Security
Jun 26, 2025
Russia’s Role in Iran’s Drone and Missile Gamble
Moscow relied on Iranian drones in Ukraine. Now that the situation is reversed, will Russia help Iran rebuild its deterrence after Israel’s deep strikes?

Jun 25, 2025
Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?
The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Jun 24, 2025
The Iran Strikes: Six Answerable Questions
While the just-announced cease-fire provides only a very preliminary indication of how the crisis with Iran will end, some questions can be answered, and those answers offer valuable insight.

Jun 23, 2025
Iran Takes a Huge Hit but Isn’t Doomed or Out of Options
President Trump's attack on Iran's nuclear facilities may or may not have irreparably damaged them, but the Al Udeid strike suggests Tehran is seeking to avoid a prolonged conflict with Washington.

Jun 22, 2025
U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout
On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

Jun 18, 2025
The Gulf Bystanders
The Gulf Arab states, literally in the middle of the exchange of airstrikes between Israel and Iran, have a lot on the line.

Jun 18, 2025
Is Trump Embracing a Regime Change Policy?
President Trump may be on the brink of getting the United States drawn into another "forever war," this time against Iran.

Jun 18, 2025
Will Israel-Iran Conflict Disrupt Energy Markets?
Israel has targeted Iranian gas facilities, but a strike against oil infrastructure would be far more damaging and would impact global oil balances.
