The Dhow: 1/12/26

Fars News Agency via AP, File

The Dhow: January 12, 2026

ANALYSIS

SECURITY

Protests in Iran: Regime Deal With Trump or Degrade Toward Collapse?

Ali Alfoneh

Though the Iranian regime is facing increasing pressure from protesters and armed insurgent groups, it is not yet doomed – but without a deal with the United States, the regime is likely headed for a slow collapse.

Yemen’s Continuing Crack-Up

Gregory D. Johnsen

The STC’s failed attempt at independence likely means that Yemen won’t split along North and South lines.

IRAN MEDIA REVIEW

Ali Alfoneh

The IRGC Warns Iraq’s Kurdistan Region

The January 9 edition analyzes IRGC-affiliated media threats against Kurdish parties headquartered in the Kurdistan region of Iraq.

Khamenei Comments on the Protests in Iran

The January 6 edition examines Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s response to a new wave of protests.

PAST EVENT

January 8, 2026

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

Speakers Ali Alfoneh, Tim Callen, Kristin Smith Diwan, Hussein Ibish, Abbas Kadhim, Amb. William Roebuck, Amb. Douglas A. Silliman

ENGAGEMENT

Last week, our scholars were featured by Newsweek, South China Morning Post, AGBI, and more.

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The Dhow: 1/12/26

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