Security

Gulf states are increasingly influential, though still cautious, actors in the region’s evolving maritime security landscape.

As Gulf states pursue economic diversification and knowledge economies less dependent on resource extraction, the logic of competition may be becoming less compelling and the benefits of coordination more apparent.

Though the Iranian regime is facing increasing pressure from protesters and armed insurgent groups, it is not yet doomed – but without a deal with the United States, the regime is likely headed for a slow collapse.

The STC’s failed attempt at independence likely means that Yemen won’t split along North and South lines.

A new government and the movement to disarm a weakened Hezbollah are increasing Gulf states’ trust in Lebanon, but Gulf-Lebanese rapprochement is not yet right around the corner.

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

The recent visit by the Saudi crown prince to Washington turbocharged prospects for U.S.-led mediation on Sudan, but the case for skepticism remains compelling.

The U.S.-Saudi deal prioritizes nuclear pragmatism, transparency, and U.S. oversight to preserve a critical strategic alliance and maintain technological preeminence in the face of escalating competition from Moscow and Beijing.