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Blog Post

From Shield to Target: The Gulf’s Security Dilemma

Regardless of the outcome of ongoing U.S.-Iranian negotiations, Gulf states are likely to speed up the diversification of their defense partnerships, including with each other, though many hurdles have yet to be overcome.

Smoke rises after an Iranian drone was intercepted over the Bahrain Financial Harbour towers in Manama, Bahrain, March 6. (REUTERS/Stringer TPX)

New Regional Corridors Emerge Amid Iran Conflict

One silver lining of the Iran conflict may be the emergence of new, more durable foundations for regional economic integration via more agile trade corridors in the Gulf and beyond.

Freight train at a railway station in Riyadh that links Riyadh and the port of Dammam in Saudi Arabia, October 31, 2012. (GULF-RAILWAY/ REUTERS/Fahad Shadeed)

Business as Usual in the UAE?

The war has hit the United Arab Emirates during a period of cultural and economic flourishing. While life goes on amid continuous Iranian attacks, the country’s residents rally for its postwar return.

Can Iraq-Turkey Deal Help Iraqi Water Security?

The success of a new water-sharing deal between Iraq and Turkey hinges on Iraq’s government formation and the timely implementation of reforms.

Significantly low water levels are seen on the Tigris river in Baghdad, Iraq, May 28, 2022. (AP Photo/Hadi Mizban)

Can Gulf Green Finance Survive an Oil Price Shock?

The Iran conflict has arrived at the worst possible moment for Gulf sustainable finance, a sector already navigating fiscal strain, a global ESG backlash, and the unresolved tension between hydrocarbon revenue and transition capital.

Smoke billows from Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery after a reported Iranian drone strike in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, March 2. (REUTERS/Stringer)

Iran War Hits Business Conditions in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf

March readings of the purchasing managers’ index showed a substantial deterioration in business conditions in Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Gulf.

Smoke rises above Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, March 5. (REUTERS/Stringer)

When War and Peace Are Just Means, the End Signifies Nothing

For the Gulf Arab countries, the future is more important than the present, but it is unclear if Iran, the United States, and Israel have the same vision.

Smoke rises from Kuwait international airport after a drone strike on fuel storage in Kuwait City, Kuwait, March 25. (AP Photo)

The United States Plus: Gulf States Contemplate Regional Security After Iran War

The imperative for Gulf states to unify their position has grown since the onset of Iranian attacks on their countries. Yet under conditions of uncertainty about the U.S. position and the war's outcome, Gulf states are demonstrating differing regional alignments and preferences for managing the crisis.

A large fire and plume of smoke is visible after the debris of an intercepted Iranian drone hit the Fujairah oil facility, in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 3. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)