Iraq

The success of a new water-sharing deal between Iraq and Turkey hinges on Iraq’s government formation and the timely implementation of reforms.

The war in Iran both underscores the urgency and will delay action on a U.S.-brokered Peshmerga-Baghdad redeployment in the disputed territories.

On March 5, AGSI hosted a discussion on Iraq's internal and external challenges in navigating the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran.

The U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran has exposed Iraq’s structural fragilities: territorial permeability, economic monoculture, energy dependence, and politically mediated sovereignty.

AGSI experts assess the trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy in 2026.

The government-formation crisis is a test of whether Iraq can assert genuine sovereignty in a system still shaped by foreign influence, factional vetoes, and constitutional loopholes.

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

The durability of recent peace gestures, energy deals, and revenue-sharing agreements will hinge on political consensus and restraint, both within Kurdistan and across Iraq’s fractured national landscape.