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Blog Post

The PIF’s 2026-30 Strategy Emerges Amid Heightened Regional Tensions, Uncertainty

The PIF’s latest strategy contains some portfolio restructuring but mostly familiar elements – and future adjustments are expected.

Saudi Public Investment Fund Governor Yasir al-Rumayyan listens while President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks at the Future Investment Initiative Institute's summit in Miami Beach, Florida, March 27. (REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz)

Resilient by Design: Infrastructure and the Future of UAE Urbanism

Rather than pursuing the next iconic tower or artificial island, the UAE’s urban development model is shifting toward systems that are less visible but more essential.

Satwa, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (Credit: Yasser Elsheshtawy)

Downstream Ambitions: Saudi Arabia’s Move Toward Rare Earth Processing

Newly announced joint ventures to build rare earth refineries in Saudi Arabia are part of a larger strategy to capitalize on Western markets’ need for rare earth elements.

A view of the MP Materials rare earth open-pit mine in Mountain Pass, California, U.S. January 30, 2020. Picture taken January 30, 2020. (REUTERS/Steve Marcus)

Can NATO Repeat Operation Ocean Shield?

NATO’s Operation Ocean Shield helped secure freedom of navigation in the Red Sea, but diplomatic fractures and naval constraints mean its success is unlikely to be repeated in the Strait of Hormuz.

A service member stands guard aboard Portuguese warship NRP Corte-Real escorting the United Nations World Food Programme ship, MV Fidel, in the Indian Ocean off the Somalia coastline, May 14, 2009. (REUTERS/NATO/Handout)

The Second Phase of the UAE Space Economy

As the UAE navigates a more volatile regional environment, the next phase of its space effort will hinge on how quickly it can scale its commercial ecosystem and deepen international integration.

The Mohammed Bin Rashid Space Centre, in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates (Raymond E. Karan)

The Gulf’s AI Strategy Needs Resiliency

With the Iran war, large AI projects now sit inside a regional battlespace. The next phase of Gulf AI strategy will need to focus on resilience, continuity, and trusted infrastructure, not only capital and scale.

A delivery personnel rides a motobike in front of a building with the Amazon sign displayed amid the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates, March 7. (REUTERS/Amr Alfiky)

China’s Mediation Ceiling in the Iran War

For now, China is a stuck actor – drifting until external conditions force a decision or create a window of opportunity.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov attends a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, April 15. (Iori Sagisawa/Pool via REUTERS)

Iraq’s Oil Export Crisis Needs a Durable Baghdad-Erbil Deal

With the Strait of Hormuz closed and alternative export routes infeasible in the short term, a comprehensive agreement with Erbil can help Baghdad address its critical lack of oil export capability.

A sailor observes the oil tanker Helga, which is moored at one of Iraq's southern offshore oil terminals near Basra, as it prepares to load crude oil, becoming the second vessel to arrive since the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, April 24. (REUTERS/Mohammed Aty)