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Analysis

Ambition, Investment, Collaboration: Trump’s Visit Redefines U.S.-UAE Tech

Trump’s visit to the UAE, centered on artificial intelligence, investment, and defense, will not only highlight the scale of Emirati aspirations but also reveal the complex interplay of state, business, and family networks now shaping the U.S.-UAE relationship.

Ambition, Investment, Collaboration: Trump’s Visit Redefines U.S.-UAE Tech
John Calabrese

10 min read

President Donald J. Trump waves as he boards Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, MD, April 29. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
President Donald J. Trump waves as he boards Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, MD, April 29. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

The rapidly evolving partnership between the United States and the United Arab Emirates is poised for a historic turning point. As President Donald J. Trump prepares for his mid-May visit to Abu Dhabi, the UAE’s ambitions to become a global technology powerhouse are converging with U.S. strategic, economic, and personal interests in unprecedented ways. This visit, centered on artificial intelligence, investment, and defense, will not only highlight the scale of Emirati aspirations but also reveal the complex interplay of state, business, and family networks now shaping the U.S.-UAE relationship.

A New Era of Tech Partnership – and Family Business

At the heart of the visit are anticipated announcements of new investment commitments and high-tech collaborations between Emirati state-backed firms and leading U.S. technology companies.

One recent headline development is the planned use of a stablecoin, USD1, developed by World Liberty Financial – a Trump family crypto firm – to facilitate a transaction between the UAE’s MGX investment fund and Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange. Zach Witkoff, a founder of World Liberty Financial and son of Trump’s Middle East envoy, Steven Witkoff, revealed the arrangement, which for the first time brings a Trump family business into direct partnership with a major Emirati state-owned entity.

This convergence of “family business” and state-to-state economic ties has drawn scrutiny and criticism, with some Senate Democrats, among others, warning of potential conflicts of interest and the blurring of public and private boundaries in U.S. foreign policy.

Strategic Calculus: Technology, Economy, and Security

The UAE’s rationale for tilting toward the United States in the high-tech sector remains twofold. First, Emirati leaders are intent on securing the economic and technological advantages of working with U.S. firms, given their generally recognized substantial leads in key fields. The UAE’s $1.4 trillion, decade-long investment pledge in the United States is emblematic of this ambition, promising access to advanced AI, cloud infrastructure, and semiconductor technologies.

Recent meetings in Washington between UAE National Security Advisor Tahnoun bin Zayed al-Nahyan (a central figure in both government and business) and BlackRock’s Larry Fink, Microsoft’s Satya Nadella, and Nvidia’s Jensen Huang have further cemented the AI Infrastructure Partnership, with new commitments from Nvidia and xAI joining BlackRock and Microsoft.

Second, the security dimension is paramount. The UAE’s status as a “major defense partner” of the United States underpins its access to advanced U.S. technologies and military systems. Trump’s visit is expected to include discussions on arms deals and joint defense initiatives, reinforcing the UAE’s role as a regional security pillar. Ahead of Trump’s Middle East trip, his administration quietly pulled back the “AI diffusion” rule – a clear victory for chipmakers and the U.S.-UAE tech partnership. Emirati officials have long pressed Washington to loosen export caps on Nvidia’s advanced AI processors, which under 2023 rules were limited in quantity and subject to strict China-diversion guarantees. Now, with those curbs easing, a new bilateral chip agreement (or at least a friendlier framework) looks set to become a centerpiece of Trump’s visit.

While the Trump family’s involvement in cross-border tech deals has attracted significant attention, the broader U.S.-UAE tech relationship is increasingly defined by a dense network of institutional and private sector partnerships. These alliances are rapidly expanding the scope and depth of bilateral cooperation, positioning the UAE as a central node in the global tech economy.

Deepening Institutional Ties: Sovereign Wealth and Tech Alliances

While high-profile family business ventures have captured headlines, the U.S.-UAE tech and investment relationship is underpinned by a rapidly expanding network of institutional and private sector partnerships that extend well beyond the Trump family’s involvement. These alliances are transforming both countries’ innovation ecosystems and reinforcing the UAE’s ambition to become a global tech hub.

One prominent example is the partnership between Mubadala Investment Company (through its AI investment arm MGX) and U.S. private equity giant Silver Lake. In one of the largest cross-border tech investments of 2024, Mubadala and Silver Lake jointly acquired a majority stake in Intel’s Altera business. Mubadala, one of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds, has also been a major investor in U.S. tech giants, including AMD, GlobalFoundries, and Waymo, and regularly partners with leading Silicon Valley venture capital firms.

The UAE’s G42, an Abu Dhabi-based AI and cloud computing company, has formed joint ventures and research partnerships with U.S. firms including Microsoft, Cerebras Systems, and AstraZeneca. G42’s partnership with Microsoft includes a $1.5 billion investment to build advanced AI infrastructure in the UAE and across the region.

U.S. cloud and data giants are also deepening their presence in the UAE. Microsoft has launched new hyperscale data centers in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, while Amazon Web Services has established its Middle East (UAE) Region to serve both public and private sector clients.

Venture capital and private equity ties are also growing. U.S. firms, such as KKR, Carlyle, and Blackstone, have secured major investments from Mubadala and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority for tech-focused funds and direct deals. Emirati funds are increasingly active as limited partners and co-investors in Silicon Valley, New York, and Boston-based tech startups, especially in AI, fintech, and healthtech.

Abu Dhabi’s sovereign funds are not just investing in U.S. companies; they are also attracting U.S. capital and expertise to the UAE. The Abu Dhabi Investment Office has launched incentive programs and joint ventures with U.S. companies, such as Plug and Play Tech Center and 500 Global, to seed and scale local startups. The UAE’s Hub71 innovation district hosts dozens of U.S.-founded or U.S.-backed startups, offering them access to capital, mentorship, and regional markets.

These developments underscore the multilayered, mutually reinforcing nature of U.S.-UAE tech ties. From sovereign wealth investments in U.S. chipmakers and cloud infrastructure, to joint ventures in AI and biotech, to the cross-pollination of venture capital and startup ecosystems, the bilateral relationship is now anchored in a dense web of institutional, private sector, and government alliances. This broad-based engagement is rapidly accelerating the UAE’s domestic innovation agenda and solidifying its position as a bridge between the United States, Europe, and Asia in the global tech economy.

Collectively, these institutional and private sector alliances provide a foundation for the UAE’s dual-track strategy, deepening its ties with the United States while simultaneously engaging with China and other global players.

Navigating the China Factor: No New Concessions, Continued Engagement

Notably, the expected announcements during Trump’s visit do not include new Emirati concessions or reassurances to Washington regarding tech ties with China. Instead, the UAE appears confident in its ability to manage robust partnerships with both the United States and China – a continuation of its long-standing hedging strategy.

In late April, China and the UAE launched a bilateral committee for investment cooperation, with both sides reaffirming their commitment to major Belt and Road Initiative projects, small and medium enterprise cooperation, and expanded business ties. Over 15,000 Chinese companies now operate in the UAE’s free zones and industrial hubs, and Chinese tech firms are active in smart city, green energy, and logistics projects.

This dual-track approach reflects both opportunity and risk. The UAE is maximizing its technological and economic gains from both great powers, accelerating its domestic innovation agenda while maintaining its status as a bridge between East and West. However, the absence of new public reassurances to the United States may test Washington’s patience, especially as concerns about technology transfer and strategic leakage to China persist. The Emirati calculus is clear: As long as U.S. firms remain at the frontier of AI and semiconductors, the UAE will prioritize U.S. partnerships in sensitive sectors. But if the technological gap narrows – as recent advances by Chinese firms such as Alibaba and DeepSeek suggest – Emirati attention could shift, much as it did in the 5G era.

Implications for the Future: Power, Influence, and Scrutiny

The outcomes of Trump’s visit are poised to further entrench the UAE’s role as a global tech and investment hub. New deals on AI infrastructure, semiconductors, and digital finance will enhance the UAE’s capabilities and international clout, while the interlacing of family business with state-backed investment will likely fuel ongoing debate about conflicts of interest and the integrity of U.S. foreign policy. The Emirati strategy of balancing deep U.S. ties with continued engagement with China remains viable for now, but it is subject to the shifting dynamics of great-power competition and the evolving balance of technological power.

Trump’s trip to the UAE is set to mark a new chapter in the bilateral relationship – one defined by unprecedented investment, high-stakes technological collaboration, and the increasingly complex interplay of state, business, and family interests. As the UAE pushes forward with its vision of becoming a global high-tech powerhouse, its ability to navigate the competing demands of Washington and Beijing – and to manage the scrutiny that comes with such high-profile deals – will be central to its success in the years ahead.

Yet, the stakes are high for both sides. For the UAE, the rewards of technological leadership come with the risk of overreach and backlash, especially if U.S. patience with dual-track partnerships runs thin. For Washington, the challenge will be to reconcile its strategic interests and commercial ambitions in a rapidly changing landscape. Whether this new era of desert deals and digital dynasties ushers in stability and innovation – or new forms of rivalry and controversy – will depend on choices made in the months and years to come.

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

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