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Russia’s Role in Iran’s Drone and Missile Gamble

Moscow relied on Iranian drones in Ukraine. Now that the situation is reversed, will Russia help Iran rebuild its deterrence after Israel’s deep strikes?

Russian President Vladimir Putin greets Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi prior to their talks at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia, June 23. (Alexander Kazakov, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP)

Iran’s Strategic Dilemma: Capitulation or Parity?

The current cease-fire may just be an interregnum between rounds of conflict between Israel and Iran, as Iranian decision makers appear more inclined to pursue strategic parity than capitulate.

Iran's army commander-in-chief General Amir Hatami attends a video call with top commanders in Zolfaghar central headquarters, Iran, June 23. (Iranian Army Press Service via AP)

The Iran Strikes: Six Answerable Questions

While the just-announced cease-fire provides only a very preliminary indication of how the crisis with Iran will end, some questions can be answered, and those answers offer valuable insight.

Joint Chiefs Chairman Major General John D. Caine speaks during a news conference at the Pentagon in Washington, June 22. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Iran Takes a Huge Hit but Isn’t Doomed or Out of Options

President Trump's attack on Iran's nuclear facilities may or may not have irreparably damaged them, but the Al Udeid strike suggests Tehran is seeking to avoid a prolonged conflict with Washington.

President Donald J. Trump holds a meeting with White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine, and other cabinet members in the Situation Room at the White House in Washington, DC, June 21. (The White House/Handout via REUTERS)

U.S. Strike on Iran: Regional and Diplomatic Fallout

On June 23, AGSI hosted a discussion on the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

President Donald J. Trump speaks from the East Room of the White House in Washington, June 21, after the U.S. military struck three Iranian nuclear and military sites, as Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth listen. (Carlos Barria/Pool via AP)

The Gulf Bystanders

The Gulf Arab states, literally in the middle of the exchange of airstrikes between Israel and Iran, have a lot on the line.

Is Trump Embracing a Regime Change Policy?

President Trump may be on the brink of getting the United States drawn into another "forever war," this time against Iran.

President Donald J. Trump speaks with reporters while flying aboard Air Force One en route from Calgary, Canada to Joint Base Andrews, Md., June 16. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)

Will Israel-Iran Conflict Disrupt Energy Markets?

Israel has targeted Iranian gas facilities, but a strike against oil infrastructure would be far more damaging and would impact global oil balances.

Smoke rises from an oil storage facility after it appeared to have been struck by an Israeli strike, in Tehran, Iran, June 16. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)