May 28: Hojjat al-Islam Ali Saeedi, director of the Political-Ideological Indoctrination Directorate of the Office of the Supreme Leader, issued a written statement published by Iranian media, including centrist Borna: 
    • “When people, disregarding the political, social, and security implications, make statements, it is either a sign of their megalomania, narcissism, boasting, delusions, or riding the wave of populism with political motivations … In doing so, they create trouble for the authorities and the people.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Iran: Emergence of Collective Leadership Amid Low-Intensity Conflict

Israel’s ongoing low-intensity warfare has marginalized Iran's supreme leader and empowered a collective leadership.

Ali Alfoneh

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The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

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Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)

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U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

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Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

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AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

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Events

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
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