Giorgio Cafiero
Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics and an adjunct assistant professor at Georgetown University.
Analysis
How the UAE Became Serbia’s Most Important Arab Partner
Through its increasing ties with Serbia, the UAE has secured a lasting strategic foothold in the Western Balkans, and Serbia has gained an influential Arab partner that is likely to remain central to Belgrade’s multipolar foreign policy calculus.
Gulf Diplomacy Eases Afghanistan-Pakistan Tensions
Gulf Arab states are using their diplomatic, financial, and religious leverage to try and de-escalate rising Afghanistan-Pakistan tensions.
Iran’s Messaging After Israel’s Qatar Strike
Iran has moved quickly to try to capitalize on cracks in U.S.-Gulf relations after Israel’s unprecedented attack on Hamas officials in Qatar.
Geopolitical Pressures Dismantled Europe’s Iran Engagement
With the E3 triggering the JCPOA’s snapback mechanism and aligning more closely with Washington’s hard-line stance, Europe’s role as an independent diplomatic actor in Tehran is effectively over.
Missiles and Markets: Iran and China’s Strategic Convergence
In the wake of the Iran-Israel conflict, Iran is pivoting closer to China, deepening defense and economic cooperation as part of a long-term effort to reduce Western dependence and increase resilience.
The Enduring Saudi-Iranian Detente
The conflict between Israel and Iran demonstrated the endurance of the Saudi-Iranian detente but also revealed its key vulnerabilities.
