Security

The United States, the Gulf Arab states, and Israel face escalated threats, both rhetorical and real.

Iran and its allies appear to be engaged in symbolic actions against Israeli and U.S. forces rather than openly provoking a war, but these theatrics still risk igniting a regional war all involved parties want to avoid.

Israel’s devastating war in Gaza may change the political dynamics not only in the Middle East but in the United States, too.

If the Houthis are attacking Israel, their local rivals will be less inclined to attack them.

On November 7, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Gulf responses to the Israel-Hamas conflict.

In offering support for Hamas and the Palestinian cause, Tehran is likely to avoid direct regime – or irretrievable Hezbollah – entanglement to shield its core strategic interests.

While there are ways Hezbollah could become involved in the Israel-Hamas conflict, neither Hezbollah nor Iran appears interested in a wider regional war.

On October 26, AGSIW hosted a discussion on the prospects for the end of the conflict in Yemen.