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Syria

Outlook 2026

AGSI experts assess the trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy in 2026.

Outlook 2026

Regional States Test the Economic Waters in Syria

New investment deals, mainly from the Gulf states and Turkey, are opening a path for Syrian reconstruction. But the fragile security situation and financial environment remain hurdles for foreign investment.

President of the United Arab Emirates Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan meets with Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, July 7, 2025. (Mohamed Al Hammadi/UAE Presidential Court/Handout via Reuters)

Outlook 2026: Prospects and Priorities for U.S.-Gulf Relations in the Year Ahead

On January 8, AGSI hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they look ahead and assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year. 

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attends a meeting with the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council states as part of the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly at the Lotte Palace Hotel in New York, September 24. (AP Photo/Stefan Jeremiah, Pool)

Recasting Syria After Assad: Saudi Arabia’s Bid to Shape a Gulf-Led Regional Order

Saudi Arabia’s early, front-loaded engagement in Syria is part of a preemptive strategy to shape conditions before rival actors can fill the vacuum.

Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, October 29. (Saudi Press Agency/Handout via REUTERS)

Mr. Sharaa Goes to Washington

While the Syrian president is the one coming to Washington, he and President Trump each have flipped the script, surprising skeptics with bold action and fresh approaches, opening a desperately needed conversation on Syria.

President Donald J. Trump meets with Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 14. (Saudi Press Agency/Handout via REUTERS)

Centralized Rule Is Not a Panacea for Failed States in the Middle East

Decentralized governance efforts in the region, while offering promise to societies fractured by years of dictatorship and war, will be messy, inconsistent, and vulnerable to reversal and external manipulation.

People walk in the street, one day after the Iraq's Kurdistan region parliamentary election, in Erbil, Iraq October 21, 2024. (REUTERS/Khalid Al-Mousily)

Is Israel’s Syria Policy Making Gulf States Nervous?

The disconnect on Syria is so profound it risks rupturing the assessment of shared interests that underlies the Abraham Accords and the tentative efforts by others in the Gulf to find the right circumstances and timing to sign on to that project.

Smoke rises from an Israeli airstrike that hit the Syrian Defence Ministry in Damascus, Syria, July 16. (SANA via AP)

Rebuilding Syria: Opportunities and Challenges of Postwar Reconstruction

On July 31, AGSI hosted a discussion on Syria's reconstruction efforts.

A drone view shows destroyed buildings and massive piles of rubble, as a bulldozer stands nearby, in Aleppo, Syria, June 24. (REUTERS/Mahmoud Hassano)