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Blog Post

The Squeeze on Erbil

The war in Iran both underscores the urgency and will delay action on a U.S.-brokered Peshmerga-Baghdad redeployment in the disputed territories.

Smoke rises after an explosion at the airport in Erbil, Iraq, March 11. (AP Photo/Leo Correa)

Air and Missile Defense in the Gulf

The war is demonstrating that missile defense can blunt Iran’s strategy – but only if the United States and its regional partners ensure that their defenses can keep pace with the scale and speed of future conflicts.

A missile is intercepted as Iranian missiles are launched, as seen from Doha, Qatar, February 28. (REUTERS/Saleh Salem)

Attacks Will Not Mutate the UAE’s DNA

The United Arab Emirates has repeatedly shown that it doesn’t just “bounce back” after a crisis; it “bounces forward.”

A man steers a boat during sunset, as the city skyline with Burj Khalifa is seen in the background at Dubai Creek Harbour in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, March 11. (AP Photo/Fatima Shbair)

Gulf States Play Defense

Caught between Iranian strikes and U.S.-Israeli pressure to join the fight, Gulf Arab states strive to maintain their autonomy over decision making, playing defense and preserving the space to maneuver when the war ends.

Passengers wait at Muscat International Airport as the sultanate of Oman facilitates the return of passengers to their home countries amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran in Muscat, Oman, March 5. (Oman News Agency/Handout via REUTERS)

The Houthi Conundrum and the War in Iran

The Houthis have stayed out of the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran. Are they unable, unwilling, or simply biding their time?

A man with a poster featuring a picture of late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei tucked in his garment joins a demonstration with Houthi supporters in Sanaa, Yemen, March 6. (REUTERS/Khaled Abdullah)

Oil Prices Jolted Higher as Gulf Export Route Blocked

Roughly 20% of global oil supply is now stranded behind the chokepoint of the Strait of Hormuz, unable to reach global markets.

The Luojiashan tanker sits anchored in Muscat, as Iran vows to close the Strait of Hormuz, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Muscat, Oman, March 7. (REUTERS/Benoit Tessier)

Under Mojtaba, the IRGC Will Reign Supreme

Iran may still call itself an Islamic Republic. In practice, however, it increasingly resembles a state in which the military governs from behind clerical robes.

Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, center, attends the annual Quds Day rally in Tehran, Iran, May 31, 2019. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Markets Respond to the Iran Conflict

The early reactions of regional stock markets reflect serious concerns but not full-blown panic despite an unprecedented escalation of the Iran conflict.

Large fire and plume of smoke is visible after, according to the authorities, debris of an Iranian intercepted drone hit an oil facility in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 3. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)