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Blog Post

The New Trilateral Axis and the Iraqi Dilemma

As the September deadline for the U.S. troop drawdown approaches, Iraq’s period of comfortable neutrality is ending, but the country’s policymakers should not rush into unsustainable alignments.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif pose after signing a trilateral defense agreement in Mecca, Saudi Arabia, August 7. (Saudi Press Agency via AP)

For SME Growth, Gulf Countries Need Supportive Ecosystems

Small and medium enterprises are central to Gulf diversification efforts, but strong, well-integrated support systems, including national small business administrations and public credit guarantee schemes, are needed to help them thrive.

Prince Abdulaziz bin Talal, chairman of the Arab Gulf Program for Development, delivers a speech during the opening ceremony of the ROWAD Entrepreneurship Conference and the Arab SMEs Summit 2024 in Doha, Qatar, November 18, 2024. (Photo by Noushad Thekkayil/NurPhoto)

The Islamic Republic Returns to Offense

After U.S.-Israeli strikes killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, Iran’s collective leadership has concluded that the best defense is a good offense.

Iranian Zolfaghar missiles are displayed by the armed forces in a temporary exhibition in front of the Azadi monument in Tehran, Iran, July 29. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Pension Reform Joins the Gulf’s Talent Retention Toolkit

The Gulf states want to reduce their dependence on expatriates without losing the professionals they still need for economic diversification. Pension reform is becoming part of that bargain.

Exteriors of buildings in the Dubai International Financial Centre in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, March 11. (REUTERS/Abdelhadi Ramahi)

The Future of U.S. Bases in the Gulf

The war between the United States and Iran revealed the vulnerability of static U.S. bases, while also showcasing Gulf Arab states’ capacity – bolstered with U.S. hardware and training – to intercept most Iranian strikes on their own, raising new questions about U.S.-Gulf security partnerships.

U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth meets with Saudi Defense Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman at the Pentagon in Washington, D.C., U.S., February 24, 2025. (REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque)

Saudi Arabia and the UAE Publicly Reconcile

Saudi-Emirati public reconciliation, a result of hard-earned lessons about the difficulty of going it alone, bodes well for a region at war and under attack, but there are still issues left to resolve.

Then Emirati Foreign Minister Abdullah bin Zayed al-Nahyan, left, speaks with Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan during a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Arab Contact Group on Syria in Aqaba, Jordan, December 14, 2024. (Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/Pool via AP)

Iran’s Collective Strategic Decision Making

Wartime pressure has temporarily aligned the leadership’s overriding interest in regime survival, even as its members continue to differ over the costs, methods, and ultimate objectives of the war.

Iran's parliamentary speaker and top negotiator, Mohammad-Bagher Qalibaf, and foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, listen to Abolfazl Amouei, Qalibaf's international affairs assistant, during a flight to Switzerland, June 21. (Hamed Malekpour/ICANA via AP)

Striking the Grid: Iran’s Campaign Against Kuwaiti Water

Hitting the systems that keep Gulf populations supplied with water and power is a threshold Iran now appears willing to cross.

An aerial view shows Kuwait City, Kuwait, March 16, 2020. (REUTERS/Stephanie McGehee)