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Politics and Governance

Iran Leadership Succession: Former President Rouhani Disqualified

While no immediate threat to the Islamic Republic’s survival, the gradual shrinking of the ruling elites presents a long-term threat to the regime in Iran.

President Hassan Rouhani speaks during a meeting in Tehran, Iran, December 9, 2020. (Iranian Presidency Office via AP, File)

The Inner Logic and Outer Limits of Post-Gaza Normalization

The underlying logic of normalizing ties with Israel remains intact for Gulf states. However, public anger, increased focus on the Palestinian issue, and the rising diplomatic price for Israel will impact the future of normalization.

Palestinian Foreign Minister Riyad al-Malki, Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan, and Jordanian Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi attend a United Nations Security Council meeting on the conflict between Israel and Hamas, in New York City, November 29, 2023. (REUTERS/Brendan McDermid)

UAE: Norway’s Lessons for Economic Development and Sustainability

While Singapore has traditionally been seen as a model for the United Arab Emirates, Norway, with its unique approach to economic management and environmental sustainability, is increasingly cited as an inspiration.

Norwegian Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide, from left, COP28 President Sultan Al Jaber, center, and Grace Fu, minister for sustainability and the environment for Singapore, pose at the COP28 U.N. Climate Summit, Dubai, United Arab Emirates, December 8, 2023. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

Iran-Pakistan Border Confrontation Brings Major Fallout

The flare up between Iran and Pakistan may have been snuffed out quickly, but the scars it left on the Pakistani and Iranian security establishments may affect ties going forward.

Iraqi Provincial Elections Could Come With Major Political and Security Ramifications

The victory of pro-Iranian groups in Iraq’s provincial elections could exacerbate internal political tensions and raise concerns about regional stability.

Qais Khazali, leader of Asaib Ahl al-Haq, holds a ballot sheet as he votes during Iraq's provincial council elections, at a polling station in Baghdad, Iraq, December 18, 2023. (REUTERS/Ahmed Saad)

Looking East: The China-Gulf Initiative

Looking East: The China-Gulf Initiative explores the expanding and multifaceted relations between China and Gulf Arab states.

Chinese President Xi Jinping makes a speech during the Belt and Road Forum welcome banquet at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, April 26, 2019. (Nicolas Asfouri via AP)

Continuity or Change: Qaani’s Quds Force

In this series, AGSIW Senior Fellow Ali Alfoneh looks at how the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force has evolved since the 2020 appointment of Brigadier General Ismail Qaani as chief commander.

General Ismail Qaani, the new head of Quds Force, speaks during a ceremony on the occasion of first anniversary of death of the force's previous head General Qassem Soleimani, in Tehran, Iran, Friday, Jan. 1, 2021. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi)

Obscure Track Record of Quds Force Deputy Fallahzadeh

Quds Force chief Brigadier General Ismail Qaani is likely to be succeeded by his deputy, but the role Brigadier General Mohammad Reza Fallahzadeh currently plays in the organization remains obscure.

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei meets with commanders and a group of members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Tehran, Iran, August 17, 2023. (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA)