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Analysis

IRGC Syria Veteran Criticizes Assad and Putin

The January 10 edition of the Iran Media Review explores statements made by an IRGC commander criticizing the Assad regime and Russia’s role in Syria.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

On January 7, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Commander Behrouz Esbati, the public affairs director of the Joint Force Cyber Command and a veteran of Iran’s military operations in Syria, delivered a speech in Tehran in which he criticized former President Bashar al-Assad and what he described as Russia’s role in the collapse of the regime in Damascus. IRGC commanders have consistently criticized the Assad regime since the outbreak of public protests in Syria in 2011, and there are also many examples of public IRGC criticism of Russia. This raises two questions: Why did Iran support Assad to the very end, and why isn’t Iran reevaluating its perception of Russia as a strategic ally when IRGC commanders believe Russia behaves like an adversary and not an ally? 

  • January 7: In a recording of his speech released by Tabnak News Agency, which is affiliated with former IRGC Chief Commander Mohsen Rezaei, Esbati said:  
    • “Frequently, I am asked: ‘Was Bashar a traitor? Did he deliberately orchestrate these outcomes?’ My answer is no. Mr. Bashar was ideologically committed to the axis of resistance, but his conceptualization of its scope differed markedly from ours. His vision of Syria’s role in the axis of resistance was notably limited … He would say: ‘In the axis of the resistance, my role is confined to serving as a logistical platform for your efforts. You may use Syrian airspace to transport arms and munitions, but I will not engage Israel militarily.’ This constrained interpretation of the axis of resistance reflected a fundamental divergence in strategic objectives.” 
    • “One of our great commanders who secretly visited Damascus to meet Bashar,” most likely a reference to the Quds Force chief, Brigadier General Ismail Qaani, “told me: ‘This guy is bewitched!’ I told him: ‘The boys from Popular Mobilization Forces are ready. They were mobilized and ready for deployment in the front. But as soon as they try to enter the scene, Israeli and American planes will massacre them. We need air cover. Only Russians can provide it. I talked with Bashar for more than half an hour, but in the end, Bashar declined to talk with the Russians and said: ‘No, you call the Russians yourself!’” 
    • “The Russian Federation played a significant role in the systemic collapse of Syria. Following the ‘Deluge of al-Aqsa’ operation,” a reference to Hamas’ October 7, 2023 attack against Israel, “their actions were closely aligned with the Zionist regime’s strategic objectives. For instance, during the Israeli strike on our intelligence headquarters, where Martyr Sadeq,” a reference to Haj Sadeq, also known as Yousef Omidzadeh and Hojjat-Allah Omidvar, the Quds Force intelligence chief in Syria who was killed January 20, 2024, “was targeted, the Russians deliberately deactivated their radar systems, granting Israel unimpeded operational freedom.” 
    • “When we proposed a comprehensive defense strategy to Mr. Bashar, our approach emphasized ground operations to dismantle the opposition forces’ logistical and operational networks. Conversely, the Russians advocated for a primarily aerial campaign, promising decisive preemptive strikes that would neutralize enemy capabilities – particularly in Idlib. Despite our objections, Mr. Bashar opted for the Russian strategy. Over 20 days, three high-intensity air campaigns were executed. However, their strikes primarily targeted uninhabited deserts and civilian residential areas, sparing the operational infrastructure of Tahrir al-Sham. Russian reports falsely claimed significant damage to Tahrir al-Sham’s capabilities. Our intelligence units contradicted these claims, confirming that Tahrir al-Sham remained operationally intact. Yet our warnings were dismissed. Ultimately, the Russian intervention, marked by strategic miscalculations and actions aligned with interests of the Zionist regime, played a decisive role in the systemic collapse of Syria.” 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)

The United States on the Verge of Another “Forever War”?

U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

A Path to a Stronger United States in the Gulf

AGSI offers pragmatic, targeted policy recommendations for the Trump administration to maximize U.S. political and economic influence with the crucial emerging regional powers in the Gulf.

20 min read

President Donald J. Trump, fifth left, attends a group photo session with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, fourth right, UAE Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, second right, Bahraini Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, left, Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, third left, Kuwaiti Emir Meshal al-Ahmed al-Jaber al-Sabah, second left, GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi, right, during the GCC Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
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Events

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
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