Planning for Postwar Recovery: Economic Outlooks and Policy Responses for the GCC

This moment of heightened uncertainty in the Middle East is reshaping economic trajectories across the region. As the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran disrupts trade flows, energy markets, and investor confidence, Gulf Arab states face a complex balancing act between short-term resilience and long-term diversification while readying to move from crisis management to strategic recovery.

What possible scenarios will Gulf economies face once the fighting ceases? Is there a risk of prolonged uncertainty even afterward? What fiscal and monetary policy tools are available to Gulf Arab states as they navigate these critical challenges? And how can Gulf economies leverage their financial strength and global partnerships to position themselves for sustainable postconflict growth?

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.