"*" indicates required fields

Subscribe

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

By subscribing you agree to our Privacy Policy

Subscription Settings
Analysis

Renewed Speculation About Succession After Khamenei 

The November 26 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes recent discussion around who might succeed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. 

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

On November 7, Iran’s Assembly of Experts met with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. In the wake of the meeting, there has been renewed speculation about Khamenei’s health and who might be potential leadership candidates. According to one account, the Assembly of Experts has already identified three potential successors, but their names remain undisclosed. 

  • November 14: A video of a speech by Hojjat al-Eslam Mohammad-Baqer Heydari Kashani, a well-known public preacher, commenting on Khamenei’s November 7 meeting with the Assembly of Experts, began circulating on social media. In the video, Heydari Kashani said members of the assembly began weeping when Khamenei reportedly told them “There may be a day when I’m no longer among you.” 
  • November 15: Isfahan’s temporary Friday prayer leader, Ayatollah Abou al-Hassan Mahdavi, was quoted by centrist Asr-e Iran as saying: “The leader of the revolution told the Assembly of Experts to identify a suitable successor … A secret committee in the Assembly of Experts has identified three individuals, in prioritized order … But God be praised, the leader of the revolution is in good health.”  
  • November 18: In a conversation with Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps mouthpiece Mashregh News, Hojjat al-Eslam Salah Mirzaei, a member of the Assembly of Experts, dismissed rumors concerning Khamenei’s health:  
    • “There are some incorrect stories regarding the Assembly of Experts’ meeting with the supreme leader of the revolution that have caused concern among the devout. Two points are worthy of mention: First, the meeting was substantive and optimistic. The photos from the latter part of the meeting and assembly members circling around the leader of the revolution were because the members were conveying the greetings of the people from their constituencies to the leader. The leader has not issued a special order to identify a successor, and no assembly member cried during the meeting.” 
  • November 21: Heydari Kashani, as quoted by centrist Khabar Online, corrected earlier statements: 
    • “Nobody wept. Members of the Assembly of Experts told me nobody wept when His Lordship delivered his statements. His Lordship told the Assembly of Experts: ‘Even under the hardest circumstances, the path forward is clear. In the end, the nation and the Assembly of Experts must perform their divine duty,’” a reference to appointing Khamenei’s successor. 

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.

Ali Alfoneh

Senior Fellow, AGSI

Analysis

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Ali Alfoneh

7 min read

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)

The United States on the Verge of Another “Forever War”?

U.S. entry in the air war on Israel’s side could have seriously destabilizing consequences in the broader Gulf region unless the war ends quickly.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Smoke rises from the building of Iran's state-run television after an Israeli strike in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo)

Iran Is Attacked, the Gulf Reacts

AGSI explains what Israel’s sudden and massive attack on Iran is likely to mean for Gulf Arab states, Iran, the United States, and global and regional economies.

34 min read

Smoke rises after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 13. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

A Path to a Stronger United States in the Gulf

AGSI offers pragmatic, targeted policy recommendations for the Trump administration to maximize U.S. political and economic influence with the crucial emerging regional powers in the Gulf.

20 min read

President Donald J. Trump, fifth left, attends a group photo session with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, fourth right, UAE Crown Prince Khaled bin Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, second right, Bahraini Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, left, Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, third left, Kuwaiti Emir Meshal al-Ahmed al-Jaber al-Sabah, second left, GCC Secretary-General Jasem Albudaiwi, right, during the GCC Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
View All

Events

Jun 23, 2025

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)
President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

Jun 16, 2025

Assessing Iranian, U.S., and Gulf Reactions and Options Following Israel’s Unprecedented Attack on Iran

On June 16, AGSI hosted a discussion on Israel's attack on Iran.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes in Tehran, Iran, June 13. (Majid Asgaripour/WANA via REUTERS)

Apr 29, 2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise?

On April 29, AGSI hosted a discussion on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Al Busaidi prior to negotiations with Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)
In this photo released by Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, left, meets his Omani counterpart Sayyid Badr Albusaidi prior to negotiations with U.S. Mideast envoy Steve Witkoff in Muscat, Oman, Saturday, April 12, 2025. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

Jul 11, 2024

In Conversation With Ali Alfoneh: Does Iran’s Presidential Election Matter?

On July 11, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's presidential election.

People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
People watch the debate of presidential candidates at a park in Tehran, Iran July 1, 2024. (Majid Asgaripour/ West Asia News Agency via REUTERS)
View All