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Giorgio Cafiero

Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics and an adjunct assistant professor at Georgetown University.

Analysis

CLEAR ALL

Iran’s Messaging After Israel’s Qatar Strike

Iran has moved quickly to try to capitalize on cracks in U.S.-Gulf relations after Israel’s unprecedented attack on Hamas officials in Qatar.

Giorgio Cafiero

10 min read

Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani meets with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in Doha, Qatar, September 4. (Amiri Diwan/Handout via REUTERS THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY)

Geopolitical Pressures Dismantled Europe’s Iran Engagement

With the E3 triggering the JCPOA’s snapback mechanism and aligning more closely with Washington’s hard-line stance, Europe’s role as an independent diplomatic actor in Tehran is effectively over.

Giorgio Cafiero

10 min read

The United Kingdom's ambassador to the United Nations, Barbara Woodward, accompanied by other E3 members German Ambassador Ricklef Beutin and Deputy French Ambassador Jay Dharmadhikari, speaks to members of the media about Iran and nuclear weapons outside the U.N. Security Council chamber at the U.N. headquarters in New York City, August 29. (REUTERS/Angelina Katsanis)

Missiles and Markets: Iran and China’s Strategic Convergence

In the wake of the Iran-Israel conflict, Iran is pivoting closer to China, deepening defense and economic cooperation as part of a long-term effort to reduce Western dependence and increase resilience.

Giorgio Cafiero

8 min read

Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun, center, with other heads of defense, including Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov, right, and Iranian Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh, left, ahead of the Defense Ministers' Meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Members States in Qingdao, China's Shandong province, June 26. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)

The Enduring Saudi-Iranian Detente

The conflict between Israel and Iran demonstrated the endurance of the Saudi-Iranian detente but also revealed its key vulnerabilities.

Giorgio Cafiero

8 min read

Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan meets Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, July 8. (Saudi Press Agency/Handout via REUTERS)

The UAE’s Space Initiative Looks to Mars

A year after sending an astronaut into space, the UAE is poised to be the region’s first country to explore Mars.

6 min read

Emirati astronaut Sultan al-Neyadi, right, and astronaut Hazza Al Mansouri, second from right, brief journalists in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Monday, Feb. 25, 2019. (AP Photo/Jon Gambrell)