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Conflict or Compromise: U.S. and Iran on a Knife’s Edge

Whatever the path out of the current crisis, Gulf Arab states seeking an end to Iranian interference in regional affairs are likely to be disappointed.

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, center, walks with U.S. Chargé d'Affaires Steve Bondy, left, and UAE Minister of State Ahmed al-Sayegh, right, as Pompeo arrives in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, for talks on Iran, June 24. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

UAE Withdrawal Creates “Crucial Moment” for Yemen Conflict

With its decision to withdraw from Yemen, the UAE has fundamentally changed the strategic context in Yemen.

Houthi fighters ride on a vehicle as they patrol a street in Sanaa, Yemen, Dec. 4, 2017. (AP Photo/Hani Mohammed)

Fiscal and Security Pressures Highlight, and Threaten, Oman’s Unique Position in the Region

As fiscal constraints increase, tensions in the Gulf rise, and uncertainties surrounding political transition loom, Oman’s role in the Gulf Arab region could come under pressure.

Omani Sultan Qaboos bin Said sits during a meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo at the royal palace in Muscat, Oman, Jan. 14. (Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/Pool Photo via AP)

The Manama Workshop and the Course of Normalization in the Gulf

The “Peace to Prosperity” workshop in Bahrain may have been less about Palestinian prosperity and more about drawing Arab, especially Gulf, countries into the Middle East peace process – and into deeper normalization with Israel.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, fifth from left, and Bahraini Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa, sixth from left, listen to Jared Kushner, White House senior advisor, standing, during the opening session of the "Peace to Prosperity" workshop in Manama, Bahrain, June 25. (Bahrain News Agency via AP)

Gulf Arab States Don’t Want a U.S.-Iranian War, and Could Help Avoid One

Caught in the crossfire already, Gulf Arab countries have an important opportunity to help shape the off-ramp from confrontation.

Iranian General Amir Ali Hajizadeh, head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corp' aerospace division, looks at debris from what the division describes as the U.S. drone which was shot down on June 20, Tehran, Iran, June 21. (Meghdad Madadi/Tasnim News Agency/via AP)

International and Internal U.S. Debates Refocus Spotlight on Yemen’s Conflict

The ongoing conflict in Yemen is inching toward the center of important debates for the United States, but international attention is unlikely to have any material impact on the conduct of the war.

Saudi Colonel Turki al-Malki, spokesperson for the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen, points to a screen showing what he said was evidence of Iranian intervention and support to Yemen's Houthi rebels during a news conference in Mecca, Saudi Arabia, May 31. (AP Photo/Amr Nabil)

The Faceoff over U.S. Arms Sales to the Gulf: What Next?

On May 24, the Trump administration issued a national emergency declaration citing tensions with Iran to bypass congressional opposition to arms sales to Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Jordan.

U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, walks off the House floor, Capitol Hill, Washington, DC, April 3. AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)

Is Sudan’s Transition Over Before It Began?

Stability, the nature of the state and its relationship to its citizens, the economy, and the role of political Islam are foundational to the discussions, inside and outside Sudan, concerning the country's transition.

Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan, right, receives Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, head of Sudan's Transitional Military Council, in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, May 26. (Mohamed Al Hammadi/Ministry of Presidential Affairs via AP)