Oman After Qaboos

On February 20, AGSIW hosted a private discussion on the future of Oman following the passing of Sultan Qaboos bin Said. The death of Qaboos on January 10 marked the end of his five-decade rule over the Sultanate of Oman. While the decisive and speedy nature of the transition from Sultan Qaboos to Sultan Haitham eased external observers’ concern over the opacity of the succession process, Haitham assumes leadership at a time of pronounced regional tension and a challenge to replicate Qaboos’ charismatic political authority while shouldering Oman’s socioeconomic challenges.

What does the transition demonstrate about Oman’s political dynamics? Will the new sultan be able to implement controversial reforms needed to ensure economic growth and attract foreign investment? Will Oman be able to maintain its policy of peaceful coexistence with neighboring countries even as the standoff between the United States and Iran threatens to erupt into open conflict? How does the United States view the transition to the new sultan and does the current administration still value Oman’s role as a quiet mediator? What does this transition suggest about looming succession issues and generational shifts in neighboring Gulf monarchies?

The views represented herein are the author's or speaker's own and do not necessarily reflect the views of AGSI, its staff, or its board of directors.