Blog Post

As Iranian drones and missiles have rained down on the Gulf, the targeted states have found unexpected allies globally but little support from their Arab neighbors.

In the future landscape of Gulf security, the United States may remain an essential arms supplier but wield less influence over force structure and military doctrine.

With Iran, Qatar is balancing dialogue with deterrence.

The oil market is no longer anchored by a shared baseline. Instead, it is being pulled in different directions by competing assumptions about geopolitics, prices, and economic resilience.

Regardless of the outcome of ongoing U.S.-Iranian negotiations, Gulf states are likely to speed up the diversification of their defense partnerships, including with each other, though many hurdles have yet to be overcome.

One silver lining of the Iran conflict may be the emergence of new, more durable foundations for regional economic integration via more agile trade corridors in the Gulf and beyond.

The war has hit the United Arab Emirates during a period of cultural and economic flourishing. While life goes on amid continuous Iranian attacks, the country’s residents rally for its postwar return.

The success of a new water-sharing deal between Iraq and Turkey hinges on Iraq’s government formation and the timely implementation of reforms.