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Analysis

Revolution Day in Iran: Celebrating Survival

The February 13 edition of the Iran Media Review explores Iranian narratives surrounding the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Overshadowed by the bloody protests that began in December 2025, Iran’s commemoration of the 48th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution had little to celebrate beyond the regime’s survival.

  • February 11: In a televised address transcribed by Supreme National Security Council mouthpiece Nour News, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei thanked Iranians for taking part in Revolution Day rallies:
    • “You carried out a great act; you made Iran proud. As always, by supporting the Islamic Republic, you added to its strength, and the enemies who, in their statements and plans, sought the surrender of the Iranian nation were left disappointed … this great movement signifies the dignity and strength of Iran … Let us all strive to preserve this connection and national unity, which is extremely valuable and precious.”
  • February 12: A Revolution Day commemoration published in reformist Etemad was dedicated to President Masoud Pezeshkian’s address to the crowds in Tehran. Pezeshkian said:
    • “As president, I apologize to the people of Iran for all the shortcomings and deficiencies, and I declare that in the 14th Cabinet, we have made every effort to resolve the people’s problems with strength and seriousness, and, with God’s help and the wise guidance of the leader of the revolution, we will succeed on this path.”
    • Referring to recent protests, Pezeshkian said: “The events that occurred placed a great sorrow on the hearts of the people of Iran, and some of our beloved people lost their lives … We consider ourselves responsible before the people, we apologize to the nation, and we are obliged to serve all those who were harmed in these incidents, and we will continue on this path.”
    • Addressing the nuclear issue, the president said: “We have repeatedly stated that we are not seeking nuclear weapons and are ready for any kind of verification. The United States and Europe, through their positions and statements, have created a tall wall of mistrust and do not allow the talks to reach a conclusion. Iran will not bow to the excessive demands of the West and will not back down in the face of aggression. At the same time, we are fully engaged in pursuing peace and stability with the countries of the region, because we believe that the region’s problems can only be solved by the countries of the region, not by foreign powers.”
  • February 12: Hard-line Kayhan covered the Revolution Day rally in Tehran:
    • “The nation’s storm blew the enemy’s wishes to the wind!”
  • February 12: Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-affiliated Javan praised the “million-man-large rallies celebrating the revolution.”

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Protests in Iran: Regime Deal With Trump or Degrade Toward Collapse?

Though the Iranian regime is facing increasing pressure from protesters and armed insurgent groups, it is not yet doomed – but without a deal with the United States, the regime is likely headed for a slow collapse.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

Protesters march on a bridge in Tehran, Iran, Dec. 29, 2025. (Fars News Agency via AP, File)

Iran Looms Over Saudi Visit to Washington

Saudi Arabia seeks a U.S. security umbrella strong enough to deter Iran but a diplomatic posture measured enough to avoid provoking Iran unnecessarily.

Ali Alfoneh

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Workers fix damage to an Aramco oil processing facility after a September 14, 2019 attack in Abqaiq, near Dammam, Saudi Arabia, September 20, 2019. (AP Photo/Amr Nabil)

The Pragmatist Who Came In From the Cold: Ali Larijani, Iran’s New Supreme National Security Council Secretary

An Iraqi-born native of Najaf but an unmistakably Iranian nationalist, Ali Larijani is expected to leverage his record of bureaucratic competence and global fluency to coordinate Iran’s security bureaucracy.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

Iranian Secretary of Supreme National Security Council Ali Larijani, greets journalists upon his arrival to meet with the Lebanese parliament speaker Nabih Berri, in Beirut, Lebanon, Aug. 13. (AP Photo/Bilal Hussein)

Iran: Perilous Policy Paralysis

Confronted with the clear and present danger posed by Israel, Iran’s collective leadership appears mired in policy paralysis, leaving Iran strategically adrift.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks during a meeting with Iran's president, Masoud Pezeshkian, and his cabinet in Tehran, Iran, August 27, 2024. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA /Handout via REUTERS)
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Events

Jan 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)
Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Sep 16, 2025

Book Talk: Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History

On September 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on the roots of Iran's strategic outlook.

Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Women carry Iranian flags under the Azadi (freedom) monument tower during a rally commemorating the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Tehran, Iran, Feb. 10. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
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