The Dhow: 4/28/2025

The Real Deal? Are Washington and Tehran Closer to a Compromise? Tuesday April 29 | 10:00 – 11:30 am ET | In Person (fully booked) and Online Register On April 29, AGSIW will host a discussion with Ali Alfoneh, Sara Bazoobandi, and Behnam Taleblu, moderated by Amb. William Roebuck, on the U.S.-Iranian nuclear negotiations.

AGSIW x Culture Summit: A New World History: Nonhuman Perspectives in Gulf Art Tuesday April 29 | 11:45 am – 12:35 pm GMT +04 | In Person Abu Dhabi On April 29, AGSIW will convene a session on alternative histories in art at Culture Summit Abu Dhabi featuring Mohammad Alfaraj, Basmah Felemban, and Saad Alsharrah, moderated by Nada Ammagui.

Redlines and Realpolitik: Saudi Arabia’s Diplomatic Test Ahead of Trump’s Visit John Calabrese Trump’s trip to Saudi Arabia has the potential not only to reinforce the deep-rooted U.S.-Saudi alliance but also to expose the fault lines that could undermine future cooperation.  

The Obstacles to Getting to “Yes” With Iran Kenneth Katzman The ongoing negotiation process between the United States and Iran will be complex and volatile – while some of the most central issues might be soluble, sanctions issues might prove intractable.

Trade Tensions and Tariffs: IEA, EIA, and OPEC Slash Global Oil Demand Forecasts Kate Dourian Global demand forecasts by leading agencies have diverged sharply, reflecting a deepening sense of uncertainty about the future path of the global economy.

The Arab Gulf States, Regional Alignments, and the Future of the Levant Kristin Smith Diwan via Afkar The past year has seen momentous changes in the Middle East region, particularly in the Levant, which continues to reel from the consequences of the October 7th attack by Hamas militants on Israel and the ensuing Gaza war.

Tehran Prepares for the Third Round of Talks The April 25 edition of the Iran Media Review evaluates Iranian media reports indicating that U.S.-Iranian negotiations are progressing rapidly.

Foreign Minister Araghchi on Negotiations With the United States: “Momentum Is Building” The April 22 edition of the Iran Media Review examines remarks made by top Iranian negotiators about the second round of U.S.-Iran talks. Subscribe to the Iran Media Review Recap.

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices The Saudi current account moved into a small deficit in 2024 despite oil prices of $80 per barrel. A return to a surplus is unlikely unless oil revenue moves sharply higher.

أول مئة يوم من ولاية ترامب هشام ملحم في مئة يوم فقط، أعاد ترامب تشكيل الرئاسة الأميركية على صورته من خلال سيل من الأوامر التنفيذية، ومواجهات مع القضاء والإعلام، وحروب تجارية عالمية أثارت مخاوف جدية من نزوع نحو السلطوية في الولايات المتحدة

A Conversation With Ambassador Michael Ratney On April 22, AGSIW hosted a conversation with Michael Ratney, the U.S. ambassador to Saudi Arabia, moderated by Amb. Douglas A. Silliman.

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