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Analysis

Iranian Nationalism or Shia Internationalism?

The September 6 edition of the Iran Media Review explores commentary regarding the imposition of harsh policies to cut down on foreign nationals in Iran.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Iran is increasingly torn between its pan-Shia ideology, which depicts Iran as the homeland of the Shia of the world, and Iranian nationalism. For the time being, the pendulum appears to be swinging toward increased nationalism and harsher measures against foreign nationals in Iran.

  • September 1: Centrist Ettelaat reported on Iran’s housing shortage due to the influx of Iraqi and Afghan nationals.
  • September 3: The Iranian Parliament passed five amendments to Article 16 of the Law on Foreign Nationals in Iran, centrist Iranian Students’ News Agency reported. The law requires the Cabinet to:
    • “Begin deporting illegal foreign nationals from Iran a month after the passing of the amendments … The number of foreign nationals, their wives, and children, who legally reside in Iran, must not exceed 3% of the total population of the village, city, or province of their residence … permits issued to foreign nationals to reside in Iran must be reduced by 10% per year … Three months after the passing of the amendments, the Cabinet is required to assess access of foreign nationals to indirect subsidies, for fuel, education, general services, and the like … All government agencies are required to calculate the cost of providing services to foreign nationals … Realtors are required to ascertain if foreign nationals engaging in real estate deals are legal aliens … Any individuals who employ illegal aliens … will be fined.”
  • September 5: Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps mouthpiece Fars News Agency reported that Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni, while visiting Shiraz, promised:
    • “Foreign nationals will be attended to very soon. The people should trust that this scheme will be fully executed and will take into consideration regional and neighborly factors … The first step of this scheme is to deport illegal foreign nationals.”
  • September 5: In an interview with Tasnim News Agency, mouthpiece of former IRGC Chief Commander Mohsen Rezaei, security analyst Mohammad-Reza Tourani said:
    •  “Now that stability has returned to Afghanistan, Afghan nationals should return to their country … their continued presence in Iran constitutes security risks.”

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Under Mojtaba, the IRGC Will Reign Supreme

Iran may still call itself an Islamic Republic. In practice, however, it increasingly resembles a state in which the military governs from behind clerical robes.

Ali Alfoneh

6 min read

Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds Day rally in Tehran, Iran, May 31, 2019. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Political Life and Legacy of Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in his office in Tehran at age 86, leaving behind a country in ruins and on the verge of civil war and potential disintegration.

Ali Alfoneh

15 min read

In this photo released by an official website of the office of the Iranian supreme leader, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks in a meeting in Tehran, Iran, February 17. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP)

Iranian Regime Fighting for Survival

Iran is signaling that it will not absorb attacks passively. But whether this strategy ensures the regime’s survival, seals its fate, or accelerates a broader catastrophe will shape the region for years to come.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises on the skyline after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, February 28. (AP Photo)

Iran’s 2025-26 Protests in Perspective

The erosion of the regime’s legitimacy across broad segments of society, combined with the breadth of the 2025-26 protest coalition, raises the possibility that a new confrontation could trigger renewed anti-regime mobilization.

Ali Alfoneh

9 min read

In this photo obtained by The Associated Press, Iranians attend an anti-government protest in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 8. (UGC via AP)
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Events

Mar 2, 2026

After the Shock: Implications of the U.S.–Israeli Strikes and Iran’s Leadership Transition

On March 2, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.

Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the U.S. launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Smoke rises following an explosion, after Israel and the United States launched strikes on Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 1. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Jan 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
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