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Blog Post

Operation Epic Fury and the U.S. Drone Posture in the Gulf

In the conflict with Iran, the United States has used one-way attack drones for the first time, marking a shift in U.S. military drone architecture.

Drones are shown at a display of multidomain autonomous systems in the Pentagon courtyard, in Washington, July 16, 2025. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)

China’s Sidelining in the Iran Conflict

The Iran conflict reinforces China’s short-term position as one of managing and mitigating risks rather than shaping outcomes that expand Chinese influence in the Middle East.

A Chinese-flagged oil tanker is moored at an oil terminal at Tsing Yi port in Hong Kong, China, March 19. (REUTERS/Joyce Zhou)

Why Saudi Arabia and the UAE Are Urging Trump to Continue a War They Did Not Want

Riyadh and Abu Dhabi urged President Trump not to attack Iran, but now that the war is into its second month, leaving the current situation in place would be an unthinkable fiasco for them.

A black plume of smoke rises from a warehouse at the industrial area of Sharjah in the United Arab Emirates, March 1. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)

Not All Oil Is Created Equal

The conflict with Iran has curtailed the supply of oil from the Gulf, pushing up the price of the medium and heavier grades it usually exports relative to lighter grades.

Smoke rises in the Fujairah oil industry zone, caused by debris after interception of a drone by air defenses, according to the Fujairah media office, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 14. (REUTERS/Staff)

The Economic Impact of the Iran Conflict on the Gulf

The Gulf is being significantly affected by the conflict with Iran, but the size of the economic hit varies among countries.

A United Arab Emirates navy ship sails next to a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz as seen from Khor Fakkan, the UAE, March 11. (AP Photo/Altaf Qadri)

Ukraine’s Counterdrone Assistance to the Gulf States

Ukrainian help dealing with Iranian drone attacks could lead Gulf Arab states to rethink their neutrality in the Ukraine-Russia war.

An anti-air interceptor drone designed to destroy Russian attack drones from the Ukrainian company General Cherry is seen during a demonstration in the Kyiv region, March 11. (AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky)

Why the Gulf Arab States Matter So Much – But Decide So Little

The Gulf Arab states have discovered that wealth without hard power, and alliance without political influence, leave them exposed to other countries' wars.

Fire and plumes of smoke rise after a drone struck a fuel tank near Dubai International Airport, in United Arab Emirates, March 16. (AP Photo)

The Squeeze on Erbil

The war in Iran both underscores the urgency and will delay action on a U.S.-brokered Peshmerga-Baghdad redeployment in the disputed territories.

Smoke rises after an explosion at the airport in Erbil, Iraq, March 11. (AP Photo/Leo Correa)