Blog Post
Mar 27, 2026
Why Saudi Arabia and the UAE Are Urging Trump to Continue a War They Did Not Want
Riyadh and Abu Dhabi urged President Trump not to attack Iran, but now that the war is into its second month, leaving the current situation in place would be an unthinkable fiasco for them.
Mar 27, 2026
Not All Oil Is Created Equal
The conflict with Iran has curtailed the supply of oil from the Gulf, pushing up the price of the medium and heavier grades it usually exports relative to lighter grades.
Mar 26, 2026
The Economic Impact of the Iran Conflict on the Gulf
The Gulf is being significantly affected by the conflict with Iran, but the size of the economic hit varies among countries.
Mar 24, 2026
Ukraine’s Counterdrone Assistance to the Gulf States
Ukrainian help dealing with Iranian drone attacks could lead Gulf Arab states to rethink their neutrality in the Ukraine-Russia war.
Mar 23, 2026
Why the Gulf Arab States Matter So Much – But Decide So Little
The Gulf Arab states have discovered that wealth without hard power, and alliance without political influence, leave them exposed to other countries' wars.
Mar 19, 2026
The Squeeze on Erbil
The war in Iran both underscores the urgency and will delay action on a U.S.-brokered Peshmerga-Baghdad redeployment in the disputed territories.
Mar 18, 2026
Air and Missile Defense in the Gulf
The war is demonstrating that missile defense can blunt Iran’s strategy – but only if the United States and its regional partners ensure that their defenses can keep pace with the scale and speed of future conflicts.
Mar 13, 2026
Attacks Will Not Mutate the UAE’s DNA
The United Arab Emirates has repeatedly shown that it doesn’t just “bounce back” after a crisis; it “bounces forward.”