Blog Post
Mar 31, 2026
Operation Epic Fury and the U.S. Drone Posture in the Gulf
In the conflict with Iran, the United States has used one-way attack drones for the first time, marking a shift in U.S. military drone architecture.
Mar 30, 2026
China’s Sidelining in the Iran Conflict
The Iran conflict reinforces China’s short-term position as one of managing and mitigating risks rather than shaping outcomes that expand Chinese influence in the Middle East.
Mar 27, 2026
Why Saudi Arabia and the UAE Are Urging Trump to Continue a War They Did Not Want
Riyadh and Abu Dhabi urged President Trump not to attack Iran, but now that the war is into its second month, leaving the current situation in place would be an unthinkable fiasco for them.
Mar 27, 2026
Not All Oil Is Created Equal
The conflict with Iran has curtailed the supply of oil from the Gulf, pushing up the price of the medium and heavier grades it usually exports relative to lighter grades.
Mar 26, 2026
The Economic Impact of the Iran Conflict on the Gulf
The Gulf is being significantly affected by the conflict with Iran, but the size of the economic hit varies among countries.
Mar 24, 2026
Ukraine’s Counterdrone Assistance to the Gulf States
Ukrainian help dealing with Iranian drone attacks could lead Gulf Arab states to rethink their neutrality in the Ukraine-Russia war.
Mar 23, 2026
Why the Gulf Arab States Matter So Much – But Decide So Little
The Gulf Arab states have discovered that wealth without hard power, and alliance without political influence, leave them exposed to other countries' wars.
Mar 19, 2026
The Squeeze on Erbil
The war in Iran both underscores the urgency and will delay action on a U.S.-brokered Peshmerga-Baghdad redeployment in the disputed territories.